Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The sharpest signals, deepst dives and must-read reports from Citizen Watch Report.
After a Mexican government official Carlos Manzo was killed by cartel members over the weekend, Trump is threatening to send boots on the ground. Mexico just like Venezuela is potentially going to get invaded with the pretext of combating drug cartels. How many war fronts can the U.S. handle? We all know something deeper is …
The meeting, though without a formal agenda, is expected to focus on current market conditions, say sources The Reserve Bank of India will meet select primary dealers and banks on Tuesday, three traders aware of the developments told Reuters, amid concerns that tightening liquidity in the banking system is pressuring the government bond market. The …
While everyone clocked out for Friday, On October 31st, another subprime lender, Bayside Credit is no longer originating loans. We updated our clients on the impacts today. Another “isolated” event, for sure. — Unicus (@UnicusResearch) November 2, 2025 In October 2025, the financial world was rocked as PrimaLend Capital Partners, a leading subprime auto lender, …
Adelaide Stone Van Gessel says she doesn’t agree with partisan gerrymandering in practice. But she voted yes on Proposition 50, a California ballot measure that would allow the state’s Democratic leaders to temporarily bypass California’s independent redistricting commission and enact a more Democratic-friendly congressional map ahead of next year’s midterm elections. Van Gessel and others …
The prolonged U.S. government shutdown is putting millions of Americans at risk of missing their November food stamp benefits, a vital lifeline for low-income households. The U.S. Department of Agriculture, which oversees the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, stated in a memo on Sunday that no benefits will be issued on Nov. 1, leaving the program’s …
He's literally just spouting gibberish https://t.co/uo02pRbaR9 — 🏴☠️ (@calvinfroedge) November 2, 2025 After seeing that clip: pic.twitter.com/rxfa9zDfaF — César Bisterbosch (@cesarantoniusb) November 3, 2025 Trump on a possible AI bubble: So everyone wants it. Yeah. I mean, the only problem is if you don’t get it.—So, the real AI bubble is pessimism about AI leading …
Dr. George Tidmarsh, the Food and Drug Administration’s top drug regulator, was placed on administrative leave and is considering resigning, citing a “toxic” environment at the FDA. Tidmarsh, who leads the FDA’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, was placed on leave Friday “after the Office of the General Counsel and the Office of the …
WATCH: John Brennan Loses It When Confronted by Former Tulsi DNI Advisor About Laptop Letter and the ICA. Speciale confronted Brennan twice during an event at the conference that included Michael Hayden, another former director of the CIA. Speciale put Brennan on the spot, asking about the inclusion of the infamous Steele dossier in the intelligence community …
You stole a non-profit — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 1, 2025 i helped turn the thing you left for dead into what should be the largest non-profit ever. you know as well as anyone a structure like what openai has now is required to make that happen. https://t.co/k85Bfn5My6 — Sam Altman (@sama) November 2, 2025 …
In a briefing, the official who leads the department’s Office of Legal Counsel, T. Elliot Gaiser, said the administration did not think the operation rose to the kind of “hostilities” covered by the 60-day limit, a key part of a 1973 law called the War Powers Resolution, according to several people familiar with the matter. …
For a long time people said this couldn’t happen. That America would never turn its own soil into a bounty field. Now it’s being drafted in contracts. The government calls it “information gathering.” But everyone knows what this really is. Kristi Noem’s Department of Homeland Security is considering private contractors to help ICE track immigrants. …
by Michael If we are going to see this much violence at a time when Americans are celebrating, what will our streets look like once conditions in this country become extremely harsh? Halloween is always a time when we see a spike in violent crime, but this year we experienced a Halloween weekend that was particularly …
House Party. Bath Township Ohio. 9 injured, including kids, in shooting Sunday during party at Airbnb home in Bath. Crime scene. Armed suspects wanted. BATH TOWNSHIP, Ohio — Police are investigating a shooting at a large party at an Airbnb in Bath Township that left nine people injured. According to Bath Police Chief Vito Sinopoli, …
by Michael What is the Fed not telling us? The numbers clearly indicate that big trouble is brewing in the banking system. I wish that I could specifically tell you which banks are in the most trouble, but at this stage we simply aren’t being told anything. They probably figure that the best approach is …
JUST IN: The Trump White House has caught reporters SPYING on Karoline Leavitt, putting their ear to Leavitt’s office door during sensitive conversation with CABINET secretaries. As a result: “We’ve had to chase reporters down who started strolling into restricted areas towards the Oval. Total absence of boundaries.” The press acted like jackals and truly …
Something feels wrong in the markets again. Everyone keeps saying it is different this time, that the AI boom is real and the money will never stop. But the charts and the numbers tell a story that looks too familiar. It is the same pattern that always comes before the crash. “The S&P 500 now …
New home sales in China collapsed by 42% in October when compared to last October, representing more than just another setback for the beleaguered Chinese real estate market, the world’s largest asset class. This is a major problem for Chinese banks, not that they were expecting different. So, we see interest rates are back to …
TRUMP JUST NAMED OBAMA. “The leader of the gang was Barack Hussein Obama.” This isn’t rhetoric — it’s an accusation of treason from a former U.S. President. Trump says Obama and Clinton orchestrated the election interference, weaponized intelligence, and covered it all up with help from a complicit press. Thousands of documents are reportedly about …
The Fed insists it’s making “data-driven” decisions, but what if the data itself is broken? This month’s CPI report exposes a massive blind spot in how inflation is measured – and why bad numbers can lead to even worse policy choices… By Peter Reagan The federal government finally released the September 2025 Consumer Price Index (delayed due …
This claim has not been independently verified but if its true, it could ignite one of the biggest political scandals in years. https://streamable.com/7jpv57 What Tucker Carlson Said Carlson made the claim on his podcast and in interviews, stating that IDF officers were “running loose in the halls of the Pentagon” during the June conflict. He …
It’s not just $CMG dropping. Even fast food is dropping Wendy’s has been smashed and they probably have the best food of them all. It all comes back to the consumer pic.twitter.com/wCURBOAS19 — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 1, 2025 🚨MORGAN STANLEY: THE BULL MARKET IS ABOUT TO END. Andrew Slimmon says we’re in the late …
INTERVIEW: “CHINA IS DRAINING LONDON’S GOLD MARKET, PRESSURING THE DOLLAR SYSTEM” @LukeGromen , Macroeconomic Strategist “China is using what has always been the dollar’s Achilles heel, the unallocated gold market in London. If demand for gold rises, there are two options. You can let the price rise and allow the market to balance naturally, or …
Something feels off at OpenAI. For a long time, people talked about it like it was untouchable, the company that would rewrite everything we know. That kind of talk is always loudest right before the trouble begins. The excitement is gone now. The numbers look worse each time someone opens the books. You can almost …
by Michael As we enter the month of November, a large number of critical puzzle pieces are starting to fall into place. Yesterday, I talked about the civil unrest that anti-Trump groups have planned in Washington DC starting on November 5th. That is one important element of the equation. The drama that is unfolding in the …
by Michael After many years of steady economic deterioration, a very dark cloud of economic pessimism hangs over our country. The cost of just about everything has been rising faster than paychecks have been, thousands of stores are closing all over the nation, and large corporations are conducting mass layoffs on a scale that we haven’t seen …
WARNING 🚨 BANKS BORROW $50 BILLION IN EMERGENCY LIQUIDITY FROM FED REPO WINDOW TODAY ‼️ 🚩 $20 BILLION THIS MORNING AND $30 BILLION MORE IN THE AFTERNOON ⚠️ CRISIS INCOMING 🚩 https://t.co/lLWvoC191y pic.twitter.com/ekoTvK6ewz — The Butcher of Wall Street Marcel Kalinovic (@BossBlunts1) October 31, 2025 🚨BREAKING: FED PUMPS $29.4 BILLION INTO MARKETS OVERNIGHT! The Fed …
🚨 BREAKING: The U.S. Senate just voted 51-47 to END ALL of President Donald Trump’s global tariffs. This is getting OUT OF HAND. pic.twitter.com/FqTyhr9CfW — Jack (@jackunheard) October 30, 2025 The Senate voted Thursday to approve a resolution that would block President Trump’s tariffs on countries around the world, the third in a trio of …
By the end of the week, Democrats will be responsible for millions of Americans losing their food stamps due to their refusal to pass a clean continuing resolution to fund the federal government amid day number 29 of the shutdown. Already, working-class households are turning to food banks nationwide, and some of these free food …
Gold is exploding past $4,000, silver near $50, but according to Egon von Greyerz, this is only the beginning. He says we’ve entered the final phase of the global monetary system, where currencies will be destroyed, interest rates will soar, and only gold and silver will preserve real wealth. In this episode, we discuss the …
via WSB: Explanation: “The Hindenburg Omen is a combination of technical signals that together forecast the likelihood of a stock market crash. The technical inputs are the 10 Week Simple Moving Average, New 52 week highs on the NYSE, New 52 Week lows on the NYSE, and the McClellan Oscillator. If, on the same day, …