A hub for independent voices and hard truths
June 1st marked the day President Trump’s 50 percent tariffs on European goods officially kicked in. Many retail traders expected the tariffs to be delayed or rolled back and kept buying stocks. That assumption misses the bigger picture. The European Union is in a strong position. With closer ties to …
CTA and more specifically global macro funds did the heavy lifting so far, taking the reins after the biggest retail inflows ever. pic.twitter.com/DPEj91qljV — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) May 19, 2025 Retail squeezing Wall Street into buying. pic.twitter.com/BCrILye83w — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) May 20, 2025
Retail traders bought $4.1 billion of U.S. Stocks during the first 3 hours of today's trading sessions, the most in history 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/IooUGeT3xI — Barchart (@Barchart) May 20, 2025 Retail traders made history on Monday, pouring a record $4.1 billion into US stocks by midday, reversing a 1 percent decline …
Retail investors have been stocks buying at a historic pace: Retail investors’ equity ETF net inflows have reached ~$122 billion year-to-date. Since mid-March, individual investors' inflows have DOUBLED despite the market sell-off, according to Goldman Sachs. On the other… pic.twitter.com/W8uC6VZDkY — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 19, 2025 Fund managers …
These hard data weeks are always one of the best since it gives a broad read on the economy – giving our most timely read on demand, production, housing, and employment. Instead of focusing on the wiggles (which can be jerked around by SA), more useful to look at y/y …
by David Haggith Walmart executives promised today that prices will be SWELL (in fact, they will be swelling more every day due to tariffs). I came across a video of some of the top people in the AI world discussing what keeps them up at night and just how close …
Big day for the dollar. Tonight is war:– PPI YoY (core inflation proxy)– Retail Sales (real economy pulse)– Powell speaks (narrative control) This isn’t just data — it’s positioning fuel. Liquidity will chase whatever breaks the illusion first. Be sharp. Stay liquid. Kill… pic.twitter.com/b56pN794al — Ananta (@AnantaSumantera) May 15, 2025 …
Does the debt get rolled over? How are CRE companies going to refinance their debts? What about corporate debt financed at the COVID lows near zero % that needs to be refinanced at 6%+? PE did it too How are companies going to be able to afford this? — QE …
Retail is 100% "Return to normal" right now. That doesn't mean this uptrend can't last until Sep/Oct, but today is a critical moment. https://t.co/0UXwoDHWUq pic.twitter.com/fC2xkjXVxa — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) May 7, 2025 Today’s the day. It’s going to be like a funeral in every Starbucks in America. https://t.co/1fK01wUsf7 — Uncle Milty’s …
U.S. Companies are buying back stock at the fastest pace in history 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/ftNXyp6RTW — Barchart (@Barchart) May 7, 2025 🚨This has NEVER happened before: Retail investors have been buying US equities for 21 weeks STRAIGHT, the longest streak EVER. This significantly beats the previous record of 10 consecutive weeks …
Retail buying the dip with record flows into triple leveraged ETFs while Buffett dumps more stocks and builds a record cash pile… wonder who’s on the right side of the trade here? https://t.co/1Cd2Sl9eCP — Ross Hendricks (@Ross__Hendricks) May 3, 2025 This is the clue you need to discern where we …
Systematic macro funds sitting on cash Retail investors Fully loaded at the highs When the next shakeout comes and it’s coming guess who’s buying their bag at a discount pic.twitter.com/MlPNkecrnz — Miad (@ZFXtrading) April 26, 2025 https://twitter.com/rev_cap/status/1916193347380654356
Retail is going all in. pic.twitter.com/Gj452YIQke — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) April 24, 2025 A lot of resistance in this region, from technicals to gamma, even hy spreads pic.twitter.com/clVN38XA3u — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) April 24, 2025 Bottom calls everywhere again. Still below 200 EMA with gaps unfilled. With brevity. …
Breaking March retail sales +1.4% vs +1.2% Ex autos +.5% vs +.3% exp. Strong numbers. With tariffs coming the market isn’t really reacting. Are consumers front running the tariffs juicing this months number? — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April 16, 2025 NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. shoppers increased their shopping last …
Retail investor activity is higher today than it was prior to the 27% ^IXIC drawdown in Feb (hard to believe) – this likely stays the case through another larger downside impulsive move We’ve never had so many households or individuals ‘all in’… speculative fever continues🤒🌴 — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) April …
Friendly reminder: U.S. markets remain extremely negative in terms of sentiment across multiple indicators — which, from a contrarian perspective, is typically bullish. However, equity allocations are still relatively high, highlighting a clear disconnect between positioning and sentiment. On top of that, given the unique market environment we’re in, a …
“There are only two outcomes to this trade war. Option 1: China folds. They agree to Trump’s terms, drop the tariffs, and the trade war ends. Trump takes full credit, and the U.S. gains yet another strategic and economic edge over China. Option 2: China, an authoritarian regime with a …
S&P 500 erases 4.5% rally, marking biggest bull trap of 2025 The BULL trap: We just witnessed the biggest bull trap of 2025 with the S&P 500 erasing a ~4.5% rally in ~3 hours. Between 10:30 AM ET and 3:15 PM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$2.3 TRILLION of market …
Every market drawdown comes with whispers of opportunity. Talk of discounts. Bargains. Bottom-fishing. But few pause to do the math. Losses compound against you just as powerfully as gains work for you. And the deeper the hole, the harder the climb. This isn’t just theory. It’s arithmetic. A 10 percent …
🚨 RETAIL INVETSORS BOUGHT $4.7 BLN IN STOCKS ON THURSDAY, LARGEST LEVEL OVER THE PAST DECADE, JPMORGAN SAYS — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) April 4, 2025 Firms are going to start blowing up if this continues. This is rapidly turning into a real financial crisis. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April 4, …
The market is shifting away from the perpetual “buy the dip” mentality. More sellers are showing up, and rallies are being rejected. The flip to “sell every rip” is inevitable. You need a microscope to see the ‘dip’ that has everyone on FinTwit worked up – generational buying opportunity! pic.twitter.com/Tm4hoJYvcF …
by Mike Shedlock The GDPnow Nowcast for the first quarter took a dive on February 14. Weather-related utility production lessened the blow. GDPNow data from the Atlanta Fed, chart by Mish There were three significant reports on February 14: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and Import-Export Prices. Import-Export Prices did not …
January saw a sharp pullback in consumer spending, suggesting a potential slowdown in economic growth, according to a Commerce Department report released Friday. Retail sales dropped 0.9% for the month, following an upwardly revised 0.7% gain in December.. Much worse than the expected 0.2% dip. These figures are adjusted for …
This isn’t cautious investing; it’s full-blown euphoria. History warns us: markets don’t follow public sentiment; they anticipate it. By the time the average investor piles in, the smart money is often heading for the exit. Much of this retail buying flow is targeting NASDAQ (rather than S&P 500) stocks pic.twitter.com/X97UdLP5A8 …
A record-breaking wave of retail investor buying has just been witnessed—an unprecedented surge that eclipses the previous peak from early 2022, a period notorious for marking a major market top. Now, this trend is showing unmistakable signs of fatigue. History is offering a chilling reminder: a similar pattern once unfolded, …
Retail’s enthusiasm is undeniable, with record inflows driving bullish sentiment to new extremes. With over $448 billion flowing into US stocks in 2024, plus $25 billion just last week, retail is doubling down on tech. They’re betting on an unstoppable future, even as the market shows signs of tension. Retail …
‼️This is INSANE: Retail investors purchased a MASSIVE $900 million of Nvidia, $NVDA, stock in the last week of January. Meanwhile, $NVDA stock has gone nowhere for 8 months and is down ~20% from the peak What if the dip continues dipping? Read!👇https://t.co/PN8zRte7W8 — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) February 3, …
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The once frenzied enthusiasm now feels distant, like watching a wildfire from afar—its power undeniable, but the heat no longer within grasp. The disconnect between soaring values and fading interest paints a picture of a market growing colder, less human. $BTC is above $100k but retail interest is the lowest …
Retail in general has been stuck in low gear since inflation destroyed the budgets of many households in 2022. pic.twitter.com/FzLuEpuu1z — Canada Stats Hub (@CanadaStatHub) January 23, 2025 The retail fast food situation in Canada is indeed struggling, even with GST tax holidays. Many Canadians are cutting back on spending …