Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
US consumers are getting even more pessimistic about the stock market: A record 12% of Americans see no chance that stocks will increase over the next 12 months, according to a UMich survey. This percentage has tripled over the last 2 months. It has also surpassed previous peaks seen near 2022, 2009, and 2022 market …
The Toy Association provided insight into the effects of tariffs on the industry through a survey that asked more than 400 member companies to assess the potential business impact of the 145% tariffs on Chinese toy imports. The report revealed that 96% of American toy companies are small and medium-sized and that 45% to 46% …
An Australian radio station is facing backlash after using an AI-generated host for the last six months without disclosing it. Australian Radio Network’s CADA station, which broadcasts in Sydney and on the iHeartRadio app, created a host called Thy using artificial intelligence software developed by voice cloning firm ElevenLabs. The Workdays with Thy show presented …
🇺🇸 AMERICANS THINK THE ECONOMY IS A FLAMING DUMPSTER People are freaking out—for the fourth month in a row—because everything feels like it’s getting worse, not better. Blame the T-word: tariffs. They mess with prices, and now folks are scared their paychecks won’t keep up with… https://t.co/siOu6uomud pic.twitter.com/3HZyOZ9vEg — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) April 25, 2025 …
“It normally takes 18 months on average for the US to negotiate a trade deal, see chart below. Why does it take so long? Because trade negotiations involve going through what is imported into each country line by line and then negotiating the tariff for each product category… pic.twitter.com/1gh8mMveM4 — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April …
This chart shows the likelihood of a recession in the U.S. within the next 12 months, based on Wall Street Journal surveys of economists from 2023 to 2025. The data points reflect the average response in each survey. In early 2023, the likelihood was around 60%. It gradually declined through 2023 and 2024, hitting a …
A growing majority of America’s top executives now expects the U.S. economy to enter a recession in the near future, according to a survey released Monday. Of the more than 300 CEOs polled in April, 62% said they forecasted a recession or other economic downturn in the next six months, according to Chief Executive, an …
Market overvalued ✅Market overbought ✅Bearish price action confirmation ✅ pic.twitter.com/G9f275GkAt — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 1, 2025 Linkhttps://t.co/uFMsfLLbSj pic.twitter.com/0CnpwQeJ5J — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April 1, 2025 ISM Prices Paid pic.twitter.com/q2t24pHB4d — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) April 1, 2025 Bond investors are worried: The 2-year breakeven inflation rate has jumped to 3.27%, the highest since the March …
https://twitter.com/Orwellsghost28/status/1905304555614863527
Canada’s small business sector is grappling with a severe crisis as its confidence plummets. The Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) has reported an alarming decline in the Small Business Confidence Index, which dropped to 23.2 in March 2025. This is a staggering 60% drop from the previous year, highlighting the deepening challenges that small …
Average loan terms for new and used cars are close to six years and the majority of loans have terms of more than five years, as of Q2 2024. Longer-term loans can lower your monthly payments, but also cost you more in interest over time, increasing the total price of your vehicle. The average car …
Maniacal DC Obama Judges Beryll Howell and her running dog James Boasberg – a picture of pure liberal insanity. Since returning to the White House on January 20, 2025, President Donald J. Trump has been met with an unprecedented onslaught of legal challenges from far-left activist judges and groups determined to sabotage his second term …
The market feels like a house of cards in a windstorm—teetering, trying to convince itself it’s stable, but deep down, everyone knows the truth. Sure, the S&P 500 has posted two straight days of 90% advancing stocks, but on what? Ghost-town volume. This isn’t conviction. This is a market that’s climbing because it doesn’t know …
Pentagon to unveil cuts alongside fiscal 2026 budget request Congress will have to wait to learn more about Defense Department’s efficiency efforts Pentagon leaders plan to roll out their recommended cuts to military spending alongside their budget request for fiscal 2026, the Defense Department indicated in a newly released letter to Congress. The letter, addressed …
After record highs driven by supply fears, the market is finally correcting—but was this crash overdue or just the beginning?
You’ve been sitting home in pjs knowing the taxpayers were funding you rather than getting a real job and being productive @OhYouGirl so ZERO empathy 🤷♀️ — Deirdre (@trulyDeirdre) February 19, 2025 Sometimes, life gives you a wake-up call—and clearly, she’s just not ready to answer it.
(Bloomberg) — Citigroup Inc. expects gold prices to hit a record $3,000 an ounce within three months, with geopolitical tensions and trade wars stoked by US President Donald Trump boosting demand for safe-haven assets. Trump jolted markets with the prospect of tariffs that could slow economic growth, reignite inflation and disrupt global commerce. Investors will …
Mark Zuckerberg is actively selling META stocks last 2 months byu/ChampionshipUsed9855 inu_ChampionshipUsed9855
We’re down 20% in 6 months. How the heck isn’t this a crash? pic.twitter.com/6aRDtdZYgu — SMB Attorney (@SMB_Attorney) January 12, 2025 I’m not saying it’s necessarily a crash… I don’t know. But, I’m still waiting on someone to actually provide data to support their position. I don’t think the Zestimate is gospel, but it’s certainly …
by VotedOut Three different U.S. stock market valuation models (the Buffett Indicator, CAPE ratio, and Mean Reversion Model – three different ways of objectively looking at the overall valuation of the current market) are flashing extreme overvaluation warning signs that were both last seen in 2000 and 2021. Both 2000 and 2021 marked market euphoria …
We have seen a tremendous amount of layoffs over the past year and at the same time, companies are slowing way down on new hires due to the sluggish economy. This is leaving many people unemployed for a lot longer than originally anticipated and forcing many to rely on savings and credit cards to get …
$RIVN +24% for the day and 58% over the last 3 mo. because it reported "800 MORE VEHICLES than analyst expectations." Yes, 800. Rivian delivered nearly 14,200 EVs during the fourth quarter, bringing its yearly sales volume to roughly 51,580 electric trucks — within the company's… pic.twitter.com/fO54mA9prH — Inkling (@inside_finance) January 3, 2025
The US bond market has been in a drawdown for over 52 months, by far the longest in history. Video: https://t.co/PlZ0poWqfU pic.twitter.com/a948poplO9 — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 27, 2024 The US Bond Market has now been in a drawdown for 53 months, by far the longest in history.https://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/bGFIn2cMFW — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 1, …
https://twitter.com/blankallclowns/status/1874645259692740753 Schubarth pleaded guilty in March to charges that he and five other people conspired to use tissue from a Marco Polo sheep illegally brought into the U.S. to clone that animal and then use the clone and its descendants to create a larger, hybrid species of sheep that would be more valuable for captive …
Released J6 Prisoner Jon Mellis Faces 10 More Years In Prison After Surviving 51 Months Of Torture, Allegedly Violated Virginia’s Outdated ‘Good Behavior For Life’ Clause Hundreds of men and women are staring down a gaping hole of uncertainty and danger, surviving in prison and serving extremely lengthy sentences for crimes they did not commit, …
China Secretly Snaps Up More Gold, Positions for Its Greater Global Role While 99% of the media keeps staring at official data by the Chinese central bank (PBoC)—misleadingly stating it added 5 tonnes of gold in November following a supposed six-month pause—the PBoC’s… — Jan Nieuwenhuijs (@JanGold_) December 24, 2024
What a failure…why take the job? Didn’t even give any severance. 🚨 BREAKING: Party City is closing ALL stores after almost 40 years in business! CEO Barry Litwin announced to corporate staff that operations are "winding down" IMMEDIATELY, with today being their final day. This marks the end for America's largest party supply retailer. pic.twitter.com/30tmqSbXFy …
My fear is that too many people are not prepared for a market correction 2 years of a Bull Market has created the mentality that every dip is just an opportunity to buy It is not. We are in Wave 5, the Bull Run is coming to an end The only question now is whether …
DUDE We are super close to implosion. Two rosy "strong/resilient" months then complete free fall IMO. Same playbook every cycle. They declare recession is averted then MORE complacency occurs before the rug is pulled out beneath themThose $GME swaps👀💥https://t.co/mq52SLvnLB pic.twitter.com/W6Xo0tDEIE — 🏴☠️Fidel Cashflow🏴☠️🇺🇸 (@fullfieldflicks) December 19, 2024 YOU. CANNOT. MAKE. THIS UP. Yesterday was October …
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/seriesBeta/T10Y3M This has been right 100% of the time! For the first time in 2 years we have finally inversed meaning a market correction will be coming in the following months! Stay tuned 🙂 h/t stockmaste4r