Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Trigger Warning: Chart of the Day: Citi Surprise Index vs SFR9 My hypothesis is that the US economy has begun to slow due to the long and variable lags of monetary policy finally starting to offset the positive benefits that have come from higher government deficits putting… pic.twitter.com/KP9FXPKLqH — Craig Shapiro (@ces921) May 16, 2024 …
The movie theater operator sold 72.5 million shares in an equity offering launched in March. The $250 million stock sale was finalized Monday during a revived meme stock craze triggered by the return of “Roaring Kitty.” AMC Entertainment raised about $250 million of new equity capital, completing the sale Monday during the revived meme stock …
https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1789817492648419406 US technology stock prices are ~2x larger relative to the S&P 500, the most ever. Even more than in the Dot-com bubble However, what do their valuations look like? Are the US tech stocks in a bubble again? The full analysis is under the below link👇https://t.co/KRQ2mT0oVC — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) May 13, 2024 …
by Graham Summers, MBA As I outlined yesterday, the Fed is in a panic. By quick way of review: The Fed stopped raising rates in June 2023. Since that time, the Fed has shifted to talking about easing monetary conditions. This has ignited a second wave of inflation. On an annualized basis, the 1-month change …
Small vs Large — a Big Valuation Gap: https://t.co/LfMLUBsesJ Small caps are about as cheap as they get vs large caps. All those stories and narratives about Large Growth are already in the price, and then some. Longer-term contrarian minded investors should take note. pic.twitter.com/hGYJyO5NcK — Topdown Charts (@topdowncharts) May 6, 2024
Interesting that price pressures are decreasing in Germany while Survey has likely bottomed. There is a reason why European stocks are outperforming their US peers. pic.twitter.com/SlH1jUAgMk — The Macro Guy (@SagarSinghSetia) April 23, 2024 italian banks ripping this morning.. rate cut hopium https://t.co/AfRuywrPpV — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) April 23, 2024 https://twitter.com/WinfieldSmart/status/1782712426154401801 European 🇪🇺 Equities pic.twitter.com/K1KHw5cZED — …
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist The stock market has finally woken up to what I’ve been warning about for weeks… namely that inflation is rebounding. By quick way of review, the Fed stopped raising interest rates in July 2023. It then started talking about cutting interest rates in November. And it did …
Chip stocks fell on Wednesday after ASML, a key developer of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, said that bookings fell by 61% sequentially during the first quarter, a steeper drop than investors had expected. AMD’s stock fell over nearly 6%, Nvidia shares fell over 3%, Intel shares fell under 2% and Qualcomm was off over 2%. But …
Japanese equities witnessed their initial weekly outflow in more than three months, coinciding with record yen net shorts fueled by an assumption of invincibility against adverse events, underpinned by the belief in central banks’ bailout capabilities. This perception of an endgame scenario, wherein risks are dismissed in favor of reliance on central bank interventions, underscores …
The U.S. Stock Market is the most concentrated it’s been since the Great Depression pic.twitter.com/VpsGnsHJNY — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 9, 2024 The dwindling presence of small-cap stocks in the US equity market is ringing alarm bells reminiscent of the Great Depression era. Currently, these stocks represent less than 4% of the entire market, …
By Matthew Piepenburg In this brief, 13-minute compilation of insights from 2023, VON GREYERZ, AG partner, Matthew Piepenburg, reminds us of prior warnings which are truer than ever (and playing out) today as the stock market totally divorces itself from the real (and recessionary) economy. There’s a reason gold is spiking, for despite a Fed-driven …
The Stock Market is in a bubble and the AI craze is getting out of hand warns Societe Generale pic.twitter.com/SKoAsWxxlU — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 4, 2024 Hedge Fund exposure to momentum stocks has reached all-time highs pic.twitter.com/1vD3drYVU3 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 4, 2024 Google sued two people based in China it …
Nvidia hard rejection. Facing the first down week of 2024. pic.twitter.com/VuLG4tMbeF — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 27, 2024 The stock of the week is Micron which posted a "surprise" profit this week and guided up on what else – AI. The interesting thing is that during this past year's melt-up, the stock was unprofitable EVERY quarter. …
The Russell 2000 index has risen 24 per cent since the beginning of 2020, lagging behind the S&P 500’s more than 60 per cent gain over the same period. The gap in performance shakes up a long-term historical norm in which fast-growing small-caps have tended to deliver punchier returns for investors who can stomach the …
by Phoenix Capital Research Yesterday, I detailed how the Fed is a political entity… and it leans left. By quick way of review… 1) The Bernanke-led Fed launched QE 3 just three months before the 2012 Presidential election. At the time, the economy was growing, unemployment was falling, and there were no signs of systemic …
Recent market movements have set off alarm bells across the financial landscape, prompting investors to scrutinize the underlying causes behind the sudden upheaval. One notable indicator of trouble brewing is the surge in the USD/CHN pair, surpassing the critical 7.25 mark, while the Chinese yuan faces significant downward pressure. This abrupt shift in currency dynamics …
by mrmrmrj pic.twitter.com/vJmgOCxYjF — GoldSilver HQ (@GoldSilverHQ) March 18, 2024
Low beta and value includes sectors like energy, materials, mining, insurance… h/t mrmrmrj
US stocks are priced for perfection in an “imperfect and dangerous” world, Jeremy Grantham said. Grantham’s worries include overseas wars and weakness, unaffordable housing, and climate damage. The top investor said AI could be bigger than the internet but the initial bubble would likely pop. Stocks are dangerously overvalued and poised to disappoint, the AI bubble is …
BY DAVID HAGGITH There is nothing like burning up money! It was no prediction when I implied yesterday that that stock market would likely rise after getting word of hotter inflation today—just a penetrating glance into the obvious: Markets await the reports with bated breath. Still, stocks and bonds have both been steeped in so much unreality …
Attention American patriots! Many government officials and billionaires have told us that everything is going to be okay. The United States will find a way to manage the trillions of dollars of debt, the supply chain shortages will be resolved, and the economy will bounce back. However, as patriots, we shouldn’t look at what these …
BY DAVID HAGGITH One chart here shows patterns like the present that ended in major disaster at about the point where the pattern is today. I’m sure it’s no surprise to anyone that the Magnificent 7, which led the huge rally in recent months to record highs, would be the stocks that take the rally …
by TheBarnacle63 I just checked ratings for S&P components, and I am a bit shocked at what I see. Here are the ratings based on Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Underperform, and Sell Strong Buy: 29 Buy: 349 Hold: 117 Underperform: 4 Sell: 0 No Rating: 1 I get nervous when no analyst is willing to …
🇨🇳China Stocks See Largest Weekly Outflow Since October, Says BofA Chinese stock funds saw the largest weekly outflow since October, as the government seeks to stem a decline in the stock market, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists. About $1.6 billion was pulled… pic.twitter.com/uTbqAbcoaS — Tracy Shuchart (𝒞𝒽𝒾 ) (@chigrl) March 1, 2024 Chinese …
🚨 Insiders are selling off billions in stocks! What's up with that? Something big on the horizon? 🤔💼 pic.twitter.com/ktdan6zyt0 — GoldSilver HQ (@GoldSilverHQ) February 22, 2024 https://twitter.com/JosephChantry/status/1759724700950004003 Mark Zuckerberg sells another 97,093 shares of $META ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/XbSmZDUqb6 — BayStreet Stocks (@baystreetstocks) February 13, 2024 Jeff Bezos sells additional $2.4 billion in Amazon shareshttps://t.co/rwZXTsGvuX@amazon @JeffBezos pic.twitter.com/xHj0AxGMkj …
BY DAVID HAGGITH Photo by Charlotte Harrison on Unsplash Today’s news is so flooded with stories that show the trends I’ve teen warning about that I can’t even begin to cover them all in the time I have to read through the news, organize it and then write an editorial. So, I’m going to go through them in …
The Daily Gold, Released on 2/14/24 Gold stocks are approaching extremely oversold levels and their valuations are near all-time lows. Sentiment is in the toilet. The common denominator behind the biggest rebounds in the gold stocks (as seen in 2008, 2016 and 2020) was the big move in Gold each time. If Gold makes a …
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/rich-heres-americans-think-considered-182847861.html Top 10% wealth: The top 10% of the population has a net worth of approximately $854,900. h/t HighYieldLarry
via Lance Roberts As the financial markets grind higher, retirement savers have consciously decided to add more to equity risk. Such was the result of a recent Bloomberg survey. “Retirement savers want more stocks in their portfolios as a hedge against inflation, potentially offering a long-term tailwind for equities as societies age, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets …
