Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
via notayesmanseconomics This morning has brought news that links straight into something I was thinking yesterday. As I wrote the piece on the struggles of the German economy the thought that the ECB would cut interest-rates again from the present 2% was on my mind. I had long thought they could go to 1.5% anyway, …
Reuters – BOJ nearing decision to raise rates TOKYO (Reuters) -The Bank of Japan is “nearing” a decision to raise interest rates and will not wait until after next year’s spring wage negotiations end, its board member Kazuyuki Masu was quoted in the Nikkei newspaper as saying. The remark follows those by Governor Kazuo Ueda …
In my previous video, I broke down why the coming AI correction will look very different from the dot-com crash. Today, we go deeper into a seismic shift that’s quietly reshaping global finance: the AI debt wave now sweeping through U.S. and European credit markets. For over a decade, Big Tech dominated with cash-rich balance …
It’s Not Just MTG: Other Republicans in Congress Are Reportedly Eyeing an Exit Why? According to one GOP House representative, “This entire White House team has treated ALL members like garbage.” Marjorie Taylor Greene’s announcement that she would resign from Congress in the coming weeks was a warning sign for the GOP. The Georgia representative …
Malaysia will ban people 16 years and younger from using social media in 2026 forcing people to get online ID verification to verify their age and identification, following a similar recent move by Australia. Thoughts? Denmark to ban social media for children under 15 The Danish government has reached an agreement to implement a minimum …
A crash and recession would do this market some good. 👀 👀 There’s a storm comin: pic.twitter.com/zpGmrN9Jtf — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 18, 2025 Scott Galloway fears a market crash or social crisis in the next year. A top finance professor recommends putting money into baseball cards Scott Galloway, the entrepreneur and NYU Stern marketing …
Every company would be affected if the AI bubble were to burst, the head of Google’s parent firm Alphabet has told the BBC. Speaking exclusively to BBC News, Sundar Pichai said while the growth of artificial intelligence (AI) investment had been an “extraordinary moment”, there was some “irrationality” in the current AI boom. In comments …
Middlemen are the disease.Direct is the cure. This isn’t just about healthcare.It’s about leverage.It’s about who really holds the power. Return it to the people-and the entire system starts to shake. — The Master Builder @KingsProtocol — The Master Builder (@KingsProtocol) November 18, 2025
What if the technologies that will completely reshape your life in 2027 are already being built right now? In this video, we explore the Top 15 new technology trends guaranteed to define 2027 — advancements that will transform how we work, communicate, travel, heal, and even think. These aren’t predictions based on hype; they’re real …
BREAKING: Trump says he does not rule out deploying US troops on the ground in Venezuela — Faytuks Network (@FaytuksNetwork) November 17, 2025 Trump says he is open to speaking with Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, adding he’ll be “talking to Maduro within a certain period of time,” while also accusing Maduro of doing “tremendous damage” to …
Hannity and Bondi go over the illegal actions of Newsome’s actions.
REMINDER 🚨 🇺🇸 Treasury will start injecting liquidity within 2-3 days. JP Morgan expects nearly $300B in liquidity injection by mid-December. pic.twitter.com/pj07nhcyC5 — Ash Crypto (@AshCrypto) November 14, 2025 very ugly premarkets 3 reasons it seems like the wind is getting taken out: – no data transparency from October– crypto de-leveraging– AI capex trade fears …
Germany will require all men to register for potential military service from 1 January 2026, with compulsory service to be reintroduced if volunteer numbers fall short of targets set to meet NATO commitments. “Modern military service is coming,” said Jens Spahn, Chairman of the ruling CDU/CSU parliamentary group, in a press statement. “We will have …
View post on imgur.com “Megyn Kelly asked about highly-skilled immigration. The H-1B program is neither high-skilled nor immigration: these are temporary foreign workers, imported from abroad, for the explicit purpose of substituting for American workers at lower pay. I remain totally committed to eliminating rampant, widespread H-1 B abuse and ending outrageous practices such as …
BREAKING: ENORMOUS victory as the 70% of rare earths we get from China will PLUMMET to 0% by the end of President Trump’s term – through domestic production and American jobs. This is HUGE! Department of War has created a $400 MILLION partnership for rare earths to END reliance on China. “We will be able …
https://t.co/WB4W0amlqs — Kalshi (@Kalshi) November 12, 2025 Trump is upside down on every issue: -Epstein: -39-Foreign Policy: -8-Trade/Tariffs: -17-Economy: -18-Immigration: -5 pic.twitter.com/ybW4uKqHUb — Maine (@TheMaineWonk) November 13, 2025 🚨BREAKING: There is now an 85% CHANCE that the government shuts down AGAIN in just 2 months. pic.twitter.com/sRHoS93oGy — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) November 13, 2025 President Trump …
by Michael There have been stunning new developments in the Middle East. France and the Palestinian Authority have agreed to establish a joint committee to draft a constitution for a Palestinian state. Needless to say, this will give French President Emmanuel Macron a tremendous amount of power to shape what a future Palestinian government will …
ELON: DRIVING YOUR OWN CAR WILL SOON LOOK STRANGE The same cars people already own will soon navigate streets without a human inside, starting in Austin and spreading across the country. Once it works everywhere, seeing someone manually drive will feel ancient. Elon compared it to riding a horse to work, possible, but odd. The …
by Michael A G4 geomagnetic storm watch has been issued, and we are being told that the Earth is going to be hit. But at this hour we do not know how bad it will be or how much damage will be done. We are being told that scientists won’t know the intensity of the …
Fannie Mae is set to drop its 620 credit score minimum this month. On the surface level, this is huge, renters with good payment history, young people with thin files, anyone locked out by arbitrary score floors suddenly has a shot at conventional financing. Also, first time buyers are collapsing so Fannie Mae desperately needed …
pic.twitter.com/T642kqJBaO — McClellan (@MI_Architect) November 11, 2025 A staggering 84% of Gen Z say they’re delaying milestones to buy a house. There’s ‘no single fix’ for the affordability crisis, real estate exec says The American Dream of buying a home is still alive, but the path to get there looks very different from decades past. …
The stock market is being pushed up by the same small group every single day and you can tell they’re running out of room. It’s getting harder for them to keep the illusion going. The tape looks forced. Every rally looks like someone holding a beach ball underwater and their hands are slipping. Meanwhile regular …
via notayesmanseconomics: Overnight we have seen some good news about the present US government shutdown. Breaking: The Senate cleared a critical hurdle to end the record-long government shutdown, after Democrats provided enough votes to advance the spending measure. ( Wall Street Journal) In a nicer world it would have been driven by the way that …
NEWS: Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award shares have officially been issued — split into 12 tranches (423.7 million total shares), according to a new SEC filing. Each tranche can only be earned if Tesla hits strict performance goals. Earned shares vest in 2033 or 2035, are held in Musk’s revocable trust, and are voted …
Under this plan laid out by Carville — After they pack the Supreme Court and add 2 new states and 4 new Democrat Senators — they will pass mass amnesty and citizenship for all 30 million Illegal Aliens. We have to end the Filibuster rule now.pic.twitter.com/AYilWBxwPB — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) November 10, 2025 THE …
Yes, there is a price to pay to reshore jobs. — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) November 10, 2025 Nearly 80% of voters in farming-dependent counties voted for Trump. Now, many of the farmers are on the brink of bankruptcy because of his policies. pic.twitter.com/alZKDPvW2h — Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) November 10, 2025 Carmack and longtime friend …
The Final Countdown: 417 Days Until Financial Freedom Is Systematically Dismantled. On January 1, 2027, the European Union enacts its financial endgame. The new AML Regulation imposes a €10,000 cash payment limit and annihilates anonymous cryptocurrency accounts. This is the… pic.twitter.com/CgQp8BIpoa — Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) November 10, 2025 This is not about safety. …
The fracture inside the Democratic Party just became impossible to hide. Newsom blasts ‘pathetic’ Democrats for ‘surrendering’ to Trump as ‘gang of eight’ senators join Republicans to end longest government shutdown in US history California Governor Gavin Newsom slammed ‘pathetic’ Democrats who joined their GOP rivals to strike a late-night deal that could end the …
If the money is real, someone else is absorbing the pain quietly. NEW – Trump says that a tariff stimulus check of $2,000 will be paid to "everyone," except rich people. pic.twitter.com/X4ZgeCPIsY — Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) November 9, 2025 TRUMP: “PEOPLE THAT ARE AGAINST TARIFFS ARE FOOLS!” “People that are against Tariffs are FOOLS! We are …
Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly said she will hold food drives on her statewide budget listening tour, while Missouri is transferring funding to provide meals to seniors A Rhode Island federal judge has ordered the Trump administration to find enough money to restore full funding for SNAP benefits by Friday. The government “failed to consider the …