The Federal Reserve’s signal of fewer rate cuts in 2025 has reshaped investor expectations, prompting a reassessment of inflation risks and tightening financial conditions globally. As borrowing costs rise, central banks in other economies are adjusting policies to maintain stability. Simultaneously, the sharp increase in U.S. Treasury yields is influencing global fixed-income markets, as investors seek higher returns by shifting capital away from lower-yielding bonds in Europe and Asia. This movement of funds is driving up borrowing costs and yields in those regions, creating a ripple effect across financial markets worldwide.
🔥🇯🇵 Tokyo, we have a problem!
Time to sell some of your $1 Trillion of US treasury bonds? pic.twitter.com/j5OGWG8zKZ
— GoldSilver HQ (@GoldSilverHQ) May 12, 2025
Ho Lee Ferk pic.twitter.com/gel1bge1l3
— The Great Martis (@great_martis) May 12, 2025
Oh my..
UK 10yr looks extremely bullish.
Similar to US 30yr.
Higher rates are inevitable. pic.twitter.com/ABhUp2jdme
— The Great Martis (@great_martis) May 12, 2025
10 year bond yields are ripping higher on the news. pic.twitter.com/KRFfcvoDNW
— QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 12, 2025
Treasury yields soar as U.S. and China agree to slash tariffs https://t.co/zqLP5mFbHQ
— CNBC (@CNBC) May 12, 2025
The Market Is Signaling Something Bigger Than Inflation: A Sovereign Risk Premium Is Entering U.S. Treasuries
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Despite all the “good news” hitting the headlines tariff pauses, a U.S.–China trade deal announcement, and falling inflation prints bond yields aren’t cooperating.… https://t.co/5JL3EGVWHp pic.twitter.com/t8yUI7i2it
— EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) May 11, 2025
https://x.com/DarioCpx/status/1921825137411658005
U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to slash tariffs on each other’s goods, in a move welcomed by investors.
At 5:09 a.m. ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was up nearly 6 basis points to 4.433%, while the 2-year Treasury yield jumped 10 basis points to 3.996%
One basis point is equal to 0.01% and yields and prices move in opposite directions.