scenario

The World Bank has issued a serious warning that oil prices and food prices could surge dramatically due to escalating conflict in the Middle East — The worst-case scenario could see oil prices rise by as much as 75%

by TonyLiberty The World Bank has issued a serious warning that oil prices and food prices could surge dramatically due to escalating conflict in the Middle East. The World Bank outlined three potential scenarios for oil supply disruptions, each with varying degrees of price increases. The worst-case scenario could see oil prices rise by as …

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BREAKING: White House orders DoD to begin preparing Contingency Plans for a “Worst Case Scenario” in the Middle East

The White House has ordered the Department of Defense to begin preparing Contingency Plans for a “Worst Case Scenario” in the Middle East which could require the Evacuation of Hundreds of Thousands of U.S. Nationals from the Region with Significant Concern for the roughly 600,000 Americans in Lebanon and Israel. The White House has ordered …

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Big banks in Britain are preparing for any future escalation of Western sanctions on China and have shared their “scenario planning” with the British and U.S. governments

via reuters: Banking industry is assessing China exposures Review of risks sent to Western governments – UK Finance Bank boards discuss possible impact of any China curbs – bankers Lawyers receive surge in calls for mitigation advice West-China tensions have put banks on alert LONDON, Oct 13 (Reuters) – Big banks in Britain are preparing …

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Global economy’s ‘soft landing’ stumbles amid soaring bond yields, raising concerns of massive corporate failures in 2024. A hard landing scenario is in the cards.

Global economy’s glide to ‘soft landing’ gets bumpy as bond yields jump WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) – Rocketing U.S. government bond yields that have led to a global jump in borrowing costs are raising new risks for economic policymakers hoping to lower inflation without triggering a major crisis. The world’s finance officials, who will gather …

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The media is setting up a “Perfect Storm” scenario to cover the looming economic crisis caused by the Fed

“Once again, media’s setting up the “Perfect Storm” narrative to cover for the Fed’s recession. The Journal lists out a “convergence of hazards” that could tip us over: union strikes, government shutdown, student loans, soaring gas prices. Only one they forgot is aliens. They do this every time: Biden’s inflation had a new excuse every …

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Yellen is delusional if she thinks the debt market is signaling a soft landing scenario

https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1706683773809471667 US New Home Sales Crashed In August https://t.co/a5z87RkW9M — zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 26, 2023 Sales of newly built homes reverse course, drop nearly 9% in August https://t.co/Lq2RTuNWjz @uscensusbureau — Diana Olick (@DianaOlick) September 26, 2023 Home prices in the US will fall 30%, per Jeremy Grantham. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) September 26, 2023 Imagine that. …

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Rapid corporate interest payments make the “No Recession” scenario unlikely.

2/ There's a noticeable uptick in narratives around the prospect of a "soft landing" in recent months Meanwhile, discussions around the potential for a "recession" are dwindling in 2023 pic.twitter.com/6jwkX6V8oq — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 23, 2023 4/ The notion of a 'soft landing' isn't confined to just discussions; it's influencing market behavior The impressive …

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FED’s Kashkar warns against 1970s scenario with stopped raising rates too soon

FED'S KASHKARI: WE NEED TO AVOID A 1970S-TYPE SCENARIO WHERE THE FED STOPPED RAISING RATES TOO SOON. Correct even if that means burning down the ponzi scheme — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) August 15, 2023 Jerome Powell trying to save the economy pic.twitter.com/EEWVkD2MqJ — Not Jerome Powell (@alifarhat79) August 15, 2023 BREAKING: Canada's inflation jumps to …

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Ukraine’s Defense Minister Calls Russian Offensive Movements At Kupiansk A “nightmare” Scenario; Ukrainian Defenses On Verge Of Collapse

UKRAINIAN NORTHERN FLANK IS ON THE VERGE OF TOTAL COLLAPSE https://t.co/aw4j0nggdC — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) August 12, 2023 UKRAINE’S DEFENSE MINISTER CALLS RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE MOVEMENTS AT KUPIANSK A “NIGHTMARE” SCENARIO; UKRAINIAN DEFENSES ON VERGE OF COLLAPSE — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) August 11, 2023 Russia-Ukraine war live: Moscow says it has destroyed 20 drones over Crimea https://t.co/CIXNJ8gMLS — …

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When the “experts” assure us of a soft landing scenario for the economy, brace for impact

What amazes me is people looking at something as simple as the yield curve and saying “this time it’s different” w/o giving any explanation why there’s so much demand at the long end of the curve. It’s not different this time, this cycle is playing out like every other cycle. — George Gammon (@GeorgeGammon) July …

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Europe is sinking towards an enormous cyclical contraction, the resilient labour market is testimony to the fact that stagflation remains the most probable scenario in Europe

by BoatSurfer600 Source: Sagar Singh LinkedIn Labour market still remains hot as shortages loom. The stagflation is upon us in Europe. pic.twitter.com/Nyt39eG6JV — The Macro Guy (@SagarSinghSetia) June 28, 2023 Remember 2008? It’s happening again! Some European countries are exhibiting activity similar to the 2008 GFC. The cyclical sectors of the economy are facing a …

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Here’s a Wildcard Scenario For 2024

by Chris Black Biden gets indicted for bribery, DeSantis steals the primary from Trump by getting all the delegates on board (citing Trumps legal problems), DeSantis wins over MAGA voters by promising to put Biden in prison and pardon Trump if he wins, he eeks out a narrow victory, doesn’t jail Biden, but nobody notices …

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