Convertible notes protect noteholders if stock falls below conversion price: Cash, not stock, repays below the conversion price. $MSTR’s leverage risk could destabilize $BTC; parallels drawn with $NVDA’s market impact.

Late to this party but this is wrong under any reading of the convertible notes prospectus. If the stock is below the conversion price, noteholders get their principal and accrued interest paid back in cash, not stock The fact he is saying this only feeds the “docs don’t matter, fiat …

READ MORE

Stock market optimism clashes with consumer reality: rising retail inventories, declining spending.

Once again, the disconnect between what the stock market is hoping and what the consumer is telling us, is striking. Retail inventories are climbing month after month, and revisions are upward. The consumer is spending less and less and retail inventory levels are climbing… https://t.co/bBT0uZf6Ym — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) …

READ MORE

The stock market isn’t a serious thing anymore. Market cycles repeat: rich buy low, hype builds, rug pull, sheep panic.

The stock market isn't a serious thing anymore How the FUCK is $KULR a $1b company with $3m in revenue in the last quarter and 50% operating LOSS pic.twitter.com/jMA6Y94PNU — Daniel Romero (@HyperTechInvest) December 26, 2024 100x P/S with such margins is bonkers — Daniel Romero (@HyperTechInvest) December 26, 2024 …

READ MORE

This stock is WAY too expensive.

Agree 💯 $AAPL is too expensive now. The company has failed to show an improvement in it's sales and I'm just wondering why it's trading at these levels. — Stoic Investor (@Stoic_investr) December 24, 2024

Stock prices surge despite modest earnings growth, US consumer confidence drops to 104.7 in December, largest decline in 3 years.

This chart is eye-opening: The S&P 500 has seen modest growth in corporate earnings compared to its notable price appreciation since 2023, the year where, among other things, ChatGPT was released. pic.twitter.com/N03i8gn7Bs — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) December 23, 2024 BREAKING: The US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7 points …

READ MORE

US households’ stock allocation hits all-time high at 43.4%, surpassing 2000 Dot-Com Bubble by 5 points. Is smart money running to the exit?

⚠️US HOUSEHOLDS STOCK ALLOCATION HIT A NEW RECORD⚠️ Americans' exposure to stocks as a % of financial assets rose to a record 43.4% in Q3 2024. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 15 years. It has now surpassed the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble levels by 5 percentage points. pic.twitter.com/2cegQ67N3s — …

READ MORE

If Michael Saylor is a genius, why does he need to keep telling people to buy his stock and borrow massive amounts of money? If Bitcoin collapses he faces a massive margin call from his lenders. No one will lend him money, he can’t issue new stock.

I don't understand why people buy $MSTR instead of just buying $BTC. — HayderTrader (@HayderTrader) December 21, 2024 https://twitter.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1870370239164166605 Bitcoin $BTC ETFs saw an outflow of $680 million on Thursday, the largest outflow in history 🚨 pic.twitter.com/PvAVtTFogQ — Barchart (@Barchart) December 21, 2024

Unlike 2008, we have both a historically overpriced housing bubble AND stock market bubble.

The median renter in America has a net worth of $10,400. The median homeowner’s net worth is $400,000 Wall Street Pours Billions Into Build-To-Rent Communities, Betting Big Against Home Ownership Amid High Prices and Interest Rates While the pillars of the stock market are highly concentrated in just a few …

READ MORE

BIG Bubbles? Biden/Democrats Spending Spree + FED = Massive Asset Bubbles = OVERVALUATION In Stock Market And Housing (Buffett Indicator, SP500 Mean Reversion, Shiller PE Ratio, CaseShiller To Gov Spending)

by confoundedinterest17 Apparently, the late Hawaiian crooner Don Ho foresaw Biden’s irresponsible spending spree. That is, BIG BUBBLES. Let’s start with the Buffett Indicator (Warren, not Jimmy!). It indicates that the stock market is STRONGLY OVERVALUED. The S&P 500 Mean Reversion Model also shows the stock market to be STRONGLY OVERVALUED. How about …

READ MORE

Job market imploding?! The Fed is going to cut rates again next week while food price inflation rises and stock valuations remain at extreme levels. Gold is about to start making headlines again!

#recession … #StockMarket Bubble edition https://t.co/p7cgcLzyrT pic.twitter.com/So5TXB58ic — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) December 11, 2024 Big cap Tech performance last 8 trading days $GOOGL 14%$AAPL 5.5% $MSFT 6% $META 10% $TSLA 18% $NFLX 6% — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 11, 2024 Bitcoin rippingGold rippingMost stocks ripping. Why? Because the Fed is a …

READ MORE

Bloomberg US Pure Momentum Portfolio plunged today, marking a stunning and sudden momentum collapse. The AI software & crypto stock momentum is wearing off.

The Bloomberg US Pure Momentum Portfolio is a financial index designed to track the performance of stocks that exhibit strong momentum characteristics. Momentum investing involves selecting securities that have performed well in the recent past, under the assumption that they will continue to perform well in the near future. This …

READ MORE

The Euphoriameter hit a record 1.1 points. An all-time high 43% of investors doubting a stock market crash. The Schiller P/E ratio has hit 23-year highs. Enjoy the euphoric exit pump!

An all-time high 43% of investors think there is a less than 10% chance of a stock market crash occurring in the next 6 months 🚨 pic.twitter.com/c46U09cdsC — Barchart (@Barchart) December 6, 2024 This is wild: The Euphoriameter, an indicator measuring investor sentiment, hit a record 1.1 points, according to …

READ MORE

The global economy has “unexpectedly” gone into a tailspin and US executives are selling stock at extreme levels

Trump won and the global economy has "unexpectedly" gone into a tailspin https://t.co/W5lAAGM06Q pic.twitter.com/af02CAdEnx — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 4, 2024 US executives are selling stock at extreme levels: The ratio of insider sellers to buyers hit nearly 6x, the most in at least two decades. This is DOUBLE the average …

READ MORE

Oh, sure, another bull run sounds totally likely with sky-high stock prices and a crumbling economy. Santa comes to town or this house of cards explodes at all time highs?

I worry about this too. I don’t see how you have another stock market bull run given how overpriced equities are along with how bad the economy is. It’s going to get worse before it gets better. https://t.co/16VaPMt40N — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 4, 2024 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Asset managers …

READ MORE

Record-high U.S. consumer confidence in the stock market often signals impending downturns.

Highest ever! Renowned contrarians! (Not a precise timing indicator BUT almost always ends badly) Go figure….. US Consumer confidence about the 12m outlook for the US stock market pic.twitter.com/hGtFPqlOWG — Chris Watling (@LongviewEcon) December 3, 2024 Positioning on S&P 500 Is Very Extended pic.twitter.com/ZleRSyP4j3 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) December …

READ MORE

History books will write that Joe Biden’s pardon of his son marked the start of the stock market collapse.

https://twitter.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1863493155582062968 Depression intensifies.. https://t.co/9oLzMHD7Fj — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 2, 2024 A banking crash in one part of the world doesn't stay there; it's a global game of dominoes where banks fall one after the other. pic.twitter.com/2YT2ol8MBq — GoldSilver HQ (@GoldSilverHQ) December 2, 2024 When the cattle collectively realize …

READ MORE

America’s First 24-Hour Stock Exchange Gets Operational Approval will allow investors to get out of risky positions beyond official market timing

U.S. regulators have approved a nonstop stock exchange to begin operations in the country, which is expected to boost overnight liquidity available to traders. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in Washington on Sept. 18, 2008. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images “24 Exchange announced today that it has received approval from the …

READ MORE

Core CPI, PPI, and PCE are all back on the rise. Inflation won’t die until the stock market crashes. Gold is warning.

BREAKING: October PCE inflation, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, RISES to 2.3%, in-line with expectations of 2.3%. Core PCE inflation RISES, to 2.8%, in-line with expectations of 2.8%. Core CPI, PPI, and PCE are all back on the rise. What happened to the “Fed pivot?” BREAKING: October PCE inflation, the …

READ MORE

Stock Market: An Overspeculation Environment

by OpportunityNo2074 There are eery comparisions to the dot-com bubble, it is becoming increasingly hard to believe that a rising industry such as the AI one is worth what investors are betting its worth. Top 5 Positions in the S&P500 index as of as of 11/22/2024. Rank Company Weight Price …

READ MORE

BofA reports record US stock market concentration, 4th highest S&P 500 P/E

https://twitter.com/MichaelMOTTCM/status/1860708854905872779 BofA: 4th highest S&P 500 trailing 12m P/E in the past 124 years pic.twitter.com/HL04yEVb1a — Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) November 24, 2024 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1860689912837636286 BofA: US stock market concentration hit a record high this month pic.twitter.com/x6an4Xfwtx — Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) November 24, 2024 Bitcoin is …

READ MORE

Matt Gaetz says he will expose corruption, treason, and betrayal related to stock trading in Congress.

…. https://t.co/GxdFVBrF2E pic.twitter.com/3VcPErajBP — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 22, 2024 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Matt Gaetz says he will expose corruption, treason, and betrayal related to stock trading in Congress. pic.twitter.com/yKwvRqgRix — Radar 𝘸​ Archie🚨 (@RadarHits) November 22, 2024 🚨THE CHARLIE KIRK SHOW EXCLUSIVE🚨 MATT GAETZ: "I'm still gonna be in …

READ MORE

Nvidia misses sky-high whisper targets, stock dips despite strong $37.5B revenue outlook.

https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/nvidia-earnings-stock-results-guidance-blackwell-ai-revenue?mod=home-page *NVIDIA SEES 4Q REV $37.5B PLUS OR MINUS 2%*NVIDIA SAYS HOPPER DEMAND, BLACKWELL ANTICIPATION 'INCREDIBLE'*NVIDIA SHARES FALL 5% AFTER 3Q EARNINGS REPORT — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) November 20, 2024 BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA earnings: EPS: $0.81 vs $0.75 expectedRevenue: $35.082 Billion vs expected $33.1 Billion pic.twitter.com/x66fSY47Pe — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) …

READ MORE

Bitcoin’s rise ties to Tether, funding US debt; dependency on legacy systems exposed. MSTR stock drives Bitcoin purchases, creating a self-reinforcing cycle. How long can it last?

**Tether Alert** The idea that Wall Street is embracing Tether and Bitcoin is much clearer.The more Tethers are being bought, the higher Bitcoin goes. The higher Bitcoin goes the more Tethers are being bought. As Tether grows in size the more US Treasury debt is being… https://t.co/SwF1Ha6rQf — bob coleman …

READ MORE

Walmart stock soars 60% in 2024, its best year since 1999.

🚨🇺🇸WALMART STOCK SOARS 60%, BEST YEAR SINCE 1999 Walmart shares have surged 60% this year, far outpacing the S&P 500's 23% rise. The retailer's low prices and growing e-commerce and advertising revenues have given it a strong edge over rivals. Third-quarter results are… pic.twitter.com/vzKi5FgoV5 — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) November 18, …

READ MORE

Warren Buffett Breaks 6-Year Streak Of Berkshire Hathaway Stock Buybacks, Say ‘It’s Too Expensive’

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett recently ended a six-year streak of stock buybacks for the company. While the company regularly participates in stock buybacks, it did not do so during the third quarter, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Despite having over $325 billion in cash reserves, Buffett opted …

READ MORE

It’s begun! $VIX signals rising stock market volatility, echoing patterns seen before 2008 crisis!

Yield erosion accelerates. Dow jones breaches 3 months trend line Nasdaq Double top . Semiconductors Down 13% from A/T high. Gold forewarning. Cattle misdirected with hope and bullish narrative. DXY up 5% from low. The $VIX forewarning. God bless and Godspeed. Yield erosion accelerates.Dow jones breaches 3 months trend lineNasdaq …

READ MORE