Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Everyone’s watching the $VIX. Almost nobody’s watching the VVIX. $VIX drops 13% and the timeline relaxes. But options on the $VIX itself? Still at the 88th percentile. That’s institutional hedgers quietly keeping their crash insurance fully loaded. Surface calm. Expensive tail protection underneath. That’s not contradiction. That’s a tell. $IWM round-tripped its entire intraday rally …
Every major correction on this chart started the same way. The Weekly 9 EMA crossed below the 21 EMA. 2022 Bear Market • Drop: -27% Market rallied… Then another correction • -10% Market rallied harder… Fast forward to now: Tariff Panic • Drop: -21% We rallied again… And the same weekly bearish cross just printed. …
🚨🚨🚨 CHINA SURROUNDED TAIWAN WHILE AMERICA WAS FIGHTING IRAN. THE TIMING IS NOT A COINCIDENCE. 🚨🚨🚨 Yesterday, Taiwan's military detected 26 Chinese warplanes. 7 Chinese navy ships. All circling the island at once. This is the LARGEST military presence China has shown… pic.twitter.com/Zsgp1rfWDN — 🇨🇳 Wei Zhao 赵伟 (@antmillionsbot) March 15, 2026 HONG KONG — …
Il a fini de boire mais le verre est toujours rempli ! pic.twitter.com/dZxke50nQ7 — varan🐊 2.0 🇨🇮 (@luca_varan) March 15, 2026 AI slop pic.twitter.com/pu1hgXI6qB — kian (@kian_sasan) March 15, 2026 Got some serious questions about the validity of this blatantly obvious AI video…🤷🏻♂️ Magical pocket… Coffee in the cup defying gravity… Customer with mask behind …
by confoundedinterest17 People are staying in their homes longer now than in 2006. 12 years now versus 6.5 years in 2006. The average effective mortgage life is 5-7 years, 12 years in the same home makes housing policy more difficult to implement.
It seems the media outside the US is even worse than our own. — floridanow1 (@floridanow1) January 22, 2026
“The Trump administration has so far remained silent on a widening corruption scandal inside Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s government and inner circle. The White House did not respond to a request for comment on a $100 million corruption probe announced this week that has already prompted the resignations of senior Ukrainian officials. Corruption has long …
Public broadcasters just dropped a bombshell: nearly half of all automated news responses are wrong and the companies behind them are still pushing these systems into classrooms, search engines, and government portals without friction, disclaimers, or oversight. This isn’t a tech hiccup. It’s a systemic failure, coordinated across platforms and languages, where fabricated quotes, misdated …
Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs was denied bail for the fifth time and will stay in jail until sentencing on October 3. The judge ruled that he is a flight risk and a danger because of evidence showing violence and threats against former girlfriends and escorts. The defense said he was just living a swinger lifestyle, but …
BREAKING: Dramatic SCENE at a DHS press event led by South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem—Secret Service intervenes as a Democrat Senator is ESCORTED OUT following a heated outburst. The moment was captured on camera and is now going viral. 👉 Meanwhile, a major court victory for President Trump: an appellate court rules the National Guard …
I don't know if we'll ever get this type of correction, but this support line would represent a -90% peak-to-trough correction if it ever happens. pic.twitter.com/oGnwqwjCRZ — Curtis (@curtis90335) May 30, 2025 https://coastaljournal.substack.com/p/the-hunger-games-of-inflation?utm_source=app-post-stats-page&r=18thb9&utm_medium=ios&triedRedirect=true
by David Haggith The big-deal, China-deal stock rally didn’t last long with the Dow falling today (while the S&P and Nasdaq put out modest to decent gains). US Treasuries also climbed (intraday) back above the 4.5% level on the 10YR, which has, for a long time now, been the pressurized level at which stocks become …
Markets get a quick relief rally as policy uncertainty drops—Powell stays, and the US signals a China trade thaw. Short term, expect lower volatility, risk-on flows, and upside for trade-linked sectors both in the US and globally. Tap to expand for full context Longer term, the… — Alva (@AlvaApp) April 23, 2025 Dow Jones Futures …
by Martin Armstrong The violence against Tesla owners has gone too far. Left-leaning politicians have done nothing to stop the ongoing attacks by deranged individuals who believe they are “activists.” Nazi swastikas are appearing on Teslas throughout the world, while other vehicles are being set on fire. Now, these psychopaths have resorted to attacking people …
Trump calls off reciprocal tariffs for 90 days. Doubles down on tariffs with China, now with a 125% tariff. Continues to impose a 10% tariff on the rest of the world. Despite the pause, the U.S. remains the highest tariff industrialized country. pic.twitter.com/Ue4g1a1gRb — Justin Wolfers (@JustinWolfers) April 9, 2025 cant say earnings don't matter …
NEW: A McDonald’s bystander says Luigi Mangione heard his friend talking about him but decided to stay at McDonald’s anyway. “My one friend thought he looked like the shooter. He probably heard us. That surprised me that he stayed there as long as he did.” “From what I was told, the worker that took his …
Six Department of Education employees used “forged permission slips” to take their own kids and grandchildren to Disney World and on other city-funded trips meant for homeless students, investigators alleged. The secret perks robbed some of the city’s most disadvantaged kids of a chance to enjoy the Magic Kingdom — a trip that cost $66,000 …
Schiff delivered his warning to donors during a meeting on Saturday, which occurred prior to the attempted assassination on former President Donald Trump’s life. Schiff feared not only that Democrats would lose the White House but that they would also lose the down-ticket races in the House and Senate. “I think if he is our …
Hartford, Conn. – Two decades after her release from prison, Teresa Beatty feels she is still being punished. When her mother died two years ago, the state of Connecticut put a lien on the Stamford home she and her siblings inherited. It said she owed $83,762 to cover the cost of her 2 1/2year imprisonment for drug …
https://www.ft.com/content/31c3a55b-9af9-4158-8a49-4397540571bf The New York Stock Exchange is considering going 24/7, the FT reported. The exchange polled market participants about the merits of round-the-clock trading, per the outlet. Meanwhile, a Steve Cohen-backed startup is seeking SEC approval for a 24-hour exchange. https://www.businessinsider.com/new-york-stock-exchange-24-hour-trading-steve-cohen-startup-2024-4?op=1
The Chinese government is tightening the noose on debt defaulters, imposing stringent penalties that include restrictions on high-speed rail travel and luxury accommodations. This move is part of a broader crackdown on unpaid bills. What Happened: Beijing is resorting to severe actions against those who fail to settle their debts. Measures include salary seizures, barring …
ATLANTA — A Georgia judge ruled Friday that Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis should not be disqualified from prosecuting the racketeering case against former President Donald Trump and several co-defendants — with one major condition. Fulton County Superior Court Judge Scott McAfee found the “appearance of impropriety” brought about by Willis’ romantic relationship with …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ib5Yds-uj9U “When Elizabeth Hirschhorn’s Airbnb stay ended in April 2022, she simply didn’t move out. She’s been living there rent-free ever since, and she refused to budge unless Jovanovic paid her a relocation fee of $100,000,” Her attorney (said) “she was not required to pay rent because the city had never approved the unit for …
Barack Obama stays silent when asked if wife Michelle is running for president amid rumors Barack Obama was spotted leaving Funke restaurant in Beverly Hills, LA He was not drawn on whether wife Michelle could run for president Barack Obama stayed silent when asked whether his wife Michelle might make a bid for the White …
As word spread of a new city policy that will limit shelter stays to 60 days at a time for adult male migrants, asylum seekers are angry and worried about ending up in the streets. Mayor Eric Adams on Wednesday announced a new city policy that will boot single male migrants from shelters — he …