A hub for independent voices and hard truths
BREAKING: A recession model that has predicted every single US downturn in 80 years just hit 49%. The threshold is 50%. Every time it has crossed that line, a recession followed within 12 months. No exceptions. And the data behind …
Wall Street crisis spreads as shadow bank blocks withdrawal Apollo and BlackRock Cap Withdrawals — $1.8 Trillion Private Credit Market Under Real Stress Apollo Global Management capped investor redemptions at one of its largest non-traded private credit funds, Apollo Debt …
Moody’s Ratings has projected a negative outlook for New York City’s finances, chalking it up to the city’s large and persistent projected budget gaps — and citing Mayor Mamdani’s plan to draw down from reserves in order to balance the …
A shocking report from a major ratings house just outlined how a forty percent drawdown in AI stocks could hit within the next few months that will wipe out jobs and 401(k)s, freeze credit markets and take the entire economy …
Wyoming Montana Minnesota Mississippi Kansas Massachusetts Washington Georgia New Hampshire Maryland Rhode Island Illinois Delaware Virginia Oregon Connecticut South Dakota New Jersey Maine lowa West Virginia District of Columbia This states are either in a recession or high risk to …
Moody’s latest report on credit market dynamics showed a significant increase in the number of distressed borrowers, primarily those relating to private equity. In addition, bank stats show that while everyone else has forgotten about commercial real estate and its …
Moody’s Chief Economist Mark Zandi is warning that hard economic data is beginning to show clear signs of financial stress. The numbers are revealing weaknesses across multiple sectors, raising concerns about the stability of the economy. This is not just …
Moody's now has the following countries credit rated higher (AAA) than the United States (AA1): – Germany– Canada– Australia– Denmark– Luxembourg– Netherlands– Switzerland– Norway– Sweden– Singapore — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) May 21, 2025
When Japan’s 40-year yield spikes…It’s not just a Japan problem.It’s a global leverage problem ticking louder. — FromRedToRiches (@FromRedToRiches) May 20, 2025 Japan’s 10 year yield the past month💀☠️: I mean this is so far below where their 40 year …
Moody's assessment is right. No other major developed economy is under pressure to grow its GDP by nearly 5% simply to service its debt. None. This is a central pillar of the bearish case for the US dollar. FX is …
Retail traders bought $4.1 billion of U.S. Stocks during the first 3 hours of today's trading sessions, the most in history 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/IooUGeT3xI — Barchart (@Barchart) May 20, 2025 Retail traders made history on Monday, pouring a record $4.1 billion …
*STOCK FUTURES OPEN LOWER IN SUNDAY NIGHT TRADE, VIX JUMPS AS INVESTORS REACT TO MOODY'S U.S. CREDIT DOWNGRADE$SPY $QQQ $VIX 🇺🇸🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/tGKZbmreBe — Investing.com (@Investingcom) May 18, 2025 Eyes on yields this week. pic.twitter.com/03mReXTet4 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) May …
🇺🇸Treasury Secretary Bessent dismisses the US credit rating being downgraded: "I don't put much credence in the Moody's." pic.twitter.com/KwhbDltf4U — Jesse Cohen (@JesseCohenInv) May 18, 2025 BESSENT, AFTER CALL WITH WALMART CEO: WALMART IS GOING TO 'EAT' SOME OF THE …
They’re calling it a nothing burger. Just like in 2011. Just like in 2023.But this time feels different. Here’s why this downgrade could be the one that sticks: 1. The U.S. needs to roll over nine trillion dollars in debt …
by confoundedinterest17 Now you know why Trump is so eager to cut wasteful spending! The real mystery is why Democrats and RINOs are so determined to continue wasteful spending and not cut taxes. Trump inherited a fiscal disaster from Biden …
In 2022, people watched prices surge and blamed gas stations and grocery stores. Today feels different. Prices are still high, but the real concern has shifted. The fear now is not about inflation today. It is about trust tomorrow. People …
lol This is comicalUSA probably makes more than them combinedhas more resources and energy than all combinedhas more high tech jobs probably 10X more than all combined — Rohit Tidke (@_rtidke) May 16, 2025
by Mike Maharrey Would you loan money to Uncle Sam? That’s becoming a pertinent question as the U.S. government’s fiscal situation continues to deteriorate. The national debt surged over $36 trillion last fall, and despite some cutting by DOGE, there is no sign …
NEW YORK (Reuters) -Ratings agency Moody’s said on Tuesday that the U.S.’ fiscal strength is on track for a continued multi-year decline as budget deficits widen and debt becomes less affordable. The agency said in a report that the country’s …
(Bloomberg) — The next US administration “must grapple with widening budget deficits,” warned Moody’s Ratings in a report published Tuesday, nearly a year after it announced a negative outlook for the country’s sovereign credit profile. “The administration’s tax and spending …
Finally an economist that makes sense! https://t.co/qTtcQvJpCb — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 14, 2024 1) What's very interesting about these inventory trends is that they run counter the common narrative about where people are moving. High level – you would …
Starting off 2024 with: – Record U.S. debt – Record U.S. debt interest payments – Expected record U.S. Treasury issuances in 2024 – Record speculative-grade debt maturing over the next 5 years – Moody’s downgrades U.S. to "negative" from "stable" …
The Moody’s announcement, meanwhile, put a spotlight on China’s debt issues. While the agency retained a long-term rating of A1 on the nation’s sovereign bonds, it cited the usage of fiscal stimulus to support debt-laden local governments and the spiraling …
Moody’s Investors Service has revised the rating outlook to negative for Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo, citing concerns about the U.S. government’s potentially weaker capacity to support systemically important banks. Despite the negative outlook, bank stocks rallied …
Bloomberg’s report on the Fed’s apprehensions regarding US commercial office space and interest rates raises alarming flags. Moody’s staggering estimate of potential unrealized losses, reaching a colossal $650 billion within US banks’ securities portfolios, points to an imminent and deeply …
NYT: Moody’s Changes U.S. Credit Outlook to ‘Negative’ Moody’s reaffirmed America’s credit rating at the highest AAA level but expressed concern about the nation’s fiscal trajectory amid congressional dysfunction. https://twitter.com/_/status/1723093232295231929 Yesterday, the US government tried to borrow $24 billion by …
RATINGS agency Moody’s on Thursday (Sep 21) revised its outlook on four Chinese real estate firms to “negative” from “stable”, as the country’s property sector reels from mounting debt. The agency’s action comes just a week after it revised the …
via theorganicprepper: Right on the heels of seeing a downgrade of the creditworthiness of the United States itself, Moody’s has downgraded ten small to medium banks across the country, citing “financial strain” and “strains that could erode their profitability.” Six …
Moody’s waits for a four month short covering rally to end and then downgrades bank stocks.https://t.co/8o2SYHn0u5 Third wave down confirmed. pic.twitter.com/U24Azjooza — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 8, 2023 .. worst day since May 4th $KRE @CNBC pic.twitter.com/m6hKEXyKoo — Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) …
Moody’s cuts US banks due to rising funding costs and Rising risk tied to Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans Moody’s Investors Service hs lowered credit ratings for 10 small and midsize US banks and said it may downgrade major lenders …