Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently hemorrhaging, trading at $79,225, down 2.28% in a violent midday reversal… The broader CRYPTO index has been gutted by a 7.2% flush since the peak of the 9:30 am Beijing optimism… Investors are stampeding toward the “Safety Dollar” (DXY 99.30), the strongest level in a month… The 10-year Treasury yield has …
TraderHC @traderhc The dollar just broke below 99 during a genuine risk-off episode. Read that situation carefully. $DXY is supposed to rally when $VIX is at 25 and fear gauges are flashing. That’s the Dollar Smile theory. Crisis means dollar strength. Instead, the greenback is making new lows. The 2-year yield at 3.56% tells the …
DAX is breaking down hard. That is not just a Europe problem it is a global risk off signal. Capital is rotating. Expect the US dollar to catch a bid as investors flee to safety. Watch DXY, EUR USD, and gold closely. This move is just getting started. DAX looks like its breaking down… pic.twitter.com/dlLdU3fzbf …
It’s very unusual for the dollar to selloff in risk-off periods. This is EM style behavior. It’s getting violent now. As the dollar sells off, it raises import inflation. Which will make the tariff situation worse. That’s the Doom Loop. — Danny Dayan (@DannyDayan5) June 12, 2025 At what point does a major gold/silver producer …
After a prolonged period of tight spreads and a downward trend, the high-yield spread has finally broken out. This is another critical chart sending an important message, further reinforcing a risk-off stance. pic.twitter.com/WJpDk7A4yx — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) March 31, 2025 Excellent interview. The recent drop in rates could be temporary once tariffs are implemented. They …
Core inflation is back on the rise, and this is a trend we can’t ignore. With economic growth forecasts slipping, this kind of data paints a bleak picture for what’s to come. This isn’t a simple uptick; it’s a warning signal. We’re looking at the possibility of stagflation becoming a serious concern by 2025. Rising …
$TLT is a technical beauty right now. This is going to launch most asset classes in the short, short term. Long risk-off assets AND risk-on assets for a pop. pic.twitter.com/QQWdqGZcq6 — Fibonacci Investing⚡️ (@FibonacciInves1) March 19, 2025
Checking in on crypto … pic.twitter.com/8mgHaUHMdH — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) December 26, 2024 The cryptocurrency market faced a sharp sell-off this morning, rattling investors as major assets like Polkadot (DOT) and Chainlink (LINK) suffered notable declines. This heightened volatility has reignited concerns about the stability and resilience of the decentralized finance space. https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/large-cryptocurrencies-drop-on-polkadot-chainlink-decreases-f5dac385-6bcc987e3d17?mod=mw_latestnews
"Markets pricing in the most cuts since 2008."@marketdesk via @MikeZaccardi pic.twitter.com/qIUTMQymi8 — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) August 10, 2024 This is where the bull shit hits the road. This entire week's global rally was based on the widespread belief that the BOJ has paused permanently. However, the majority of economists in Japan expect rates to continue …