A hub for independent voices and signals
In 2008 and again in 2020, similar steep drops in credit were quickly followed by aggressive Fed rate cuts and liquidity injections. This time, we’re seeing the same kind of credit contraction, but the Fed is still holding rates high, …
Everyone sees the train coming, but no one wants to leave the tracks. We are living in the largest Bubble ever. It is insane (….and it will burst)! Market Capitalization to GDP: Long-term average: 88%Typical historical range: 70% – 115% …
$NVDA B200 AI chips have been leaking into China via the black market $AMD $GOOG $MSFT pic.twitter.com/S9rm1sgvOF — Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay) (@SpecialSitsNews) July 25, 2025
Momentum just doubled. The European Union and the United States are finalizing a trade agreement that would lock in a 15% tariff on EU goods entering the U.S. The framework mirrors the Japan deal signed days earlier. That one included …
Chapters 00:00 – Introduction 02:08 – Effects of Government Shutdown and Stimulus Checks 05:45 – Impact of Low Interest Rates on Asset Classes 06:41 – Influence of Energy Prices and Outsourcing on Inflation 09:39 – Impact of Trade Policies on …
I'm seeing 2 possible scenarios here… 1) Melt-up and fall 50%2) Skip the 'melt-up' part Luckily, we have this chart, so we'll know when we see how price reacts at the resistance line. Bullish until it's not… pic.twitter.com/pmyXEsXH6M — Northstar …
Mike Wilson sees setup repeating as sentiment peaks. The last time Extreme Greed was this extended was in March 2024.$SPX went up about 1% more before spending the next 15 or so trading days dropping 6%. Proved to be a …
Boom turns bust as reckless call buying backfires. "Instead of using #options as part of a larger strategy to protect #portfolios from losses, individuals are mostly #speculating…with reckless buying organized on social media acted like a force-multiplier. Because options #market …
Euphoria blinds investors to correction risk. I’m fine selling it 10% too early than 50% too late. Zero people are preparing for a Market Correction right now Euphoria of 'we can't lose' is kicking in hard Extreme Fear: That's about …
Japan is the (potential) black swan no one sees coming, which could derail the current (massive) U.S. stock market mega bubble. #carrytradeunwind #fireinacrowdedtheatre https://t.co/vvBZJSFdyR — Gordon Johnson (@GordonJohnson19) July 16, 2025 Japan's next 10-year government bond (JGB) auction is scheduled …
Understanding cycles lets you rotate before the herd… Why is Macro important? Because you will beat the market by 700% If you understand Business Cycles – and allocate your Funds so that you are invested in Risk Assets when Business …
Tom Lee, Fundstrat head of research and CIO, joins CNBC’s ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss outlooks on Nvidia, whether there may be catalysts to the upside, and much more.
Interactive Brokers chief strategist Steve Sosnick joins CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street” team to discuss the latest tariff news, Nvidia reaching a $4 trillion market cap and more.
Nvidia has officially become the first publicly traded company to reach a $4 trillion market capitalization. The milestone was crossed on July 9 after shares rose 2.5% to close above $164. The company now sits ahead of Microsoft and Apple, …
Job openings are falling. Unemployment is flat.We’ve seen this movie before. The 2020–2025 labor market setup is starting to rhyme with 2007, when JOLTS rolled over quietly, and the unemployment rate held steady… until it didn’t. Not a perfect correlation …
Eric Basmajian, economist and founder of EPB Research, breaks down the hidden cracks in the U.S. labor market, the return of tariffs, wage stagnation, and the Fed’s precarious monetary stance amid growing recession risks.
Investors channel 2021’s reckless mania again… WSJ article over the weekend saying that profitless junk stocks have been fueling this entire rally since April:https://t.co/SdspyMwcve"Shares of unprofitable companies have outperformed since early April, and investors are now speculating like it’s 2021" …
Fed faced same risks in ‘99 as today… June 1999. The Fed is concerned about: -Rampant equity speculation and its impact on wealth (SPX PE 24x, today 23x)-Too tight labor markets (UR 4.3%, today 4.1%)-Too high wage growth (ECI 3.5%, …
When stock markets move in the same direction, price action is confirming a larger trend – yet as markets in Europe are instead diverging, we know a larger topping trend may well be at hand. EWI’s Brian Whitmer shows you …
It looks like tough times could be on the horizon. ADP just posted its first negative print since March 2023: private payrolls dropped 33,000 in June. The labor market is contracting. pic.twitter.com/0YlIHDNwSz — Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS® (@kurtsaltrichter) July 6, …
Many homebuyers, investors, and realtors are now wondering – will these Fed Rate Cuts stimulate the housing market? And cause more homebuyers to come back to the market? In this video, Reventure Consulting analyzes the data on home price affordability …
It’s raising serious questions about whether today’s booming market is real, or if we’re heading for a shocking crash. This could be the biggest warning sign yet that something is deeply wrong. This chart looks like Madoff’s funds returns https://t.co/w6wr9a5HUR …
S&P 500 market breadth is near the worst levels it's ever been byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts
6.5M sidelined want work participation rate keeps falling… 1. Sector BreakdownJune job gains were led by gov’t, healthcare, and hospitality—low-wage, service-heavy sectors. Meanwhile, business services, manufacturing, and tech were flat or shrinking. This isn’t strength—it’s a shift toward unproductive labor. …
Just need to fall 40% pic.twitter.com/L1nTzY4c4G — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) July 3, 2025 U.S. Housing Market has reached its most unaffordable level in history 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/KqBbG5Dpmw — Barchart (@Barchart) July 3, 2025 The market just dropped hard and anyone rushing …
What’s going on here? These stocks should be rising as the boomers age. I blame RFK’s interference along with the BBB changes in Medicaid as the culprits. Whatever it is one of the “safest” parts of the market is completely …
The U.S. economy is showing signs of strain that official headlines aren’t capturing. Despite stock market gains, underlying indicators suggest a slowdown. Labor market indicators are weakening. Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 28, 2025, were 227,980, a …
