The Iran Conflict Remains the Single Biggest Inflation Wildcard in 2026

via Phoenix Capital Research War is inherently inflationary for the following reasons: Governments ramp up spending to fund the war effort: weapons, personnel, logistics, and reconstruction. The potential for supply side disruptions: in a globalized world, war can disrupt the production of natural resources as well as their shipping routes. Regarding #1, the Trump administration …

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Here’s a Wildcard Scenario For 2024

by Chris Black Biden gets indicted for bribery, DeSantis steals the primary from Trump by getting all the delegates on board (citing Trumps legal problems), DeSantis wins over MAGA voters by promising to put Biden in prison and pardon Trump if he wins, he eeks out a narrow victory, doesn’t jail Biden, but nobody notices …

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