Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
We’re approaching a long-term trendline that has held since the 2020 lows — and momentum is building. Key levels to watch: • First resistance: 95–100 • Macro breakout zone: 135–140 (cycle-level) What’s interesting is the sequence: Precious metals moved first. Then industrial metals followed. Energy came next. Now it’s agriculture’s turn. This rotation across commodities …
Iran Nears Deal With China for CM-302 Anti-Ship Missiles Amid Rising US Tensions Iran is nearing a deal with China to acquire CM-302 anti-ship cruise missiles, aiming to enhance its military capabilities. The missiles, which have a range of 290 kilometers and are designed to evade ship defenses, could pose a serious threat to US …
Every warning light is flashing red and Wall Street is still pretending this is just a vibes problem. “The last lender” before the Fed – is it starting to approach critical levels?🛑 JPMorgan’s LCR in Q4 2025 stood at 115%… the lowest level since 2019. And this is after the bank reduced its repo book …
https://invezz.com/news/2025/09/22/pfizer-close-to-acquiring-metsera-for-7-3b-targeting-breakthrough-obesity-drug/ Pfizer nears $7.3B deal to acquire Metsera, targeting next-gen obesity treatments. MET-097i shows 11.3% weight loss in trials and offers monthly dosing. Acquisition positions Pfizer against Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly in obesity market. Pfizer is making a bold move in the pharmaceutical world by closing in on a $7.3 billion deal to acquire …
UPS just finished the full Covid rollercoaster. From pandemic lows to stimulus highs and then right back down. The stock has plunged 52% from its 2022 peak. It now trades at all-time lows compared to FedEx. The dividend is nearly 8 percent. That is not a bargain. It is a flashing red warning. UPS cut …
SPY’s up. But internals are cracking. RSI over 80. Stochastic signals stalling. Price action’s heavy. Hedge funds dumped $60B in index exposure last week. Retail’s still chasing. Fed’s rate cut already priced in. No upside surprise left. One of the most predictable U-turn points in the market is when the price approaches a previous all-time …
Dow faces major resistance at current level… Dow Jones. It makes sense for markets to sell off at current levels.(Major resistance) A 4% sell-off is nearly guaranteed.42,000 will act as major support; below that, it gets ugly. Hope this helps. pic.twitter.com/p09gxmJxXk — The Great Martis (@great_martis) July 5, 2025 $VIX August is seasonally the best …
Zohran Mamdani now has a 75% chance of being the Democratic nominee for Mayor of New York City. 75%. pic.twitter.com/uKwtiagSUs — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) June 25, 2025 NYC will be a future case study on why socialism doesn't work if Momdani wins and it's looking like he will, didn't know we needed another one to …
The air hangs thick with an almost palpable tension, a foreboding quiet before the thunder, and make no mistake, some folks are shouting that the storm is already here. Steve Bannon, a man who rarely minces words, just slapped us with a stark declaration: World War III, he argues, has begun. He’s not whispering it …
Been saying silver and silver miners looked bullish.And now, SILVER & SILVER MINERS ARE MOVING. Posted on four days ago (on the 2nd) that silver looked ready to break to upside above gray price range.And, it did just that just hours later. Then posted in linked post below… https://t.co/OKZcu2rEMq pic.twitter.com/pDP857z0Yw — Graddhy – Commodities TA+Cycles …
The S&P 500 is very close to ATH, while M&A deals have just reached their lowest level ever. This is a symptom of a very fragile economy and financial system that depends on ongoing liquidity injections. Probably nothing. pic.twitter.com/5nZOScGyjR — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) May 29, 2025 This is scary pic.twitter.com/eVDbcr9HJm — Liberty Street News (@LbrtyStreetNews) …
The chart shows the NASDAQ Composite Index (COMP) on May 19, 2025, closing at 19,215.46, up 4.36% for the day, with a 1-year view. The index has been volatile over the past year, peaking around 20,204.58 and dipping to 14,784.03, with recent upward momentum after a low near 16,000 in early April 2025. Analysis: Trend …
🇮🇱🔴 URGENT:A massive fire has broken out in Jerusalem, approaching the headquarters of several TV channels. Residents of three neighborhoods have been evacuated. Firefighting teams have declared a nationwide emergency, with assistance from the Israeli army.Over 110… pic.twitter.com/nt2ZkDugYi — SilencedSirs◼️ (@SilentlySirs) April 23, 2025 ⚡️Hebrew media: Massive fires near the Beit Shemesh settlement in Jerusalem …
President Trump is completely SILENT: It has now been over 36 hours since the last tariff headline from President Trump. No mention of any potential tariff deals, phone calls, or delays in tariffs. “Reciprocal tariffs” will officially go live at 12:01 AM ET. President Trump… — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 6, 2025 Talk of …
Rachel didn’t see this coming… ECONOMY – BREAKING: oops … more bad growth news for Rachel. She don’t factor this in either. British steel now looking at closing! 3500 jobs would be lost. Net zero will make you wealthier apparently 🤡 pic.twitter.com/rcbi4GsCbB — Bernie (@Artemisfornow) March 27, 2025 🚨NET ZERO -The UK ships 50 MILLION …
by confoundedinterest17 Tennessee Ernie Ford sang it best. $36 tons of debt. Another day older and deeper in debt. Notice virually no political candidate will acknowledge or discuss. The federal government spent $1.8 trillion more than it collected in tax revenue in fiscal year 2024, according to figures released Friday by U.S. Treasury Department. Congress has run …
A Democratic Party campaign office was the target of gunfire in Tempe. No one was injured. It’s not clear when the incident happened; a party spokesman on Sept. 23 said it occurred “overnight.” Tempe police said apparent gunfire damage was discovered at the party office near Southern Avenue and Priest Drive and they are investigating …
Gold prices closed at record levels today, but what’s even more significant: The gold-to-Nasdaq ratio is currently on the brink of breaking out from a historical resistance. Here is a reminder that this ratio surged 13x from the peak of the tech bubble in 2000 to 2011.… pic.twitter.com/UUVG14HImK — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) August 12, …
The U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio is indeed approaching levels seen during World War II. The highest debt-to-GDP ratio in U.S. history was around 120% at the end of World War II. As of recent data, the debt-to-GDP ratio for the U.S. is approximately 115.7%, which is very close to that historical peak.
BREAKING 🚨: Japan Japanese Yen is in imminent danger of falling to the 160 level against the U.S. Dollar and is on track for an 8th consecutive daily decline against the USD! Absolute collapse here! pic.twitter.com/V2SE3W52zw — Barchart (@Barchart) June 24, 2024 USD/JPY pic.twitter.com/oL2Qdgsiob — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) June 24, 2024 Japan says it's …
The U.S. population growth has slowed over the years. The current birth rate in the United States for 2024 is 12.009 births per 1000 people, representing a 0.12% decline from the previous year. During the Great Depression of the 1930s, the American birthrate fell to its lowest point yet, with just 18.4 live births per thousand population. The economic hardships and widespread poverty …
Market indicators flash warning: Discretionary and Staples teeter on the edge as S&P 500 hovers precariously near its 20-week moving average. Amidst cautionary whispers, even the options market hesitates, while a Reddit tale spins a tale of high-risk fortune. #SPX #SP500 $SPY #ES_F 📉 🥶https://t.co/Unj4i0DpAT — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) April 21, 2024 New lows. The …
BATON ROUGE, La. — A bill allowing Louisiana residents, 18 and older, to carry a concealed handgun without a permit received final approval from lawmakers Wednesday. After years of GOP-led efforts for permitless concealed carry, the bill is poised to become law with Gov. Jeff Landry signaling that he plans to sign the legislation. Upon …
Stocks rose to start the last week of the year, pushing the S&P 500 closer to record levels. The S&P 500 climbed 0.42% to end at 4,774.75, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.54% to settle at 15,074.57. The Dow Jones industrial Average gained 159.36 points, or about 0.43%, to close at 37,545.33. The Nasdaq 100 …
The convergence of contracting manufacturing, a downward trend in Goldman’s Capex tracker, and business inventory nearing contraction levels raises ominous parallels with past economic downturns. This alarming pattern, witnessed during the Dot Com bubble, the Financial Crisis, and the Pandemic, underscores potential challenges ahead for the economy. Manufacturing pic.twitter.com/7NYfAV8mVk — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) November …
This is shocking: US population growth has collapsed Reaching levels near 0% indicating almost NO growth Current levels have NEVER been seen in 100+ years Even during the Great Depression, population growth bottomed out at around 0.5% In other words, this is the worst population growth setup seen in over 100 years of US history …
by confoundedinterest17 Biden’s leading “economist” Lael Brainard loves to brag about the strong economy under Bidenomics, and then pulled a brain freeze when asked about crashing savings rates as consumers struggle with inflation. The good news? One of The Fed’s favorite inflation indicators – Core PCE Deflator – slowed to 3.7% YoY in September (its lowest …
Disney has no park in India now. BENGALURU, Oct 23 (Reuters) – Disney (DIS.N) is nearing a deal to sell its India operations, which it values at around $10 billion, to Reliance Industries (RELI.NS), its biggest rival in the country, rather than sell the business in parts, Bloomberg News reported on Monday. Disney has been …
Global stock markets peaked a month ago at the end of July. Then fell for the first three weeks of August. Today, Nasdaq breadth was strongest since the market top. September will be hell. pic.twitter.com/FST2UcLsci — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 30, 2023 The FDIC is literally using the same script as 2020… They're changing the reserve …
The market is on the brink of a weekly bearish MACD cross Signaling a downward shift in momentum This week's close will be crucial pic.twitter.com/XH14SmzsSU — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 17, 2023 MARKETS ABSOLUTELY POLEAXED INTO THE CLOSE; CORRECTION TERRITORY FOR EQUITIES LOOMS * — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) August 17, 2023 The S&P 500 just broke …