Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Stan Druckenmiller blasted Janet Yellen “I literally think if you go back to Alexander Hamilton, it was the biggest blunder in the history of the Treasury. I have no idea why she has not been called out on this. She has no right to still be in that job”pic.twitter.com/1yPivRbGjJ — Gold Telegraph ⚡ (@GoldTelegraph_) June …
So how do we refinance the debt now? pic.twitter.com/XSeGui9ELI — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) May 13, 2025 The U.S. is on track to default on its debt within four years. We need to refinance $9T this year, plus $2-3T in new deficits, but domestic savings are only $5T. Foreign creditors like Japan, who we’re alienating with …
by confoundedinterest17 Former Federal Reserve Chair and Biden’s Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was so in on Biden’s failed economic spending spree that she caused a fiscal disaster by refinancing Federal debt at the short end of the Treasury curve. Leaving Trump’s Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent a real mess. As in $9.2 TRILLION. With interest rates …
"If liquidity goes down at all in 2025, markets will crash." "There is one of the greatest global refinancing needs we've ever seen (in 2025)."https://t.co/RhEWHGaktg https://t.co/loBTMTxtqp pic.twitter.com/C6vA0uhbMW — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 16, 2025 https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1879829865047949643
Many commercial real estate (CRE) loans are set to mature in 2025 and 2026, requiring refinancing for loans that were underwritten when interest rates were at historic lows in 2020 and 2021. As interest rates have significantly increased, the current landscape presents a daunting challenge for refinancing. This situation has raised alarms about the preparedness …
Applications to refinance a home loan surged 20% last week compared with the previous week. This as the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($766,550 or less) decreased to 6.13% from 6.15% The refinance share of applications rose to 55.7%. Mortgage applications to purchase a home rose just 1% …
In 2025, a tsunami of debt refinancing threatens to engulf countless companies, setting the stage for economic turbulence. The Fed’s missteps, once forgivable errors, now loom large like ominous clouds. First, they dismissed inflation as fleeting, then abruptly shifted course in December 2023, only to revert to their ‘higher for longer’ mantra. How can trust …
The commercial real estate (CRE) landscape is facing a challenging scenario, with 14% of all CRE loans and a staggering 44% of office building loans slipping into “negative equity.” This indicates that the debt on these properties now surpasses their market value. The current downturn, with office building prices plummeting by 40%, has pushed CRE …
by confoundedinterest17 Like the spaghetti western “The Good, The Bad And The Ugly,” Bidenomics has had similar effects on financing. Some good, some bad and a lot of uglies. The good! For investors like pension funds the own US Treasuries, inflation has led The Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. This is good for investors holding short-term debt. The …
The US will need to refinance almost half of its national debt in less than 2 years. Let’s not forget that interest rates were at 0% just 15 months ago. Wait until these debt instruments need to be rolled over at 5% rates. The U.S. credit rating outlook was lowered from “stable” to “negative” this …
“The financial condition of balance sheets in the consumer discretionary sector has severely deteriorated over the past few years It’s one thing to accumulate debt in a easy money environment, but quite another to operate a highly leveraged business in a rising cost of capital setting. Keep in mind that some of these companies will …
“JUST IN: Nearly 700 US banks now exceed the 2006 Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loan concentration guidance. What is the CRE loan concentration guidance? It’s guidance by the FDIC for the amount of exposure that small banks should have to CRE loans. Currently, small banks hold over 70% of CRE loans which is $2 trillion …
Real yields on 10-year Treasuries closed yesterday at the highest since 2009. pic.twitter.com/Ujfb0Lco7l — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) August 15, 2023 Nominal yields keep going higher and this affects corporate bonds $LQD, therefore cost of refinancing is increasing. We can expect this chop into the market to keep going while investors move from growth to value …
The US govt is dramatically increasing its planned amount of debt it issues in the next 12 months. 🚨 Monthly Auction Sizes +60% by August Next Year vs the previous year. The USA has to finance over $2 trillion in deficits, plus refinance all of the maturing debt at the new… pic.twitter.com/9HbpkN7USD — Wall …