worst-case Archives - Citizen Watch Report

$9.8 billion in AI revenue at risk if capex slows across data centers. Piper models worst-case hit to NVDA EPS at $0.40 stock could plunge to $76

May 5, 2025 1:44 pm

Piper Sandler Analyzes Sensitivity of $NVDA Data Center Revenues to Capex Slowdown Analyst comments: “We performed a sensitivity analysis on NVIDIA’s data center revenues to assess potential impacts from a slowdown in capital expenditures over the next year. In our worst-case scenario—assuming capex cuts across all NVDA data center end markets and no recovery in …

Rising bond yields despite falling inflation and macro momentum signals worst-case scenario. Many investors lack recession experience, leading to a warped understanding of risk.

December 23, 2024 3:42 pm

It cannot also just be weird flows in thin markets currently. But I dislike when bond yields trade UP, when macro surprises are clearly SOFT — Andreas Steno Larsen (@AndreasSteno) December 23, 2024 Excellent read. Too many investors today have never lived through hard times or a recession thus their understanding of “risk” is completely …

The World Bank has issued a serious warning that oil prices and food prices could surge dramatically due to escalating conflict in the Middle East — The worst-case scenario could see oil prices rise by as much as 75%

November 2, 2023 2:48 pm

by TonyLiberty The World Bank has issued a serious warning that oil prices and food prices could surge dramatically due to escalating conflict in the Middle East. The World Bank outlined three potential scenarios for oil supply disruptions, each with varying degrees of price increases. The worst-case scenario could see oil prices rise by as …