Models are all over this like white on rice.
Currently in the mid-Atlantic.
Conditions are very favorable for development from now to the end of the model’s runs.
Some are already forecasting a Cat 1 in the Caribbean.
Steering into the Gulf of Mexico very likely with additional strengthening.
Keep your eyes on this one peeps.
Stay tuned for updates.
We may have a 2005-like hurricane season.
Meanwhile in the tropics… Very unusual tropical wave to move across the Main Development Region (MDR) potentially unscathed and potentially becoming an issue for the Windward Islands on Monday. Now invest #95L( lower right side of satellite loop) sitting down around 10N33W, its moving along steered by the Atlantic subtropical ridge.
The positions of the subtropical ridge and any weakness in them is a low confidence forecast beyond early next week. The intensity of 95L will also be a key to where it eventually goes next week. Keep an eye on it. NHC at 70%
Meanwhile in the tropics… Very unusual tropical wave to move across the Main Development Region (MDR) potentially unscathed and potentially becoming an issue for the Windward Islands on Monday. Now invest #95L( lower right side of satellite loop) sitting down around 10N33W,… pic.twitter.com/o721lqFvAx
— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) June 27, 2024
Tropical Update June 26, 2024: forecasters [watching models] becoming more concerned about disturbance out in the Atlantic (Invest 95L) that will likely develop into a tropical storm & powerful hurricane.
Nothing imminent — and 10-14 days away from any potential U.S. threat. So we will watch!
Tropical Update June 26, 2024: forecasters [watching models] becoming more concerned about disturbance out in the Atlantic (Invest 95L) that will likely develop into a tropical storm & powerful hurricane.
Nothing imminent — and 10-14 days away from any potential U.S. threat.… pic.twitter.com/LdQUTQ7eNi
— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) June 26, 2024
h/t DOORBERT