nowcast

The Cleveland Fed’s CPI nowcast has reached the highest level in three years. Fed futes now believe by next July there is a 75% chance of one or more rate hikes. Gas prices remain ATH’s despite falling oil prices

We are trapped in a cycle where the cost of living keeps climbing while the central bank pretends they have the situation under control. They keep talking about “transitory” issues while the grocery bill and the gas pump tell us the real story: our currency is losing its punch, and they are out of tools …

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The GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -2.7%. Bloomberg: “S&P500 still has plenty of room to fall if a recession is inevitable,”

On April 29, the GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -2.7%. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/VLdYkdKqYr — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 29, 2025 "S&P500 still has plenty of room to fall if a recession is inevitable," per Bloomberg — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April 29, 2025 Dallas Fed logistics respondent: “Ocean container bookings have …

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On April 24, the GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -2.5%. Are utilities pricing-in a recession?

On April 24, the GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -2.5%. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/EHDZPwdxiP — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 24, 2025 Feels like 2008 all over again, according to this price analogy. pic.twitter.com/28V5dOW5hL — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 24, 2025 2/ US government bonds have broken below a 40-year uptrend …

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GDPNow Nowcast Dips on Weak ISM and Construction Spending

by Mike Shedlock The GDPNow nowcast fell 0.6 percentage points to 2.5 percent on weaker than expected economic reports. GDPNow data from the Atlanta Fed, chart by Mish The Atlanta Fed updated its GDPNow Nowcast on October 1. Here is a recxap. The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third …

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Slippin’ Into Darkness! St Louis Fed Nowcast Q3 GDP Growth At -0.07% As M2 Money Growth Collapses (While Atlanta Fed GDPNow At 5.6% Growth?)

by confoundedinterest17 Slippin’ into darkness! Bidenomics, that is! Joe Biden is not a friend of the US middle class. The St Louis Fed’s real time GDP tracker known as Nowcast has Q3 GDP at -0.07%. This happening at M2 Money growth collapses. If you want to feel good, check out Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate (housing economist Raphael …

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