Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
There are widespread reports on Iran allowing "any country aside from the US and Israel" to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. If this is true, China and India alone will be able to restore nearly 7 million barrels of oil supply PER DAY. In other words, ~39% of the 18 million… — The Kobeissi …
Tariff refunds are going to take thousands of lawsuits to sort out. And potentially add hundreds of billions to the deficit. Bang up job, Supremes 🤪 https://t.co/IF7w7orfOr — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) February 21, 2026 Bessent: I got a feeling the American people won't see the $175 billion in tariff revenue we collected pic.twitter.com/rj0Bmm0Exg …
The U.S. military is preparing for the possibility of sustained, weeks-long operations against Iran if President Donald Trump orders an attack, two U.S. officials told Reuters, in what could become a far more serious conflict than previously seen between the countries. The disclosure by the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity due to the …
Drilling beneath the Topaz Project site near Babbitt, scientists confirmed the presence of helium-3. A concentration of 14.5 parts per billion was found in the lab tests, which was similar to what was measured in Apollo samples. The discovery could be a game-changer for the future of clean energy and was led by exploration company …
by Michael We have reached one of the most critical turning points in modern history, but most people don’t seem to understand this. Without a doubt, 2025 has been a year of war. There has been war in Ukraine, war in Iran, war in Gaza, and lots of other regional conflicts as well. But as …
Trump admin to provide Ukraine with intelligence – and potentially long-range missiles – to hit targets deep inside Russia: report https://t.co/jZMCyqkMfL pic.twitter.com/5qoI4fs6Js — New York Post (@nypost) October 2, 2025 https://nypost.com/2025/10/02/us-news/trump-admin-to-provide-ukraine-with-intelligence-and-potentially-long-range-missiles-to-hit-targets-deep-inside-russia-report/ President Trump recently approved a plan to provide Ukraine with intelligence to carry out missile strikes on energy infrastructure deep inside Russia, according to …
by Michael The terrorists that shoot people and blow things up aren’t the real threat. We can handle the small scale stuff. What we should really be concerned about are the terrorists that are thinking much bigger. If terrorists cook up a highly contagious disease in a lab and release it in multiple U.S. cities, …
Trump Announces Crackdown On Drug Ads On TV, Potentially Disrupting Billions In Ad Spending https://t.co/Sn678w3tTp — zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 10, 2025 President Trump signed a presidential memorandum on Tuesday that calls on federal health agencies to require pharmaceutical companies to disclose more side effects in their ads and enforce existing rules about misleading ads. The …
Trump’s legacy will be defined by America’s downfall, and everything he is doing right now makes that almost certain. Ray Dalio says it happens within 3 years max 💀 👀 👀 pic.twitter.com/A3zcUHg3lY — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) September 2, 2025 Link:https://t.co/mtTG5lOBrc — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) September 3, 2025 Ray Dalio warned the U.S. faces a “debt-induced …
by Michael The mainstream media mostly ignored what occurred at the UN this week, but it is a monster story. We are literally witnessing the biggest international push for recognition of a Palestinian state that we have ever witnessed. The “International Conference for the Peaceful Settlement of the Question of Palestine and the Implementation of …
by Michael Astronomers just discovered that an absolutely gigantic space rock that they have never seen before has entered our solar system. For now, they are referring to this giant space rock as “A11pl3Z”, and they are scrambling to find out all they can about it. At this stage, they don’t even know if it is …
It’s infuriating to watch economists cling to synchronized slowdown as some fancy buzzword while millions struggle. Wake up. These aren’t just charts. It’s people’s jobs, savings, hopes on the line. Global synchronized slowdown which may potentially lead to a global synchronized recession. https://t.co/dUqKbBlyZo — Fibonacci Investing⚡️ (@FibonacciInves1) June 11, 2025 $SPY $QQQ Price action feels …
by Michael What are the odds? When I heard that a study that was released in 2019 had analyzed the damage that would be done by a nuclear war between India and Pakistan in 2025, I knew that I had to investigate. It turns out that this study really does exist. According to the authors of …
by Michael Is it possible that the Yellowstone supervolcano is gearing up for a major eruption? When most people think of Yellowstone, they tend to conjure up images of “Old Faithful”, Yogi Bear and a television show starring Kevin Costner. But the reality of the matter is that Yellowstone poses a very serious threat to …
As expected, RRPs are down again, now below $100 billion as Fed's rate cut has reduced incentive to park liquidity at this facility; we'll be seeing repurchase agreements ramping up in the New Year and then the '19 repo crisis may repeat: https://t.co/lboowxcZmU pic.twitter.com/8S4dLXHCjb — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) December 20, 2024
🚨#BREAKING: Hurricane PATTY 'Expected' Landfall On ELECTION DAY In FLORIDA! 🤯(November 4th-5th – Please Share!) I want to be VERY clear, we have time for this to change BUT this would be completely INSANE if this data stays true! Patty could easily become a Major Hurricane… pic.twitter.com/MSotQmvu8S — In2ThinAir (@In2ThinAir) October 24, 2024 https://twitter.com/VueIntelligence/status/1849523059830505610 https://twitter.com/VueIntelligence/status/1849447067565060450
🚨 #BREAKINGNEWS Jack Posobiec, Charlie Kirk and other Trump loyalist are now getting ahead of what appears to be a bombshell report on Donald Trump. Calling it AI and warning his supporters not to believe their own eyes and ears. Outside Trump's circle they are calling these… — Ford News (@FordJohnathan5) October 23, 2024 Just …
China’s meteoric rise to become the world’s second-largest economy could be facing a major stumbling block, with forecasts indicating that Premier Xi Jinping may not be able to stem the tide of economic woes beleaguering the nation. The implications of China’s economic predicament are extensive, posing risks not only to its substantial population of 1.4 …
Bitcoin Continued major distribution below major support . Could backtest secondary trendline before falling away or could just collapse towards the primary trendline. Its a process. We await. https://t.co/AAEiVemjxJ pic.twitter.com/NkbfrdrW5E — The Great Martis (@great_martis) August 20, 2024
BREAKING: In a major blow to the unelected administrative state, the Supreme Court has overruled the Chevron doctrine, which required courts to defer to the legal interpretations of unelected bureaucrats. “Chevron is overruled.” pic.twitter.com/tqC5EYaUBl — Sean Davis (@seanmdav) June 28, 2024 In a significant ruling, the U.S. Supreme Court recently curtailed the power of federal …
Salaried employees who work long hours for low pay aren’t finding much sympathy among Republicans on Capitol Hill. GOP lawmakers filed a resolution in Congress on Wednesday that would block the Labor Department from extending overtime protections to millions of salaried workers, a key workplace reform pursued by President Joe Biden. Under federal law, only …
Futures selling off again. Looking like it’s going to be a rough open. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 1, 2024 Amidst escalating investor nervousness, sharp outflows from $LQD ETFs signal heightened concerns over US high-grade credit, amplifying anxieties about the looming Federal Reserve interest-rate decision. As traders anticipate the largest Fed-day move in the S&P …
Judge threatens incarceration if Trump violates gag order again h/t dr0id
SHANGHAI, April 26 (Reuters) – China’s sliding yuan has been hitting the weak end of the band in so-called cash settlement transactions this week, making it challenging for banks and businesses on the mainland to transact, traders say. Under unrelenting pressure from rising U.S. yields and outflows from China, the yuan is at five-month lows …
Supply-driven rising oil price could potentially cause headwinds for S&P 500 pic.twitter.com/ghrmjBFAta — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 23, 2024 Twitter is the most bullish on the economy in more than 4 years pic.twitter.com/Ypo3Z8CAQv — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 23, 2024 S&P 500 Nears Worst Month in Over a Year as Rising Yields Signal …
A viral video of a Tesla Cybertruck owner explaining a problem with his accelerator pedal has piqued the interest of a federal vehicle safety agency. The incident comes as Tesla has paused deliveries of its Cybertruck without offering much of an explanation. The chain of events began Thursday when Jose Martinez said he was driving his six-day-old …
The debt-service coverage ratio, a measure of financial health, has dropped significantly over the past year, indicating increased risk among leveraged loan companies. Morgan Stanley’s Chief Investment Officer warns that if corporate profits disappoint, the stock market rally could end. Options markets show extreme optimism, suggesting investors may be overlooking potential risks. Something about swimming …
The Senate voted Thursday afternoon in favor of passing a bill reversing the Biden administration’s recent actions allowing beef imports from Paraguay, which has a history of cattle-borne illness. In a 70-25 vote, the Senate approved the Congressional Review Act resolution, rendering it veto-proof. Sens. Jon Tester, D-Mont., and Mike Rounds, R-S.D., introduced the bipartisan …
The Supreme Court is expected to announce a decision on whether former President Donald Trump is eligible to hold presidential office on Monday. The New York Times reported Sunday that the Court announced that it would issue at least one decision tomorrow – which suggested it would rule on Trump’s eligibility to appear on Colorado’s …
In next decade, 84% of federal spending growth comes from health, Social Security, interest. “Spending on Social Security will grow from $1.5 trillion this year to $2.5 trillion by 2034, while spending on health care will grow from $1.6 trillion to $2.8 trillion,” a Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget analysis found. “Net interest costs …