Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Watch closely when #VIX specs short $VIX in size as the $markets are rising. Previous two episodes of large VIX selling over the past year ended with the $SPX correcting… and this time the VIX action has been extreme.h/t @themarketear pic.twitter.com/SHZw8BZPzz — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) August 27, 2025 The 2-10 curve is at its steepest …
1) On a month over month basis, home values dropped in 24 of 50 states in March. The drops in value were most concentrated in the Sun Belt and Mountain West, as well as California. pic.twitter.com/xOuFYpoPNq — Nick Gerli (@nickgerli1) April 17, 2025 4) In Tampa, values are already down -3.3% over the last year. …
Steepest drop since September 2008. pic.twitter.com/8lMdk43vdb — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) December 16, 2024 China’s retail sales rose by 3% in November from a year ago, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released Monday, missing the forecast of 4.6% in a Reuters poll. That marked a sharp slowdown from 4.8% growth in the previous month. Retail sales in October …
Adobe shares fell 14% on Thursday, their steepest drop since September 2022, after the software vendor issued disappointing revenue guidance. Sales in the fiscal first quarter will be between $5.63 billion and $5.68 billion, Adobe said in its fourth-quarter earnings report late Wednesday. Analysts on average were expecting revenue of $5.73 billion, according to LSEG. Analysts at TD …
The USA is currently experiencing the longest and steepest yield curve inversion in recorded history between the 10-year Treasury Note and 3-month Treasury Bill. Historical data shows that such inversions have preceded economic recessions. The prolonged inversion is seen as “smart money” signaling skepticism about the Federal Reserve’s narrative on inflation. This skepticism raises questions …
Why? Bank reported massive exposure to US commercial real estate. https://japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/business/companies/20240201-166218/ h/t betsharks0
As investor purchases in the housing market plummet at an unprecedented rate, dropping 29.7% year over year to 48,667 in Q3 2023—the lowest third-quarter level since 2016—the broader US real estate landscape faces a significant slowdown. Investors are scaling back on their purchases in the housing market at a record pace. Investor purchases dropped 29.7% …