A hub for independent voices and hard truths
BREAKING 🚨: United States Treasury THEY DID IT AGAIN! U.S. Treasury just bought back another $10 Billion of its own debt, matching the largest Treasury buyback in history (and that was from last week)! pic.twitter.com/15G6tNwBGr — Barchart (@Barchart) June 12, …
by confoundedinterest17 I’ll feel a whole lot better when CMBS office serious delinquenies get below 10%. But serious delinquencies on office space is currently at 10.59%. The US Treasury yield curve is steepening. Office delinquencies are likely to rise in Los …
In 2025, the yield on longer term US Treasuries briefly rose above 5%. That might not sound dramatic at first glance, but it carries major implications for the economy, the government, and financial markets. When the cost of borrowing for …
BREAKING 🚨: Bonds The market value of Treasury Bonds as a % of the market value of Stocks has fallen to its lowest level since the 1960s pic.twitter.com/5MM4RYIo7B — Barchart (@Barchart) June 9, 2025 ⁉️Does central bank liquidity matter for …
Jamie Dimon says China ain’t scared of the U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says he disagrees pic.twitter.com/I1cxdLrj71 — Barchart (@Barchart) June 2, 2025
$DJT is down 10% on news it will raise $2.5 billion to buy Bitcoin. Maybe the markets don't have the appetite for yet another Bitcoin treasury company. Also, how can Trump's company front-run the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, using taxpayers' dollars …
The U.S. Treasury is set to auction 2-year, 5-year, and 7-year notes this week, drawing close attention from investors. Recent auctions have produced mixed results, with some maturities struggling to attract strong demand. This round of debt sales will signal …
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says they plan to reduce leverage requirements for banks this summer. Reducing the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) would allow banks to hold less capital against low-risk assets like Treasuries and reserves pic.twitter.com/fM0e8S6wmL — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) May …
Keep an eye on this. SLR is the next stealth QE and Bessent is pushing hard for it. Be careful if you’re short bonds. This will be a fresh source of liquidity for treasuries. Great read: pic.twitter.com/wzwuLzOO11 — QE Infinity …
For Chris Metcalfe, chief investment officer at Kingswood Group’s IBOSS, an allocation to global emerging markets debt “makes absolute sense.” “Yes, US bonds have a more attractive starting yield than they had previously, but the reasons for that increasing yield …
The House has narrowly passed a sweeping Republican-backed spending bill, marking one of the most significant fiscal moves in recent history. The legislation, championed by President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson, extends the 2017 tax cuts, injects billions into defense …
🇺🇸Treasury Secretary Bessent dismisses the US credit rating being downgraded: "I don't put much credence in the Moody's." pic.twitter.com/KwhbDltf4U — Jesse Cohen (@JesseCohenInv) May 18, 2025 BESSENT, AFTER CALL WITH WALMART CEO: WALMART IS GOING TO 'EAT' SOME OF THE …
Bank of America’s sitting on $700B in bonds bought at 1% yields in 2020. Those bonds are down ~40%, hiding $100B in losses. Meanwhile, the Treasury needs to refinance $9T and issue $2.5T in new debt this year. Foreign buyers …
So how do we refinance the debt now? pic.twitter.com/XSeGui9ELI — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) May 13, 2025 The U.S. is on track to default on its debt within four years. We need to refinance $9T this year, plus $2-3T in new …
So far the new admin has done little to reign in spending despite all the discussion about DOGE in the first few months. Not all that surprising given congress extended '25 spending at current law. pic.twitter.com/QRX5ejWpES — Bob Elliott (@BobEUnlimited) …
🚨The US job market is deteriorating: Long-term unemployment hit 1.67 MILLION in April, the highest in 3 YEARS. The share of individuals unemployed for more than 27 weeks of total unemployment hit 23.5%, the highest in 3 years. This has …
Why the US Treasury bond market is on the brink of total COLLAPSE. pic.twitter.com/WlhPEVaXkf — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) May 5, 2025 2/ The US Treasury bond market may be nearing total collapse This $27 trillion asset is nearly the size …
BESSENT JUST NOW: – AS EARLY AS NEXT WEEK WE COULD SEE TRADE DEALS – I AM HIGHLY CONFIDENT THAT 17 TRADING PARTNERS EXCLUDING CHINA HAVE PRESENTED WITH VERY GOOD TRADE PROPOSALS – WE COULD SEE SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS ON TRADE …
BRIEF: Consumers are in deep trouble and cut is necessary ASAP. The Treasury Secretary spoke through the financial media to Jay Powell. He had a very simple message for the Fed Chair: pay attention to the 2s. And Ronald McDonald. …
by confoundedinterest17 DOGE is working: in Q1, US debt funding needs were $2BN less than the Treasury forecast in February, and in Q2 the Treasury is expected to need $53 billion less than it forecast 3 months ago. The result?
by confoundedinterest17 Washington DC is loaded with good ol’ boys. Willing to cut deals with anyone for a slice of financial pie. Like “10% For The Big Guy” Joe Biden. Money flowing into Treasury funds hit its highest since 2017, by far. …
Warren Buffett is making $12,600,000,000 PER YEAR in interest from his treasury bills. Insane! pic.twitter.com/KHzd0BqmMh — Anthony Pompliano 🌪 (@APompliano) April 24, 2025
Treasury bond yields going higher, dollar going lower. We’ve never seen this before. byu/Boo_Randy_II inSilverDegenClub
BREAKING: TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT SAYS THE US SHOULD GET READY TO BRING DOWN TRADE TENSIONS WITH CHINA. – Speaking at a closed-door investor summit hosted by JPMorgan in Washington, D.C. – Bessent said the current tariff standoff with China …
by confoundedinterest17 The good news? The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve is normalizing to January 2022 levels. One the mortgage side, adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) share is the highest since the financial crisis (2008). As Trump continues to stand up …
The Federal Reserve is resisting pressure from the White House and Washington to spur big banks to buy more Treasury bonds, a reluctance that could further shake an unnerved market for US debt. Wild swings in Treasury prices forced President …
“What’s being proposed: The U.S. Treasury is floating the idea of buying back older debt securities. This is essentially a form of yield curve intervention a tool to inject liquidity, support market function, or steer duration risk away from the …
$1 trillion hedge fund trade unravels, threatening middle class, small businesses, and retail investors… “Who’s paying attention to the MULTI-TRILLION DOLLAR hedge fund trade that is unraveling, and about to hammer the middle class, retail shareholders, and small businesses. Wall …
CITI CUTS U.S. EQUITIES TO NEUTRAL, WARNS ON TARIFF IMPACT Citi just downgraded U.S. equities to Neutral from Overweight, flagging recessionary earnings revisions, rich valuations, and trade risks. They now expect global EPS growth of just 4% in 2025—well below …
