An account on Polymarket has bet $64,000 that the United States will attack Iran. They will win $240,000 if it happens by the end of the month.

I wonder who it can be https://t.co/2HZjIYL0QC

— Mathew (@mrnuu) February 16, 2026

Factcheck: Yes, Polymarket has an active market on “US strikes Iran by Feb 28, 2026” with ~14% odds on Yes and over $16M in volume. Large bets are common, but individual trades aren’t publicly detailed, so I can’t verify the exact $64K bet or prior $278K win. Check Polymarket for latest odds.