Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
JUST IN: US housing market at "most unaffordable" level in history — Kalshi (@Kalshi) April 23, 2026 Factcheck: Yes, by key metrics like the house price-to-income ratio (now ~6x median income vs. historical ~3-4x) and adjusted for wage growth, the US housing market is at its most unaffordable level on record as of early 2026. …
Why is the pre-stock market green? Trump says Iran gave the U.S. “most” of the 15 demands it sent in negotiations. Which is obviously not true 😅 — Ted (@TedPillows) March 30, 2026 Iran has agreed to 80% of the negotiations already lol 😂 Trump won — 0HOUR1 (@0hour1) March 30, 2026 🇺🇸 S&P 500 …
Iran has not closed the Strait of Hormuz but vessels linked to the United States or Israel will not be allowed to pass, a senior military spokesman told Iranian state television. The remarks signal Tehran is seeking to restrict specific shipping rather than impose a full closure of the strategic waterway, which handles a significant …
There is absolutely nothing wrong with passing family wealth to the next generation. Why is the left so obsessed with inheritance taxes? Not your money, not your business. Get a real job or start a business instead of stealing other people’s money.pic.twitter.com/iCtTDSTXpA — Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) February 15, 2026 Passing your already taxed life …
UPDATED: While Democrats have condemned Donald Trump‘s Truth Social post of a video featuring a racist AI depiction of Barack and Michelle Obama as apes, one of the president’s strident defenders also called it out. Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC), who is chairing the GOP’s Senate campaign efforts this year, wrote on X, “Praying it was fake because it’s the most racist …
SEN. REED (D): “Most narcotraffickers are not in those boats. They pay people to do that…It’s the way they make money.”pic.twitter.com/oFjITimC4L — Breaking911 (@Breaking911) December 3, 2025
War is inevitable. 5 years, 10 at most. — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) December 1, 2025 I agree. China vs West war is inevitable, and likely it will be started by China. Soros feared it 10 years ago: https://www.georgesoros.com/2015/06/16/a-partnership-with-china-to-avoid-world-war/ h/t Warmegatard
Tariffs began as taxes. First to raise revenue. Then to protect local industries. Later to enforce reciprocity. Three goals. One blunt tool. It never worked smoothly. “Looking at several centuries of tariffs, we can summarize their impact through three R’s: revenue, restriction, and reciprocity.” https://econlife.com/2025/01/the-three-rs-of-tariffs/ Push tariffs too high and imports collapse. Revenue drops. Push …
DXY has given back all of its gains following China trade news. pic.twitter.com/W9c8dZTGs9 — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) May 14, 2025 BREAKING NEWS THAILAND'S RICHEST MAN IS WARNING THAT THE UNITED STATES RISKS LOSING ITS GLOBAL LEADERSHIP POSITION IF COUNTRIES PULL BACK FROM INVESTING IN US TREASURIES Many powerful people now see it… — Gold …
President Donald Trump said China “agreed to open” after the two countries agreed to temporarily slash most of the tariffs on each other’s goods. Trump said that was “maybe the most important thing” to come out of trade talks with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, U.S. trade representative Jamieson Greer and their Chinese counterparts. The U.S. …
Thoughts about risks. Perhaps the greatest risk isn’t a recession or economic slowdown, it’s getting too distracted by the noise. The drama and headline theatrics surrounding the Trump administration and its legislation could overshadow a more subtle force: AI-driven growth… pic.twitter.com/e2fds7NWUc — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) May 11, 2025 The correlation is what makes this …
The AI boom has reached an unsustainable level. Investors are throwing money at projects with little regard for the real risks or long-term viability. Hundreds of billions of dollars are flowing into the AI sector like a river, and the vast majority of it is going to waste. This is not a natural growth pattern; …
via WSB: While everyone’s focused on Nvidia as the most overvalued stock of this cycle, the real bubble is Palantir. Palantir is sitting at a price to sales ratio of 100, making it the most expensive large cap stock ever on a revenue basis. At an almost $300 billion market cap with 34% revenue growth …
That’s such a huge amount of gold for any normal person. Today, it represents just shy of 10 years’ worth of the median personal income. If housing prices are going to crash, the dollar-to-house ratio will improve right along with the gold-to-house ratio. If your thesis is that the USD is going to hyperinflate, just …
$1M 30yr mortgage at 2.50% (covid time frame) = $3,951/month payment $1M 30yr mortgage at 6.85% (current national average) = $6,553/monthly payment Annualized that is a $31,224 difference. If you took out a mortgage or refi'ed with a mortgage that begins with a 2 percent, why… — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) April 26, 2025 The cost of …
The average American needs $1.26 million to retire comfortably – but most have saved only a fraction of that. Inflation isn’t going away, Social Security won’t be enough, and the future will favor those who plan wisely – here’s how… By Peter Reagan Baby boomers may already be into their retirements, but Generation X isn’t …
by Michael Consumer sentiment is plummeting, delinquency rates are rising, and nearly three-quarters of all U.S. consumers admit that they are “financially stressed”. If U.S. consumers are experiencing this much pain now, what will things look like six months from today if there are empty shelves and widespread shortages? We witnessed a brief period of severe financial …
FiveThirtyEight founder and prominent pollster Nate Silver has a bold take: Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., is most likely the next Democratic presidential candidate. In a video posted to his “Silver Bulletin” website on Wednesday, Silver and political podcaster Galen Druke came up with draft picks for the Democratic Party’s next presidential nominee and settled on …
Shannon Sharpe destroyed his career for some tang.
In November of 2020, a freak wave came out of the blue, lifting a lonesome buoy off the coast of British Columbia 17.6 meters high (58 feet). The four-story wall of water was finally confirmed a couple of years later as the most extreme rogue wave ever recorded. Such an exceptional event is thought to …
Trump's Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller RIPS Letitia James' "revenge tour" accusations: “Letitia James is one of the most corrupt, shameless individuals ever to hold public office.” 🔥 pic.twitter.com/5SbRONalRb — Libs of TikTok (@libsoftiktok) April 18, 2025 Letitia James finally responds to the accusations of fraud: “Let me just say to all New Yorkers …
by Martin Armstrong Germany has sought to ban the AfD Party as Democracy has no place in the European Union and they are the sole party combatting the European globalist agenda. I reported in January when AfD became the second-most popular party in the nation. Recent polls now indicate that AfD has surpassed the Christian Democratic Union/Christian …
OPEN THE BOOKS — Federal agencies have spent $4.6 Billion on furniture since 2021, despite most employees working from home.pic.twitter.com/54Kla1cD97 — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) April 9, 2025
A user on 4chan made this prediction back on March 11, claiming Trump is trying to crash the stock market by at least 20%. h/t External-Noise-4832
You mean THIS Gabriel Acevero? The guy who keeps getting hauled into court for not paying his debts and who had a peace order out against him at one time? pic.twitter.com/vUm8HjoXA5 — 🇺🇸1 Pissed Off Patriot 🇺🇸 (@Azraels_Brother) March 31, 2025 Apparently his “fair share” does not extend to his personal responsibilities.
The median household income necessary to purchase the median priced home for sale in the US ($124k) is now 57% higher than the current median household income ($79k). This is the most unaffordable housing market in history. Video: https://t.co/3GVJzoEu3z pic.twitter.com/lwqEsx6jX5 — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) March 27, 2025
If your mortgage payment is over $3,000 a month, odds are you can’t actually afford the house. Yeah, you can fake it for a few years: stretch the budget, shift some expenses, maybe dip into savings when things get tight. But the walls close in eventually. The pressure builds. The monthly payment becomes a looming …
Tim Walz might be the most self-unaware man this country has ever seen 🤣 — Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) March 28, 2025
