This is where we are RIGHT NOW and the banking crisis hasn’t even started yet – think about it, just think… @kshaughnessy2 https://t.co/Nf7XyLhn4P pic.twitter.com/J7A7OnKvXE
— JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) July 2, 2025
“Horrible” is a euphemism at this point https://t.co/OFL7LHgPPs
— JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) July 2, 2025
The delinquency trends for Core CRE (excludes multifamily, construction, and single family)…
total delinquent loan balance as of Q1 2025 stands at $31.4 billion, up from $16.9 billion in Q1 2023.
Data from @cred_iq pic.twitter.com/oQ0SyOHCZe
— Michael Haas (@MHaas2020) July 2, 2025
Freddie Mac reported that the Single-Family serious delinquency rate in May was 0.55%, down from 0.57% April. Freddie’s rate is up year-over-year from 0.49% in May 2024, however, this is below the pre-pandemic level of 0.60%.
Freddie’s serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 4.20% following the housing bubble and peaked at 3.17% in August 2020 during the pandemic.
Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family serious delinquency rate in May was 0.53%, down from 0.55% in April. The serious delinquency rate is up year-over-year from 0.48% in May 2024, however, this is below the pre-pandemic lows of 0.65%.
The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59% following the housing bubble and peaked at 3.32% in August 2020 during the pandemic.
https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/fannie-and-freddie-single-family-4c6
The median U.S. condo sale price fell 2.2% year over year to $354,100 in May—the second largest drop in records dating back to 2012.
https://www.redfin.com/news/condo-prices-may-2025/
A buildup of unsold houses sitting on the market for weeks is becoming a new reality in once-booming housing areas across the Sun Belt.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/homes-taking-longer-sell-us-100000486.html