Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
This is the kind of post that makes you laugh and then check if the person is actually right. A trader on WallStreetBets is telling everyone to stop buying SPY options and use SPX options instead. The argument is pretty simple. SPX options are cash settled. No assignment risk. They can be traded overnight. And …
The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter Retail risk appetite is at record levels: 0DTE options contracts now account for a record 48% of total retail options volume. This percentage has more than TRIPLED over the last 5 years. Furthermore, 0DTE options reflected a record 30% of total US options volume in May. By comparison, the 2022 high …
A lot happened overnight, but one pattern keeps showing up. Russia launched 68 missiles and 351 drones at Kyiv, killing at least 11 people in the second massive strike on the capital in less than a week. Ukraine says its Patriot missile interceptors are running low, raising a simple question. What happens if the attacks …
by Michael The crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is not even close to being resolved, and global oil supplies continue to get tighter and tighter. The world has been running an “oil deficit” for months, and we have been able to do that by running down commercial oil inventories and strategic national reserves. There …
Why are there 30,000 options contracts betting that gold will reach $20,000 by this December? https://t.co/tR0j9qVvvM — HealthRanger (@HealthRanger) June 26, 2026 🪙Open interest alone does not reveal whether these positions are speculative bets, hedges, or part of a more complex options strategy. What we do know is that open interest in the $20,000 gold …
I always talk about how there’s always a game on Wall St. Lessons from my dad. They run the game until they suck the life out of it then they move on to the next one. Wall St is nothing but a bunch of parasites looking to suck the game until it dies. Recent examples …
Order boosts access to 401k and IRA accounts for more workers.. President called participation numbers “incredible”.. Some wonder whether this quietly channels more household money into markets while easing long term pressure on government programs.. President Trump signed an EO on April 30 to launch TrumpIRA.gov in 2027. It utilizes the Saver’s Match (SECURE 2.0) …
Inflation expectations over the next 12 months plunge from over 5% to under 3.5% according to the Bond Market byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts Institutions are loading up on call options at the fastest pace ever recorded 📈🤯👀 pic.twitter.com/y6QmeCNC70 — Barchart (@Barchart) April 17, 2026 IMHO Sec Bessent is reading the tape correctly: core inflation is falling, the …
via WSB: https://preview.redd.it/maicyws3o2tg1.png?width=1392&format=png&auto=webp&s=2ce18951b27493bf5cca58fabaed9a948cc8d577 https://preview.redd.it/6nok0zs3o2tg1.png?width=1308&format=png&auto=webp&s=cfc73344605d254129cc4644a925e58cfb63c9fd https://preview.redd.it/2i9m0ys3o2tg1.png?width=733&format=png&auto=webp&s=2e90ad02950b23f88bd894de5a53ef5ea9d68d83 https://preview.redd.it/qswb10t3o2tg1.png?width=1381&format=png&auto=webp&s=787e13dec5f1a99e7ab1a9497e098482ca4f5304 https://preview.redd.it/xjcjuws3o2tg1.png?width=1368&format=png&auto=webp&s=82d3ce72b9ecfbce3e30272662fdacf7ed80f436 Long time lurker, first time poster (was hoping to never post loss porn here) Reposting because I didn’t include some of my trades and the original post got taken down. Would be impossible to post all of the trades that blew my account but here’s a sample screenshot …
BREAKING: The Pentagon is developing military options for a "final blow" in Iran that could include the use of ground forces and a massive bombing campaign, per Axios. US officials provide 4 "final blow" options: 1. Invading or blockading Kharg Island, Iran's main oil export… — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 26, 2026 US officials …
The Fed has no choice. If oil goes up to $150-200 it’s over. Yet we act as if Iran is obliterated and everything is awesome. This is complete lunacy. https://t.co/xRRCIi61UV — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) March 26, 2026 Markets are losing hope of any logical solution in the Middle East: pic.twitter.com/DgXPiTeIVE — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) March …
President Trump gives Iran exactly 48 hours to open the Strait of Hormuz, or he will blow up all of their power plants in the country. If a country’s power plants were destroyed, the effects would be immediate. Most areas would lose electricity, and water systems would fail as pumps and treatment facilities shut down. …
SungHoon Lee, IQ 276 @sungleeiq 🚨🚨🚨 TRUMP HAS 3 OPTIONS LEFT ON IRAN. ALL OF THEM ARE TERRIBLE. 🚨🚨🚨 Day 8 of the Iran war and the President is cornered. Here are his only moves: OPTION 1: Declare victory and retreat. → The U.S. loses the Middle East FOREVER → Israel’s days become numbered → …
❝Our job is to provide options, and we will have options for the president should Iran decide not to take a deal❞ The US is keeping all options open in its approach to Iran while urging the country to negotiate a deal, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said… pic.twitter.com/HgcKyHnFfy — Anadolu English (@anadoluagency) February 24, …
When that many people are leaning the same way, any hint of disappointment could blow up the trade and send yields swinging hard. Investors are betting Treasury yields will fall: Open interest in the US 10-year note March call options is up to a record ~171,150 contracts. These contracts pay off if 10-year Treasury prices …
Sold a house got to a million and lost it all, now I owe the IRS 179k and I owe creditors 100k do not do options if you adhd byu/Stardazedlover inwallstreetbets Hello, Firstly I already know what most of you are thinking, how could you do this? Trust me…I know. I’m in an absolute low …
We are seeing MASSIVE swings in markets right now: Between 11:55 AM ET and 12:25 PM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$450 billion in market cap. 23 minutes later and $320 billion in market cap has been added back. That's a $720 BILLION swing in market cap in under 1 hour. Capitalize… pic.twitter.com/88bfWEEP1V — The …
Appetite for risk is incredibly strong: Options trading volumes in loss-making Russell 2000 stocks have risen to ~6 million contracts per day, an all-time high. Volumes have more than doubled since April and surpassed the previous record set during the 2021 meme-stock mania. By comparison, options activity in profitable stocks is only 33% as large. …
President Donald Trump was briefed this week on options for military operations inside Venezuela as he continues to mull a path forward in the country, four sources told CNN. Trump has yet to decide on how to proceed, and he continues to weigh the risks and benefits of launching a scaled-up campaign. The president has …
This is how recessions start, one empty table at a time. If 30-year-olds can’t afford Chipotle, what happens when the real slowdown hits. Either Chipotle has collapsed as a brand or young Americans are out of money. Or, both. What is happening here? pic.twitter.com/1gIAEzmrf1 — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 30, 2025 They tried college …
Shocking stat of the day: 0DTE options now reflect a record 75% of the Nasdaq’s total options volume. This percentage has TRIPLED over the last 3 years. Furthermore, 0DTE activity in the S&P 500 hit an all-time high, at 65%. Across the 13 most popular tickers, nearly $2 trillion of notional value has been traded …
The blockchain blinked. Then it bled. It began with a ghost. A whale dormant for 5 years rolled over and crushed the market. “A dormant whale woke up after 5 years and sold 24K BTC worth $2.7 billion. The single move crashed Bitcoin to $111K and erased $50 billion in market value” The Coin Republic. …
‘ His son is fighting a rare blood cancer, which was only recently diagnosed, but this father says he feels like the teenager was kidnapped after doctors said he needed chemotherapy. They said, ‘We’re taking the boy to Perth, we’re flying him right now to hospital’, and we felt very pressurised,” the father claimed in …
My palms are sweating just looking at this. The sheer guts to deploy that much into 0DTE is insane, and wow, it paid off. But honestly, even with the win, the thought of that $338,000 just evaporating is terrifying. It’s just not worth the risk. Who says gay bers can’t win byu/Strange_Ad7482 inwallstreetbets
Boom turns bust as reckless call buying backfires. "Instead of using #options as part of a larger strategy to protect #portfolios from losses, individuals are mostly #speculating…with reckless buying organized on social media acted like a force-multiplier. Because options #market makers need to hedge call contracts, they buy… pic.twitter.com/7JKs4zB9sg — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) July 18, …
Euphoria blinds investors to correction risk. I’m fine selling it 10% too early than 50% too late. Zero people are preparing for a Market Correction right now Euphoria of 'we can't lose' is kicking in hard Extreme Fear: That's about right. pic.twitter.com/OC37VwjWh5 — The Long Investor (@TheLongInvest) July 17, 2025 This is insanity: retail 0DTE …
Can you guess when I discovered options? byu/AngryTissueBox inwallstreetbets From 2.2k in November to 6k in February on SMCI, then from 6k to 10k on TSSI, then from 10k to 13k on PSIX, then I found 0DTE options and the rest is history. Anyone wanna sell me a rope and stool for 6 cents?
Flash warning for brutal unwind ahead. S&P call option volume has become completely unhinged. While the #speculation is currently working, which is drawing more investors into the scheme, this will eventually have very bad outcomes. pic.twitter.com/gsVGIEbUzD — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) June 25, 2025 $NVDA Just as we test ATHs, volume is quickly fizzling out, showcasing …
$-100,000 Overdraft to my business checking account to YOLO SPX calls options. byu/DasherLao inwallstreetbets
4 states move to ban food stamp recipients from buying candy & soda, a goal of HHS Sec. Sec. RFK Jr. Instead, some hot foods like rotisserie chicken would be eligible to buy. Local food bank President says doing so would "take food out of their mouths" because poor people… pic.twitter.com/wTIbl1Cgqh — Breaking911 (@Breaking911) April …