Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Smelling chocolate between sets at the gym pushed men to complete far more repetitions than they managed with no scent at all, a new study has found. The men had not eaten for at least ten hours. Yet the boost showed up anyway, and it was strongest with dark chocolate. They did not feel like …
“THE SOMALI SWEEP”: FBI raids 20+ locations in Minnesota fraud blitz Dozens of federal, state, and local agents hit Minneapolis storefronts… DOJ confirms court-authorized activity linked to “ongoing fraud investigation”… Raids largely targeting Somali-linked businesses in massive morning operation… Local leaders on high alert as “unprecedented” coordination shutters city blocks… Former Vikings captain reacts to …
A former Pentagon adviser said Iran is entering negotiations with higher leverage than before the war began. The U.S. spent $12 billion, struck 9,000 targets, and deployed the 82nd Airborne. Iran still controls the Strait of Hormuz and can threaten chaos across the entire region. That’s not the outcome the opening briefings described. Source: CNN …
https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1998841788585365948 Fed Chair Powell: Total PCE rises rose 2.8% over the 12 months ending in September. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices also rose 2.8%. These readings are higher than earlier in the year, as inflation for goods has picked up, reflecting the effects… pic.twitter.com/q8MPm5lCA6 — FactPost (@factpostnews) December 10, 2025 …
In the coming days or weeks, we may switch back to our old domain, IWB (investmentwatchblog.com). That domain has a higher DA, which should help our posts gain better visibility. This isn’t like the previous migration, we’re only swapping the domain. Nothing else will change, so if you’re already a subscriber, you don’t need to …
NATO’S CHIEF RUTTE: “WE ARE SO MUCH STRONGER THAN RUSSIA” “If a plane would pose a threat, we have the authorities to do, if necessary, the ultimate. But if the plane is not posing a threat, we are not going to shoot it down. And then we will gently guide it outside the airspace. This …
Not sure where you get your data but I've got 1198 quakes of m5 or higher in the last 30 days. Are you only looking at the pacific ring of fire? pic.twitter.com/t6lcaRjaLB — Dunc (@duncatbuzzler) August 4, 2025
Maryland-based startup InventWood is set to mass-produce the first batches of ‘Superwood,’ a new material made of modified timber that’s stronger than regular barky stems, and even stronger than steel. It’s set to go on sale later this year. Editor’s note: Readers often ask us for follow-ups on memorable stories. This article was originally published …
Surging inflation drove many consumers to cheaper brands or lower-quality products, but new data suggests that switching might not have saved them as much as they might have expected. During the most recent period of high inflation, prices of the least expensive products increased more than those of the costliest, according to an analysis of …
U.S. Treasury yields jumped Friday as investors digested a better-than-expected September jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield was higher more than 9 basis points at 3.946%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was 14 basis points higher at 3.85%. Yields and prices have an inverted relationship. One basis point equals 0.01%. Nonfarm payrolls grew …
via Mike Shedlock Nonstore sales (think Amazon) were up 1.9 percent from a month ago. Motor vehicles and parts fell 2.0 percent. This behavior has been ongoing since April of 2022. Retail sales from the commerce department, chart by Mish The Bloomberg Econoday consensus expected retail sales would decline by 0.3 percent in May. Instead, …
The 10-year Treasury yield has been rising aggressively on the back of stronger-than-expected economic data This is a major headwind for equities pic.twitter.com/C0Xc2ZAf8x — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 14, 2023 https://twitter.com/WinfieldSmart/status/1691087531813515264 #Bonds are starting to look bad… US Treasury term premia (black) are breaking higher and pushing 10y yields up (orange). This isn't good for …
Tight monetary policy has significantly deteriorated the housing market % of houses featuring price cuts reached record levels in 2022 Even though the % has reduced since, it's still historically very elevated pic.twitter.com/lnrApBVay0 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) June 29, 2023 Stronger than expected GDP. Rate hike odds now 90%, market's about to explode. pic.twitter.com/9FEzipo4SI — …
