The Fed is openly acknowledging a weakening labor market. AI hype overshot reality and now the supply chain is stuck dealing with it. The Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) currently warns of a potential recession or at least a significant economic slowdown.

As shown below, the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) currently warns of a potential recession or at least a significant economic slowdown. I haven’t published the WRS for some time and “Walmart Worries” just keep multiplying. For the details see my …

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An oil spike in a weakening economy is not inflationary – it is contractionary! FED needs to LOWER rates to counter the effects of higher Oil Prices. “The Income Effect” is the reason. Morgan Stanley still expects Fed cuts, oil shock threatens growth. $150 oil warning, recession risk climbs to 20%

Let me be very clear! An oil spike in a weakening economy is not inflationary – it is contractionary! The FED is extremely misguided if they are going to treat a Supply-Driven Oil-spike as an inflationary trigger. FED needs to …

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ADP headline hides a weakening labor market. UPS and Amazon just erased 46,000 high paying delivery jobs in 24 hours. Low income households barely growing this year. Overall slowdown in consumer. Stocks at all-time highs

ADP National Employment Report And What the Headline Misses About Today’s Labor Market ADP says private employers added 41,000 jobs in December, framing it as a rebound. But when you slow down and look at where those jobs came from, …

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The US trade deficit just fell to $52.8 billion, down 35%, a win for tariffs on paper but a troubling sign that demand is weakening and recession risks are rising.

US trade deficit just hit $52.8B – lowest since June 2020 Down 35% from last year Experts said tariffs would destroy economy Trump, Bessent and Lutnick were right all along Lower imports mean weaker demand which means recession is coming …

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Michael Burry just closed his fund, top signal. The underlying economy appears to be weakening beneath the headlines. Stocks are selling off sharply.

Michael Burry just closed his fund, top signal. pic.twitter.com/8O1Al5TPRe — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) November 13, 2025 BREAKING 🚨: Michael Burry Michael Burry to close down his hedge fund by year end after acknowledging he doesn't understand today's market pic.twitter.com/vrCIRNf5xH — Barchart …

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Mainstream media can’t explain gold’s rise, blaming uncertainty and geopolitics, while ignoring job losses, ballooning deficits, rate cuts, and a weakening dollar driving future inflation.

Gold is piercing a level that has held for 45 years. Moves of this size never happen in calm markets. Confidence in the current monetary system is fraying. The rally is powered by record central bank buying, ballooning U.S. debt, …

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June jobs report reveals weakening labor market with rising long-term unemployment and shrinking participation despite headline gains in government and low-wage sectors

6.5M sidelined want work participation rate keeps falling… 1. Sector BreakdownJune job gains were led by gov’t, healthcare, and hospitality—low-wage, service-heavy sectors. Meanwhile, business services, manufacturing, and tech were flat or shrinking. This isn’t strength—it’s a shift toward unproductive labor. …

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Bellwethers show topping formations, while Santa Rally’s option skew hits historic highs, diamond reversal signals weakening uptrend.

Bellwethers. Large weekly topping formations depicted. pic.twitter.com/SkI4SUEnJj — The Great Martis (@great_martis) January 1, 2025 Santa Rally option skew through yesterday's close is the highest in history. As the algos maintain the illusion through year end. pic.twitter.com/hDWqahSbXe — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) …

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Japan will be forced to hike again. Hedge funds cautious after #BOJ steamroll; slower $JPY weakening weakens jawboning impact. Japan’s economy defies every rule in the book

Japan will be forced to hike again. pic.twitter.com/OZoNx4M9IK — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) December 26, 2024 Translation : Urgent need for rate hikes. https://t.co/jAWawyZ51o — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 27, 2024 📊💴 Tokyo inflation accelerates, fueling rate hike expectations Tickers …

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WSJ – Europe’s biggest economy is sliding into stagnation, and a weakening political system is struggling to find an answer.

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/germany-is-losing-its-mojo-finding-it-again-wont-be-easy-c4b46761 Germany Is Losing Its Mojo. Finding It Again Won’t Be Easy. BERLIN—Two decades ago, Germany revived its moribund economy and became a manufacturing powerhouse of an era of globalization. Times changed. Germany didn’t keep up. Now Europe’s biggest economy …

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