The oil cushion is getting dangerously thin

This is one of those numbers where the context matters.

Cushing, Oklahoma oil storage is down to around 20 million barrels.

That is the lowest level since 2014 and close to the point where the physical oil market can start getting much tighter and more expensive to operate.

Over the past few weeks, inventories have fallen sharply.

The reasons?

Strong demand.

Supply disruptions linked to the Iran situation.

And now the market is watching how much oil is actually available.

The bigger issue is that the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve is also sitting near historic lows.

The SPR is around 340 million barrels, the lowest level since 1983 after major releases during the conflict.

That means the emergency backup supply is much smaller than it was before.

Exxon executives have warned that inventories reaching very low levels could create the risk of a sharp price move if the decline continues.

The interesting part is this:

Oil markets usually don’t panic when there is plenty of supply.

They panic when everyone starts asking the same question:

“How much is actually left?”

Now, some people are connecting these low inventory levels to political decisions and arguing the government made the wrong moves.

Others disagree and point to different causes, including the original conflict decisions and broader energy policy.

But the part that is hard to ignore is the numbers.

20 million barrels at Cushing.

340 million barrels in the SPR.

The safety margin is much smaller than it was a few years ago.

And when the cushion gets thin, even a small disruption can suddenly matter a lot.