The Pentagon is currently preparing plans for a weeks-long ground operation in Iran, including a raid on Kharg Island—where 90% of Iran’s crude oil exports are processed—despite military experts warning that 50,000 troops are nowhere near enough for a decisive victory in a country of 93 million people with rugged terrain and a formidable military.
Jimmy notes that even experts admit any ground incursion would lead to heavy casualties, political backlash, and prolonged conflict, while Iran has been preparing for this invasion for decades. He points out that Iran is already winning the war: it has seized control of the Strait of Hormuz, is charging $2 million tolls per tanker, and has achieved its long-sought goal of getting U.S. oil sanctions lifted—something diplomacy could never accomplish. He warns that if the U.S. attacks Kharg Island, Iran will retaliate by destroying oil infrastructure across the Gulf States, triggering a global depression and food crisis.