moody’s

Moody’s recession model hits 49%, the last time it sat this high outside of an actual recession was September 2007. The Fed’s worst nightmare is getting worse. System looks stable until it doesn’t, 2008 veteran warns blind spots can hide the next crisis

BREAKING: A recession model that has predicted every single US downturn in 80 years just hit 49%. The threshold is 50%. Every time it has crossed that line, a recession followed within 12 months. No exceptions. And the data behind this reading doesn’t even include the Iran war yet… Moody’s built an AI model trained …

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Private Credit Goes From Bad To Worse! Apollo Just Gave Investors Only 45% Of Requested Withdrawals. BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, And Blue Owl Are Doing The Same Thing. Moody’s Just Downgraded A Massive Private Credit Fund!

Wall Street crisis spreads as shadow bank blocks withdrawal Apollo and BlackRock Cap Withdrawals — $1.8 Trillion Private Credit Market Under Real Stress Apollo Global Management capped investor redemptions at one of its largest non-traded private credit funds, Apollo Debt Solutions. According to a shareholder letter, it capped redemptions at 5% of outstanding shares after …

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Moody’s downgrades NYC financial outlook to ‘negative’ citing budget deficit

Moody’s Ratings has projected a negative outlook for New York City’s finances, chalking it up to the city’s large and persistent projected budget gaps — and citing Mayor Mamdani’s plan to draw down from reserves in order to balance the budget this year. The negative outlook won’t have any immediate impact on the city’s borrowing …

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This states are either in a recession or high risk to one, per Moody;s”

Wyoming Montana Minnesota Mississippi Kansas Massachusetts Washington Georgia New Hampshire Maryland Rhode Island Illinois Delaware Virginia Oregon Connecticut South Dakota New Jersey Maine lowa West Virginia District of Columbia This states are either in a recession or high risk to one, per Moody;s" WyomingMontanaMinnesotaMississippiKansasMassachusettsWashingtonGeorgiaNew HampshireMarylandRhode IslandIllinoisDelawareVirginiaOregonConnecticutSouth DakotaNew JerseyMainelowaWest… — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 3, 2025 Here, …

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Moody’s Report Exposes at a Massive Wave of Corporate Collapses

Moody’s latest report on credit market dynamics showed a significant increase in the number of distressed borrowers, primarily those relating to private equity. In addition, bank stats show that while everyone else has forgotten about commercial real estate and its underlying bust, domestic banks have not and have been quietly yet persistently reducing their exposures …

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Moody’s Chief Economist: “hard data starting to show significant stress”

Moody’s Chief Economist Mark Zandi is warning that hard economic data is beginning to show clear signs of financial stress. The numbers are revealing weaknesses across multiple sectors, raising concerns about the stability of the economy. This is not just a theoretical concern. Businesses, consumers, and markets are feeling the pressure. Consumer spending is losing …

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Japan’s 40-year bond yield just spiked to 3.58%, the highest level since 2007. The debt downgrade from Moody’s forces the bond markets to take down the weaker hands first?

When Japan’s 40-year yield spikes…It’s not just a Japan problem.It’s a global leverage problem ticking louder. — FromRedToRiches (@FromRedToRiches) May 20, 2025 Japan’s 10 year yield the past month💀☠️: I mean this is so far below where their 40 year bond is trading which trades at 3.5% plus. Inflation is way higher than 1.52% My …

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Moody’s warning echoes debt reality US needs 5% growth to tread water. Dollar under fire urgency for rate cuts outpaces global peers. Yield control likely ahead

Moody's assessment is right. No other major developed economy is under pressure to grow its GDP by nearly 5% simply to service its debt. None. This is a central pillar of the bearish case for the US dollar. FX is a relative game and the urgency for rate cuts in the US is… pic.twitter.com/53XMF3p6f8 — …

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Retail traders flood market with record $4.1 billion, reversing S&P 500 decline triggered by Moody’s downgrade

Retail traders bought $4.1 billion of U.S. Stocks during the first 3 hours of today's trading sessions, the most in history 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/IooUGeT3xI — Barchart (@Barchart) May 20, 2025 Retail traders made history on Monday, pouring a record $4.1 billion into US stocks by midday, reversing a 1 percent decline in the S&P 500 Index. …

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Futures are down after Moody’s cuts the US debt rating, gold and yields jump

*STOCK FUTURES OPEN LOWER IN SUNDAY NIGHT TRADE, VIX JUMPS AS INVESTORS REACT TO MOODY'S U.S. CREDIT DOWNGRADE$SPY $QQQ $VIX 🇺🇸🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/tGKZbmreBe — Investing.com (@Investingcom) May 18, 2025 Eyes on yields this week. pic.twitter.com/03mReXTet4 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) May 18, 2025 GOLD 3360 next stop. pic.twitter.com/L1m7vEmHxP — The Great Martis (@great_martis) May 18, 2025 …

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Treasury Secretary Bessent dismisses the US credit rating being downgraded: “I don’t put much credence in the Moody’s.”

🇺🇸Treasury Secretary Bessent dismisses the US credit rating being downgraded: "I don't put much credence in the Moody's." pic.twitter.com/KwhbDltf4U — Jesse Cohen (@JesseCohenInv) May 18, 2025 BESSENT, AFTER CALL WITH WALMART CEO: WALMART IS GOING TO 'EAT' SOME OF THE TARIFFS $WMT — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) May 18, 2025 Bessent Interview Highlights This Morning: -Downplayed the …

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Moody’s Downgrades USA Credit Rating From Aaa (M2 Money UP 40% Since Covid, Public Debt UP 56%, US CDS Down Near Greek Levels!)

by confoundedinterest17 Now you know why Trump is so eager to cut wasteful spending! The real mystery is why Democrats and RINOs are so determined to continue wasteful spending and not cut taxes. Trump inherited a fiscal disaster from Biden and Congress. Not to mention The Federal Reserve. Credit default swaps (CDS) for the USA …

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Yield jump signals trust breakdown, not inflation fear. $9 trillion rollover countdown begins, Moody’s sounds the alarm

In 2022, people watched prices surge and blamed gas stations and grocery stores. Today feels different. Prices are still high, but the real concern has shifted. The fear now is not about inflation today. It is about trust tomorrow. People are no longer just worried about paying more. They are starting to wonder whether the …

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Moody’s Warns of Deteriorating U.S. Creditworthiness

by Mike Maharrey Would you loan money to Uncle Sam? That’s becoming a pertinent question as the U.S. government’s fiscal situation continues to deteriorate. The national debt surged over $36 trillion last fall, and despite some cutting by DOGE, there is no sign that the spending is going to slow down. The proposed federal budget for next year would …

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Moody’s issues warning on U.S. debt… Are we getting ATH today for gold prices?

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Ratings agency Moody’s said on Tuesday that the U.S.’ fiscal strength is on track for a continued multi-year decline as budget deficits widen and debt becomes less affordable. The agency said in a report that the country’s fiscal health deteriorated further since Moody’s lowered its outlook on the U.S. triple-A rating in …

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Moody’s Warns U.S. Fiscal Health Expected To Deteriorate Further Under The Next Administration

(Bloomberg) — The next US administration “must grapple with widening budget deficits,” warned Moody’s Ratings in a report published Tuesday, nearly a year after it announced a negative outlook for the country’s sovereign credit profile. “The administration’s tax and spending policies will affect the size of future budget deficits and the expected decline in US …

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Interest rate cut alone won’t solve the housing crisis, says Moody’s economist.

Finally an economist that makes sense! https://t.co/qTtcQvJpCb — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 14, 2024 1) What's very interesting about these inventory trends is that they run counter the common narrative about where people are moving. High level – you would think that the South should have lower inventory due to all the people moving there. …

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2024’s Economic Paradox: U.S. Grapples with Record Debt, Moody’s Downgrade, and Soaring Interest Rates… Stock Market Highs Amidst Economic Uncertainty.

Starting off 2024 with: – Record U.S. debt – Record U.S. debt interest payments – Expected record U.S. Treasury issuances in 2024 – Record speculative-grade debt maturing over the next 5 years – Moody’s downgrades U.S. to "negative" from "stable" – Interest rates near… pic.twitter.com/idv0E9kdgW — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) January 2, 2024 And if …

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Moody’s downgrades China’s outlook to negative. China hits back: You don’t understand our economy you stupid cows.

The Moody’s announcement, meanwhile, put a spotlight on China’s debt issues. While the agency retained a long-term rating of A1 on the nation’s sovereign bonds, it cited the usage of fiscal stimulus to support debt-laden local governments and the spiraling property downturn as risks. The pushback from China generally followed a theme: Moody’s just doesn’t …

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Moody’s Shifts Outlook to Negative for Major U.S. Banks Amid Concerns Over Government Support

Moody’s Investors Service has revised the rating outlook to negative for Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo, citing concerns about the U.S. government’s potentially weaker capacity to support systemically important banks. Despite the negative outlook, bank stocks rallied following subdued inflation data. Moody’s maintained a stable rating for Citigroup’s debt amidst these developments. …

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Double Warning: Fed Cautions on Office Space and Interest Rate Risks, Moody’s Flags $650B Crisis for US Banks

Bloomberg’s report on the Fed’s apprehensions regarding US commercial office space and interest rates raises alarming flags. Moody’s staggering estimate of potential unrealized losses, reaching a colossal $650 billion within US banks’ securities portfolios, points to an imminent and deeply concerning crisis looming over the banking sector. The Fed sees risks for banks from US …

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BREAKING: Moodys Changes US Ratings Outlook to Negative

NYT: Moody’s Changes U.S. Credit Outlook to ‘Negative’ Moody’s reaffirmed America’s credit rating at the highest AAA level but expressed concern about the nation’s fiscal trajectory amid congressional dysfunction. https://twitter.com/_/status/1723093232295231929 Yesterday, the US government tried to borrow $24 billion by selling a bunch of 30 year debt. It was a huge disaster. In order to …

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Moody’s revises outlook on four Chinese real estate firms to ‘negative’.

RATINGS agency Moody’s on Thursday (Sep 21) revised its outlook on four Chinese real estate firms to “negative” from “stable”, as the country’s property sector reels from mounting debt. The agency’s action comes just a week after it revised the outlook on the country’s crisis-hit property sector to “negative”, citing growth-related challenges. The outlook change …

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DOWNGRADES and WARNINGS: Moody’s Outlook on 27 American Banks

via theorganicprepper: Right on the heels of seeing a downgrade of the creditworthiness of the United States itself, Moody’s has downgraded ten small to medium banks across the country, citing “financial strain” and “strains that could erode their profitability.” Six more banks are under review, and another eleven have been shifted from “stable” to negative. …

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Worst day since May 4th… Moody’s waits for a four month short covering rally to end and then downgrades bank stocks.

Moody’s waits for a four month short covering rally to end and then downgrades bank stocks.https://t.co/8o2SYHn0u5 Third wave down confirmed. pic.twitter.com/U24Azjooza — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 8, 2023 .. worst day since May 4th $KRE ⁦@CNBC⁩ pic.twitter.com/m6hKEXyKoo — Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) August 8, 2023

MOODY’S DOWNGRADES 10 U.S. BANKS, WARNS OF POSSIBLE CUTS TO OTHERS.

Moody’s cuts US banks due to rising funding costs and Rising risk tied to Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans Moody’s Investors Service hs lowered credit ratings for 10 small and midsize US banks and said it may downgrade major lenders including U.S. Bancorp, Bank of New York Mellon Corp., State Street Corp., and Truist Financial …

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