Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Repo fails make sense being an indicator of collateral difficulties. Same for the 4-week US Treasury bill rate when it falls substantially. But how does Japanese government bill yields fit into the US$ repo picture? And why are they such a solid fit for it? The answer lies in the carry trade and what it …
US government debt market collapse has started This has MASSIVE implications for the economy A thread 🧵 pic.twitter.com/sau5h9sPLr — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 28, 2024 3/ Treasury bonds, typically 40% of an investor's portfolio, have led to big losses because of their sharp decline — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 28, 2024 5/ Constantly rising government …
“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed BACK above 7% today, reaching its highest point since early July. This is one month AFTER a 50 bps cut by the US Fed.” Reminder: pic.twitter.com/oamLMu9J3p — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) October 28, 2024 This isn’t an election problem. This is a 25 years of too-loose monetary policy problem. The Real …
The left controls the media, controls Hollywood and manipulates search results yet America is still 50/50 R vs D. America is a conservative country and the modern Democratic Party wouldn’t exist if they didn’t control the media, Hollywood and Big Tech. — Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 28, 2024
Warren Buffett’s cash exposure is getting dangerously high. The last time the cash was that high was just before the great financial crisis and the 2007 2009 50% stock market crash. Of course, Buffett says we can’t time markets, but as he does, we can look at fundamentals and understand the risk and reward.
Extremely greed typically leads to market pullbacks That’s exactly the situation we are in right now Extremely greed typically leads to market pullbacks That’s exactly the situation we are in right now pic.twitter.com/4qZNhupyvN — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 26, 2024 $VIX broke out of the wedge yesterday. Just more proof they're repeating the same 2020 …
Nvidia briefly eclipsed Apple to become the world’s most valuable company on Friday. It’s the first time Nvidia has been the world’s largest company since mid-June. Nvidia stock jumped as much as 3% on Friday to an intra-day high of $144.13, catapulting its market valuation to $3.53 trillion. In contrast, Apple traded up less than …
It happened again. Today’s stock market plunge was sparked by an unsettling move from the Bank of Canada, cutting interest rates by 0.5%. The implications of this seemingly small shift are much more profound than they appear on the surface. Canada’s economy is slowing down at an alarming rate, and this drastic measure was taken …
Worst breadth since August on both exchanges. Notice how in August when breadth was at this level Nvidia was imploding. Now, Nvidia is near all time highs. Does not portend well for bulls when the only stock that matters implodes. pic.twitter.com/iyBRdk0NP8 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) October 23, 2024 Stock market news today is just entertainment and …
GOLD spot hits a new all-time high, surging past $2,748/oz! Have you bought gold in recent years? pic.twitter.com/YYKrsOihhl — Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 23, 2024 🚨Equal-weighted SPX has entered a BEAR MARKET versus gold🚨The #SPX, #NASDAQ100 and #StockMarket are expected to follow soon #CapitalRotation pic.twitter.com/RGR5EPZ78K — Northstar (@NorthstarCharts) October 23, 2024 #Bitcoin looking VERY vulnerable …
Druckenmiller recently announced at a conference that he is shorting U.S. Treasury bonds, and these bets now account for 15% to 20% of his portfolio. https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/10/20/does-stanley-druckenmiller-know-something-wall-str/ ✅Market optimism on inflation is ‘misleading’ byu/Fun_Balance_1809 inu_Fun_Balance_1809 Inflation is not dead, it’s just resting LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters Breakingviews) – Over the past three years inflation has gone …
The Fed rate cut of 50 basis points has actually resulted in a significant rise in Mortgage rates. Current average 30 year mortgage rate is 6.7 %. Home Prices are double from Pre Pandemic levels in many areas. Mortgage interest rates are double from Pre Pandemic levels. Prices would need to drop by 60 – …
by Moneymetals In a recent Money Metals podcast, host Mike Maharrey sat down with Jan Nieuwenhuijs, a recognized expert in global gold markets, to discuss his journey into the field and the dynamics of international gold trends, particularly in China. Here’s a summary of their conversation, which covers Nieuwenhuijs’ unique career path and his expert …
via Michael Lebowitz The financial media frequently opines on what the daily gyrations of the VIX (implied volatility index) signal regarding investor sentiment. Despite how often it is quoted and discussed, many investors do not truly appreciate what implied volatility measures. We take this opportunity to help you better understand implied volatility. Furthermore, we discuss …
Auto loan 90+ day delinquency rates have reached 2.88%, the highest level since Q2 2010. This marks a significant rise, with the percentage nearly doubling over the past 2.5 years. h/t HighYieldLarry
They are not buying stocks. The Insider Transaction Ratio has risen into 'bearish' territory. via @hmeisler pic.twitter.com/58B6BhJwxz — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) October 15, 2024 h/t HighYieldLarry
Nvidia shares closed at a record on Monday as Wall Street gears up for earnings season and updates from all of the chipmaker’s top customers on their planned spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure. The stock climbed 2.4% to close at $138.07, topping its prior high of $135.58 on June 18. The shares are now up …
Dow Jones Target of the inverted head and shoulder has been met or close. Few stray cattle left behind that needs gathering before the market takes them all to the abattoir. pic.twitter.com/3PhfJYfpai — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 15, 2024 We did it!! Stock Market hits Extreme Greed – Highest level of Greed since March …
The number of US bankruptcy filings of big companies reached 512 in 2024 through September, the 2nd largest 2010 – only 6 below 2020. Dow jones Update✍️ End game nearing. 2025 ain't gunna be pretty. Market will exhaust all avenues to gather as much of cattle possible before it heads to the abattoir. Who's prepared? …
I’ve noticed that the SPY500 has nearly doubled over the last 5 years, while the GDP hasn’t risen anywhere close to that level. The post-pandemic crash made sense, and so did the subsequent rise due to quantitative easing. But now, the continued upward trend doesn’t seem to align with actual economic growth. If you factor …
(Bloomberg) — The rally that’s helped US stocks almost double in value over the past five years is tapering off, and investors should expect low but positive returns on their investments, according to Bill Gross. The billionaire investor recommends keeping exposure to the stock market at average levels, while focusing portfolios more on defensive stocks …
Five year trend shows geopolitical risks create a floor, but long-term supply-demand trend is weak due to manufacturing weakness pic.twitter.com/NSn9PlR8OH — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) October 7, 2024 “This morning, yields on the U.S. 10-year bond soared over 4%. This continues a non-stop rise in yields following the Fed’s 50 basis point rate cut on September …
The market is up 6540% + since 1967 But ONLY 600% when adjusted for inflation You can’t make this up… pic.twitter.com/d5B3VLrbmL — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 6, 2024 It’s no surprise that gold is having its best year in decades. Central banks are stockpiling at record levels since the 1970s. Confidence in fiat currencies is …
The stock market is very close to confirming a high probability of falling 90-97% versus silver. Observe & position accordingly #Preciousmetals #Gold #Silver #Stockmarket pic.twitter.com/7RfyLslLOn — Northstar (@NorthstarCharts) October 6, 2024 Silver chart is looking very bullish. Having back-tested post-covid highs of 4 years ago silver is set up for a strong move higher. Poor …
“Is the market volatility set to surge in the coming months? Over the last 30 years, US yield curves have been a leading indicator for the volatility index, $VIX, with roughly a 36-month lag. The periods of flattening and inverted yield curves have been associated with suppressed volatility. On the other hand, once yield curves …
The Yen Carry Trade Is Not Unwound and Should Concern Everyone "…Knowing what’s left after the summer selloff is a challenge in part because no one is keeping track. There’s no trading floor or regulator. No one publishes a league table. It’s a strategy, not a product, so… https://t.co/EJio9HfFKX pic.twitter.com/dumVOLtQns — kristen shaughnessy (@kshaughnessy2) October …
The U.S. housing market is now tilting in favor of buyers, who are pushing back against the high home prices that sellers are demanding, according to Compass cofounder and CEO Robert Reffkin. He told CNBC on Wednesday that 30% of the inventory on the market has seen a price drop, which is more than anytime …
US Futures Edge Lower as MidEast Tensions Rise US stock futures fell further on Wednesday after the major averages tumbled in the first trading session of October, as an escalating conflict in the Middle East h… More here: https://t.co/t5tNk3mpX5 pic.twitter.com/VKNs0EyrWE — TRADING ECONOMICS (@tEconomics) October 2, 2024 Today’s missile exchanges between Iran and Israel have …
If you tax unrealized gains then the people impacted will figure out a solution that will probably involve borrowing against the position to pay taxes then using tax credits to pay off the loans when values go down. The ultra wealthy have plenty of money to hire the best… — andrew morgasen (@welleducatedinv) September 28, …
by New Radio Release Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason. Coming up Gerald Celente of the Trends Journal joins us for an explosive interview on a range of topic, including gold’s rise, the pending death of the dollar and why Gerald is more concerned now than ever that we’re on the …