Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The markets got a rude awakening. Investors have been conditioned to expect a soft hand from Washington, one that props up asset prices at all costs. That era is over. Trump’s tariffs have sent futures into freefall, exposing just how fragile the markets have become. The Dow futures crashed more than 1,000 points. The S&P …
$VIX Weekly looks ominous. Brace for unbearable volatility. pic.twitter.com/UUZFkwocMp — The Great Martis (@great_martis) March 31, 2025 So here we are with two days to go and we just learned that Trump plans a $600 billion tax increase on the U.S. working class and a global financial crisis: https://t.co/NK2zin9W1G Ok, I think Wall Street got …
The market no longer believes the Fed: Since the "Fed pivot" began in September 2024, market-based inflation expectations have more than DOUBLED. In fact, markets now see +3.3% inflation over the next 2 years, the highest since March 2023. Has the Fed lost its credibility? https://t.co/cNVD32IqbR pic.twitter.com/KWjK2LekQM — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 29, 2025
Tech giants rethink the future… cc: @Dr_Gingerballs @DarioCpx @RealJimChanos pic.twitter.com/k0tc6pnf8R — Gordon Johnson (@GordonJohnson19) March 26, 2025 JIM CRAMER JUST TOLD NVIDIA $NVDA INVESTORS TO PREPARE FOR ‘TURBULENCE’ – CNBC pic.twitter.com/ezPTeeisqZ — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) March 26, 2025 Microsoft, $MSFT, has cancelled new data center projects in the US and Europe, per Bloomberg. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) …
🔴YIKES, S&P 500 bull trend looks broken, peak in sight? Wall Street's narrative is cracking, where's smart money going next? My Substack post reveals 2025–27’s best contrarian bets. https://t.co/MTHMTRa3tD pic.twitter.com/8TlMSlRuOC — The Macro Pulse (@TheMacroPulse) March 23, 2025 https://twitter.com/Jedi_ant/status/1904205083811696841 The stock market doesn’t reflect reality for 95% of people. It’s all a façade and a …
The PBOC can read the writing on the wall. Got gold? byu/Boo_Randy_II inWallstreetsilver
Goldman Sachs estimates over $4.7T in notional options exposure will expire this Friday, including $2.8T in $SPX options and $645B in single stock options. That’s about 8.2% of the Russell 3000’s market cap—however, smaller than March 2024’s expiration. pic.twitter.com/MHe6ul0v99 — Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) March 21, 2025
Vlogger Tiffany Cianci recently went viral with a video explaining how private equity firms have recently bought up and destroyed well-known brands like Hooters, Jo-Ann Fabrics, Party City and Forever 21, driving these often beloved franchises into bankruptcy. Even worse, she says, the private equity firms have offloaded all the associated debt they took on …
The market feels like a house of cards in a windstorm—teetering, trying to convince itself it’s stable, but deep down, everyone knows the truth. Sure, the S&P 500 has posted two straight days of 90% advancing stocks, but on what? Ghost-town volume. This isn’t conviction. This is a market that’s climbing because it doesn’t know …
BORDER WALL CONSTRUCTION UNDERWAY IN TEXAS AND ARIZONApic.twitter.com/zr6wJEz3iF — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) February 20, 2025
There is literally zero foreign investment into China right now. Just straight outflows for 24 months straight now. Nobody on earth trusts Xi with their money. And you shouldn’t. pic.twitter.com/i5tPJ8hJde — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) February 15, 2025
It’s wild how much has changed in such a short time. The buyout program initiated by Trump and pushed forward by Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency has seen a staggering 75,000 federal workers walk away with a package they just couldn’t refuse. With the federal workforce swelling to over 2 million, Musk’s vision of slashing …
Dow Jones Update Will the global trade war be the catalyst? pic.twitter.com/r0ICLuB9rl — The Great Martis (@great_martis) February 11, 2025 America 🇺🇸 must hit rock bottom before it starts to heal. Democrats did a lot of damage in those 4 years. Expect major turbulence in equity markets. — The Great Martis (@great_martis) February 11, 2025 …
Wall Street investors are betting that home prices are overvalued. With the stock prices of big landlords like Invitation Homes and American Homes 4 Rent falling significantly in the last 4 months.
A man was arrested after he jumped over a wall outside President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach on Wednesday, police said. Bijan Arceo, 32, was charged with trespassing with the intent to commit an offense. https://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/man-arrested-after-secret-service-stops-man-who-jumped-wall-at-trumps-mar-a-lago-club/3524231/
https://youtu.be/66qzKdvhI0g This video highlights the ongoing efforts to construct the southern border barrier during nighttime operations. It provides a closer look at the various stages of the process, including filling bollards with cement, filtering the cement, cleaning the bollards with a pressure washer, and moving materials with lift trucks. Skilled engineers and contractors work together …
🇺🇸 CPI FORECAST: Zero firms on Wall Street are expecting a cooler inflation print tomorrow. 📈 $SPY pic.twitter.com/O8Y7LJru2U — LuxAlgo (@LuxAlgo) January 14, 2025
The common prediction that the Federal Reserve will cut rates as a response to an economic downturn due to high interest rates misses a significant global economic factor: the widespread collapse of major currencies, driven by governments’ heavy spending to fend off recessions. This scenario complicates the traditional narrative of monetary policy response. Around the …
As retail investors flock to stocks with record inflows, yesterday 20 day skew hit a new all time high, as Wall Street quietly liquidates. pic.twitter.com/f5f9vfWUgy — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 24, 2024 A big Christmas vol crusher to round-trip VIX back to the lows of last week as if the hawkish FOMC had never happened. However, …
A group of banks and business groups are suing the Federal Reserve over the annual bank stress tests, saying the current process falls short of its goals. The suit comes from the Bank Policy Institute, which represents big banks like JPMorgan, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, as well as the American Bankers Association, the Ohio Bankers …
Landlords in the commercial real estate sector are indeed facing a significant challenge with $1.5 trillion of debt maturing by the end of next year. Approximately a quarter of this debt could be difficult to refinance due to higher interest rates and lower property valuations. Regarding multifamily assets, around $95 billion of these properties in …
BREAKING INSIDE THE PENTAGON: Associate Director in the Office of the Secretary of Defense says, “Why not just have an open border?” “Tear down the wall.” “I think we should repeal the Second Amendment and take the guns all away!” says Jason Beck, who has a classified security… pic.twitter.com/QSuXmgQAPz — James O'Keefe (@JamesOKeefeIII) March 13, …
There are growing concerns about the safety of the new border fence in Friendship Park after an anti-climbing device has been added to the top. It’s purpose may be to deter attempts to scale the 30-foot structure, but migrant advocates say it is inhumane. Friends of Friendship Park, a community coalition, was already locking horns with the federal …
In the midst of holiday festivities that captivated the attention of many, a seismic shift silently unfolded within the intricate web of the global banking sector. The evolving narrative tells a tale of banks tightening their fists, shutting down branches, and adapting to the evolving digital landscape. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBtYaE3vhrU
via bettermarkets: Dennis M. Kelleher, Co-founder, President, and CEO of Better Markets issued the following statement in response to the testimony of Wall Street’s CEOs today before the Senate Banking Committee. “Wall Street’s CEOs testified before the Senate Banking Committee today as if they were the chief employment and economic growth officers for the United States …
US commercial real estate grapples with a looming $1.5 trillion ‘maturity wall’ in the next three years amid declining office space demand due to widespread work-from-home trends. "US [commercial real estate] companies face a 'maturity wall' of more than US$1.5trn over the next three years, in addition to the US$700bn that was due to mature …
by Chris Black Another building in Gaza spontaneously combusts in a “BLAST” that randomly went off. Great reporting on this paranormal phenomenon by the Wall Street Journal. Blast Goes Off at Orthodox Church Campus in Gaza – The Wall Street Journal https://t.co/q8oSP9JZIW via @GoogleNews — Coopmike48 (we/us) (@coopmike48) October 19, 2023 Israel bombed it, the …
Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, Should stock valuations track this same decline in profits, it’s entirely reasonable to expect the stock market to lose 2/3 of its valuation premium. All Six of the reasons corporate profits will decline by half are common sense: 1. Reversion to the mean: profits that are double the …
