Families don’t delay kids by chance, they do it because the basic math of life is breaking. When a house requires a midlife crisis to afford, the future starts thinning out right in front of us.
The average age of a first-time American homebuyer is 40 years old. 40. Years. Old.
It was 25 in 1985.
40 is past the point of when most people have kids. So this is guaranteed population collapse and the end of the American Dream.
Without a home you can’t get married or start a family. You won’t have grandkids.
These are the things that bring lasting joy to life. By making home ownership impossible for young people we are robbing them of God’s greatest gift: Purpose.No wonder crippling nihilism is on the rise in Gen Z and Alpha. We can and must reverse this trend. I’m working to make home ownership great again for young people. This was Charlie’s lasting mission. This is how we reclaim a generation and save the American Dream.
— Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) November 17, 2025
First-Time Home Buyer Share Falls to Historic Low of 21%, Median Age Rises to 40
Approximately nine in 10 buyers and sellers worked with a real estate agent, with seller representation reaching record highs
WASHINGTON (November 4, 2025) – The share of first-time home buyers dropped to a record low of 21%, while the typical age of first-time buyers climbed to an all-time high of 40 years, according to the National Association of REALTORS®’ 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. This annual survey of recent home buyers and sellers covers transactions between July 2024 and June 2025 and offers industry professionals, consumers, and policymakers detailed insights into homebuying and selling behavior.
“The historically low share of first-time buyers underscores the real-world consequences of a housing market starved for affordable inventory,” said Jessica Lautz NAR deputy chief economist and vice president of research. “The share of first-time buyers in the market has contracted by 50% since 2007 – right before the Great Recession. The implications for the housing market are staggering. Today’s first-time buyers are building less housing wealth and will likely have fewer moves over a lifetime as a result.”
The whole thing is pretty simple. If people aren’t buying their first home until they’re around 40, and most of them don’t even have kids in the house by then, you can already see where this goes. Families get pushed later, and smaller, because everything costs too much. The CDC numbers just confirm it. Fertility is now under 1.6, the lowest we’ve ever had, and a lot of researchers point straight at housing. Prices around $410,000 and the worst affordability in decades basically squeeze people into delaying everything. It’s not some theory. You can see the pattern forming in real time, and it lines up with the population concerns you’ve been talking about.
https://twitter.com/VladTheInflator/status/1990465641544101956
The US fertility rate reached a new low in 2024, CDC data shows
Exploding Housing Costs Linked To Steep Drop In US Birth Rates: Report