Convertible notes protect noteholders if stock falls below conversion price: Cash, not stock, repays below the conversion price. $MSTR’s leverage risk could destabilize $BTC; parallels drawn with $NVDA’s market impact.

Late to this party but this is wrong under any reading of the convertible notes prospectus. If the stock is below the conversion price, noteholders get their principal and accrued interest paid back in cash, not stock The fact he is saying this only feeds the “docs don’t matter, fiat …

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Massive shorts on SLV and high stand-for-delivery numbers signal potential breakdown in silver market.

Massive shorts on SLV, high number of stand for delivery, all pointing to a potential break down of Silver market. This Ed Steer interview gives good insights to the developing problem 🔴 Did the SILVER Market Just Break? (who REALLY controls the price?) https://t.co/SvsNNVqgJp… — David Lee (@DavidLe76335983) December 28, …

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FED cuts rates, but bond market signals inflation isn’t over, 1973-75 repeat possible. Buckle the f**k up!

FED reassures the market that inflation is over by cutting rates.Bond market reassures FED that inflation ain't over. Shaping up to rival 73' -75' repeat. God help us all. pic.twitter.com/ZiKJ4qazxB — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 27, 2024 Yields will now keep rising until the equity market collapses. The die …

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Tether delisting in 3 days echoes the FTX and Celsius market crash of 2022. The end of USDT = the end of crypto.

This is a document snip from the Chinese and Indian CBDC financial team where they discuss Tether as if it has already imploded and taken down the market. It might be time to think critically and diversify out of USDT. https://t.co/H0JccvtHtY pic.twitter.com/LSEr3BknY5 — Mr. Man (@MrManXRP) December 27, 2024 $USDT …

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Just in time for the inauguration: The Fed is deliberately tightening liquidity in the system

Reverse repo surges $72BN to $268.7BN for year-end window dressing. Funding market spreads already had blown out to 3 month highs amid spike in repo tightness pic.twitter.com/wyBoMBEPN8 — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 27, 2024 The Federal Reserve's emergency Bank Term Funding Program dropped to $5 billion this week. It'll be $0 …

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Current asset bubble, encompassing stocks, bonds, real estate, and crypto, dwarfs previous crises. Trump ringing the bell at the NYSE began the bear market.

And everyone wants Trump or Bitcoin to save them…Madness of crowds and all — Чассен Комарова (@RUBICONCROSS2) December 27, 2024 BREAKING: Analysts warn Bitcoin will crash to $60,000 — WF (@WhaleFUD) December 27, 2024 Credit card debt hit another all time high. If you look at the second chart (red …

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Stock market optimism clashes with consumer reality: rising retail inventories, declining spending.

Once again, the disconnect between what the stock market is hoping and what the consumer is telling us, is striking. Retail inventories are climbing month after month, and revisions are upward. The consumer is spending less and less and retail inventory levels are climbing… https://t.co/bBT0uZf6Ym — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) …

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The stock market isn’t a serious thing anymore. Market cycles repeat: rich buy low, hype builds, rug pull, sheep panic.

The stock market isn't a serious thing anymore How the FUCK is $KULR a $1b company with $3m in revenue in the last quarter and 50% operating LOSS pic.twitter.com/jMA6Y94PNU — Daniel Romero (@HyperTechInvest) December 26, 2024 100x P/S with such margins is bonkers — Daniel Romero (@HyperTechInvest) December 26, 2024 …

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Everyone loves buying new highs and euphoria. The dumber you are in understanding the markets the better off you’ll perform ironically. The market will repeat the 2022 “drawdown”

The market is completely controlled by margin trading and the risk on appetite. As long as yen yield is low and sentiment is good we will double down on margin on the dips. So this bull market will continue but man will it have a seizure like end but I’m …

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Momentum Tech and Bitcoin’s 95% correlation signals synchronized post-holiday market reactions. Bitcoin erodes privacy, enabling control, sanctions, and societal surveillance instantly.

On a rolling ninety day basis, Momentum Tech and Bitcoins are 95% correlated, the highest in history. Which means that while gamblers are watching Bitcoins implode over the holiday, we can be 95% certain of what will happen the day after. pic.twitter.com/yLcy44LcyX — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 23, 2024 Bitcoin is …

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It’s pretty wild to say, but Intel now has the single greatest bang for your buck GPU on the market. Sold out everywhere. A total triumph.

https://www.techradar.com/computing/gpu/intel-arc-b580-review The $400 price range is the most competitive GPU market. Most users are stuck using xx50-60series cards(steam GPU survey). If intel can break into this market at a lower price point, they could eat up a good size chunk of the market. Most kids buy prebuilt, and Prebuilt pcs …

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Xi must stabilize property market before reigniting growth; $13trn inventory crisis looms. A massive $133 BILLION worth of Chinese builders’ bonds have defaulted over the last 5 years.

We explained the property bubble in China and its many negative implications in 7 episodes here… 2/2https://t.co/43I3QXuRVQ — Alexander Stahel 🌻 (@BurggrabenH) December 23, 2024 ⚠️ JUST IN: *CHINA CENTRAL BANK INJECTS 109.6 BILLION YUAN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS AT 1.50%: STATEMENT 🇨🇳🇨🇳 pic.twitter.com/PxOkJ2acfp — Investing.com (@Investingcom) December 23, 2024 …

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Are stocks overvalued versus bonds? Friday’s market bounce cannot be trusted yet. Q1 2025 peaked for SP500?

⚠️S&P 500 RISK PREMIUM HAS DROPPED TO THE LOWEST SINCE THE DOT-COM BUBBLE BURST⚠️ The difference between the S&P 500 estimated earnings yield (earnings divided by price) and the 10-year Treasury yield fell to the lowest in over 2 decades. Are stocks overvalued versus bonds? pic.twitter.com/OwlMjd45Jo — Global Markets Investor …

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California’s job market weakens; Nevada faces early labor market recession signs.

California’s job market worsens: employment drops, unemployment rises, labor force shrinks. https://t.co/ANUo7WJBMK — WarnTracker 2.0 (@j77324) December 20, 2024 Nevada’s labor market shows recession signs: employment declines monthly since June. It 100% is. The entire situation is just getting worse, and frankly, nothing is being done besides tax abatements that …

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Long-term Bitcoin holders sold; highest supply volumes since 2018 bottom. Over $1.1 billion liquidated from cryptocurrency market in 24 hours.

Remember when all those folks told you the Long-Term Holders never sell their $BTC? Yeh, they lied to you. Largest revived supply volumes since the 2018 bottom, and the BCH hard-fork (aka the biggest volume of old coins taking profit in a bull market ever). pic.twitter.com/1kwXbOkaI0 — _Checkmate 🟠🔑⚡☢️🛢️ (@_Checkmatey_) …

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Peter Schiff: Philly Fed survey plunges to -16.4; rising costs, falling revenues signal stagflation. Jim Bianco: If bonds lose faith in the Fed, yields will surge.

The December Philly Fed Manufacturing survey was another disaster, collapsing from -5.5 to -16.4, versus an expected rise to +2.8. This is the weakest level of the year. More problematic, prices paid jumped while prices received fell. All signs point to #stagflation. Sorry, Fed. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) December 19, …

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We are on the same rate-cut path as 2007. Remember what happened in 2008? Powell becoming extra-hawkish likely means the labor market is about to crack

We are on the same rate-cut path as 2007. Remember what happened in 2008? — Steven Van Metre – AI 👑 (@MetreSteven) December 18, 2024 https://twitter.com/Logisticsexpert/status/1869522799389454585 Maybe he is finally starting to see the stagflation? — David Sommers (@dgsommersmkts) December 18, 2024 Rates will rise until it collapses the stock …

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Unlike 2008, we have both a historically overpriced housing bubble AND stock market bubble.

The median renter in America has a net worth of $10,400. The median homeowner’s net worth is $400,000 Wall Street Pours Billions Into Build-To-Rent Communities, Betting Big Against Home Ownership Amid High Prices and Interest Rates While the pillars of the stock market are highly concentrated in just a few …

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Rising debt signals potential repeat of 1970s double-digit mortgage rates. If gold repeats 1970s parabola move. The largest bull market in history will be in gold.

Yields pre-warning that history is about to repeat. 1972 national debts 400million2024 national debt 35 trillion. How does a 10 to 15% mortgage rate look like today? pic.twitter.com/9Ki8eewmJb — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 15, 2024 If gold repeats 1970s parabola move. The largest bull market in history will be …

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BIG Bubbles? Biden/Democrats Spending Spree + FED = Massive Asset Bubbles = OVERVALUATION In Stock Market And Housing (Buffett Indicator, SP500 Mean Reversion, Shiller PE Ratio, CaseShiller To Gov Spending)

by confoundedinterest17 Apparently, the late Hawaiian crooner Don Ho foresaw Biden’s irresponsible spending spree. That is, BIG BUBBLES. Let’s start with the Buffett Indicator (Warren, not Jimmy!). It indicates that the stock market is STRONGLY OVERVALUED. The S&P 500 Mean Reversion Model also shows the stock market to be STRONGLY OVERVALUED. How about …

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