The Fed’s worst nightmare is materializing in front of our eyes. Are markets repeating the covid setup?

What is often overlooked is that the Fed primarily controls demand-side inflation, not supply-side inflation. In other words, it can influence how much people borrow and spend, but it cannot directly increase supply, like producing more oil. This means that in the case of a supply-shock, as we are seeing now with energy prices, the …

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Now I am worried: “The probability of a US recession materializing in 2025 is 0%, according to a Monday note from Torsten Sløk, the chief economist at Apollo.”

pic.twitter.com/AjAiL7vFzA — Saw Chuck (@Saw_Chuck2023) December 25, 2024 RCH Fed: manufacturing contracts again in Dec w/ employment, new orders, and shipments all falling; although firms expect significantly better conditions 6 months from now, the sector is currently still hemorrhaging: pic.twitter.com/WQrxj4k76c — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) December 26, 2024 🚨🇺🇸BIDEN CAUGHT LYING ABOUT THE LABOR MARKET…AGAIN …

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