Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The old advice is simple but still being ignored at scale: use a password manager and turn on 2FA everywhere it matters. The reality is most breaches still start with reused passwords or stolen credentials, not “elite hacking.” Password managers remove the human failure point by generating and storing unique credentials per site, which kills …
Fund managers are holding the lowest cash levels on record (3.2%) byu/neda6117 inwallstreetbets US stock market concentration is at record levels: The S&P 500 Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is up to 195 points, near the highest on record. This metric measures how evenly market value is distributed across all 500 stocks in the index. A higher …
Global institutional investors have never held so little cash: Cash allocation by fund managers is down to just 3.2%, the lowest since data began in the 1990s. This marks a -1.6 percentage point decline since April, one of the fastest drops since the survey started. Cash… pic.twitter.com/4hoUh1JNNa — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) January 22, 2026 …
Appetite for risk is incredibly strong: Options trading volumes in loss-making Russell 2000 stocks have risen to ~6 million contracts per day, an all-time high. Volumes have more than doubled since April and surpassed the previous record set during the 2021 meme-stock mania. By comparison, options activity in profitable stocks is only 33% as large. …
GOLDMAN SACHS CEO DAVID SOLOMON WARNS STOCK MARKET DRAWDOWN SIMILAR TO DOT-COM BUBBLE COMING WITHIN 12–24 MONTHS — The Rock Trading Group (@The_RockTrading) October 4, 2025 Every single one of them should be fired. 39% of fund managers have a 0% allocation to gold, per Bank of America, $BAC. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 4, 2025 …
Gold is making new highs, measured, in this case, against the US dollar, which is making headlines. The chart below, however, is far more interesting. The asset management industry runs on two asset classes only: stocks and bonds. Sure, asset managers talk a lot about other asset classes or invest in ‘other’ asset classes that …
Google has eliminated more than one-third of its managers overseeing small teams, an executive told employees last week, as the company continues its focus on efficiencies across the organization. “Right now, we have 35% fewer managers, with fewer direct reports” than at this time a year ago, said Brian Welle, vice president of people analytics and …
Landlords and property managers getting nervous pic.twitter.com/UloHrBRDAo — GBR (@GayBearRes) August 14, 2025 Apartment vacancies are skyrocketing. Never forget who warned you first. https://t.co/yeL2Yf3I0P — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) August 14, 2025 Lumber prices are declining. A leading indicator for new home construction if this trend holds. Something to keep an eye on. pic.twitter.com/9UZAhK68UQ — AKM …
CTA and more specifically global macro funds did the heavy lifting so far, taking the reins after the biggest retail inflows ever. pic.twitter.com/DPEj91qljV — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) May 19, 2025 Retail squeezing Wall Street into buying. pic.twitter.com/BCrILye83w — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) May 20, 2025
Now only 1% of fund managers now calling for a recession down from 42% last month…one of the biggest geopolitical blunders of our time… pic.twitter.com/X2RHX4FU3q — Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay) (@SpecialSitsNews) May 14, 2025 We are approaching the point where people are going to be panic buying equities because they are afraid of …
Something has to give. People can only hold on for so long before they start to crumble. It’s a miracle we aren’t in a recession with people feeling this gloomy. Over 60% of Americans are very worried about losing their jobs. Highest since 2008. H/t @porterstansb pic.twitter.com/YMITs3w9Lt — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) March 20, 2025 Fund …
It’s the highest level of concern we’ve seen since the Dot Com Bubble. What does this mean? The U.S. economy is heading into dangerous territory. But it’s not just the stock market that’s in trouble. The U.S. government’s interest expense has gone off the charts, pushing past a staggering $1.1 trillion. And if current trends …
The market value of all gold stocks and physical gold held in ETFs & close end funds combined is probably less than 1% of the S&P. pic.twitter.com/qE910ZpQVY — Tonyforever (@Tonyforever2003) January 5, 2025 #GOLD forms a rising wedge pattern on the yearly chart. The 1980 and 2011 candles show sharp shadows, while the 2024 candles …
Middle managers are in a tough spot right now. They’ve been a target for layoffs as companies look to lean out their organizations, but that doesn’t look like it’s changing (in the short term). The reduction of middle managers has been a theme of the last 2 years so there are less decision makers between …
The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders (CoT) report shows a clear divide: asset managers have taken a long position, while hedge funds have gone short. This split highlights contrasting strategies and market outlooks. Asset managers, often focused on longer-term gains, may be betting on interest rates stabilizing or falling. Hedge funds, known for speculative moves, …
Asset managers have significantly increased their short positions on the Japanese Yen. The currency is at risk of sliding to levels last seen in 1986, with bearish traders seemingly unfazed by the possibility of government intervention to support Japan’s embattled currency. Some experts suggest that a slump as far as 170 yen per dollar (approximately …
Professional Investors are all-in stocks, US households are all-in stocks, Fund Managers are the most bullish in years. Insiders selling shares like crazy. Retail investors YOLO-ing NVIDIA stock. What could possibly go wrong? 👇https://t.co/CtDDeknZSF — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) June 23, 2024 U.S. households now have the highest stock allocation in history  pic.twitter.com/BsH4RwRFlG — …
US ESG funds had $8.8 billion of withdrawals in first quarter Global inflows were a modest $900 million, buoyed by Europe US fund managers suffered their worst-ever quarter for ESG-focused products as the pace of client redemptions intensified. Client withdrawals from US funds targeting environmental, social and governance goals reached $8.8 billion in the first three months …
Asset Managers are the most long U.S. Equity Futures in AT LEAST the last 12 years pic.twitter.com/1sDL4Mb3h4 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) May 1, 2024
Amid market uncertainty, retirement funds opt for safer bonds, while global managers increase commodities exposure to hedge against volatility. Amid market uncertainty, retirement funds opt for safer bonds, while global managers increase commodities exposure to hedge against volatility. Meanwhile, despite significant Federal Reserve rate hikes, US “super-core” inflation is surging, as per BofA analysis. Large …
With fund managers reaching their highest bullish sentiment since January 2022 and cash levels dropping close to the contrarian sell signal, coupled with the Financial Stability Board’s advice to hedge funds to increase liquidity for market shocks, there are indications of an impending market reversal. Fund Managers are the most bullish on stocks since January …
via Bloomberg: Fears of a systemic credit event are growing among fund managers as alarms sound in property markets around the world. About one in six of those polled considers such a crunch to be the biggest tail risk facing markets, compared to about one in 11 in December, according to Bank of America Corp.’s …
China state media removed a story that initially reported that Beijing plans to merge its largest state-owned bad debt asset managers with China Investment Corp, one of the world’s largest sovereign fund. The initial report was published Sunday by Xinhua Finance. It cited unidentified sources as saying the plan to bring China Cinda Asset Management, …
A sense of foreboding emerges as 91% of fund managers unite in the belief that interest rates are destined to fall. This unnervingly high consensus has historically preceded major market downturns, reminiscent of the Dotcom bear market in 2000-2001, the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, and the Covid panic in 2020. Adding to the apprehension, …
by nobjos Politicians beat the S&P, so there’s that…
via ssrn: Abstract In this paper, we study the relationship between stock fund managers’ facial attractiveness and fund outcomes. Utilizing the state-of-art deep learning technique to quantify facial attractiveness, we find that funds with facial unattractive managers outperform funds with attractive managers by over 2% per annum. We next show that good-looking managers attract significant …
by DesmondMilesDant Asset managers are holding more stocks than they have in more than ten years. (Previously) : Asset managers got hammered this year when bond yields went a lot higer than exp in a short amount of time. A 100bps+ jump vs 200+bps in 1987. We are currently witnessing the greatest Treasury bear market …
This fund manager is holding 60% cash — and expecting a stock-market crash Ruffer’s main claim to fame is to have successfully sidestepped the 2000-2003 and 2007-2009 market collapses Yikes. There’s bearish, there’s really bearish, and then there’s Ruffer & Co. I don’t want to spook everyone managing their own retirement portfolio. But the London-based …
Global stock markets peaked a month ago at the end of July. Then fell for the first three weeks of August. Today, Nasdaq breadth was strongest since the market top. September will be hell. pic.twitter.com/FST2UcLsci — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 30, 2023 The FDIC is literally using the same script as 2020… They're changing the reserve …
