Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The MEDIAN duration of unemployment is 10.5 weeks. It was Dec 2008 by the time this series hit such lofty levels, 1 full year after the recession had begun, which took @nberpubs a record 366 days to backdate By then, the recession was 12 months old. It didn’t end until Jun 2009 https://t.co/VolPahwwiQ — Danielle …
by Michael Why is demand at food banks all over the country higher than it has ever been before? The media keeps insisting that economic conditions are just fine, but it has become quite obvious to everyone that this is not true. In particular, the rising cost of living has been absolutely crushing households from coast to coast. In …
And they’re fixing to go even higher in California in 2025… Gasoline Taxes, Water and Sewer Rates, Natural Gas and Electricity Rates, and God knows what else… Ain’t Democratic Communism Great? pic.twitter.com/S88uc5bn75 — Scott Langhoff (@67868DV) December 16, 2024
#recession … #StockMarket Bubble edition https://t.co/p7cgcLzyrT pic.twitter.com/So5TXB58ic — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) December 11, 2024 Big cap Tech performance last 8 trading days $GOOGL 14%$AAPL 5.5% $MSFT 6% $META 10% $TSLA 18% $NFLX 6% — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 11, 2024 Bitcoin rippingGold rippingMost stocks ripping. Why? Because the Fed is a farce and not restrictive and …
After the election I said that we had never seen Momo Tech 3 std deviations above the 200 dma. Then it pulled back briefly and now has exploded higher again. Back to record overbought for the second time. A double Black Swan event in manic risk seeking. pic.twitter.com/HRYpf6WGAv — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 4, 2024 https://twitter.com/MichaelMOTTCM/status/1864453725890175343 …
Trump won and the global economy has "unexpectedly" gone into a tailspin https://t.co/W5lAAGM06Q pic.twitter.com/af02CAdEnx — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 4, 2024 US executives are selling stock at extreme levels: The ratio of insider sellers to buyers hit nearly 6x, the most in at least two decades. This is DOUBLE the average seen over the last 3 …
This market is close to breaking point. There is now so much leverage that futures-implied equity financing costs are at the same spread to SOFR as during the height of the GFC. And Japan is about to suck a couple hundred billion of levered balance sheet out of US money markets. And this is not …
Canadian Mother Was Told To Be More “Inclusive” After Complaining About A Male Wearing A “Child’s Bikini” in pool shower Canada has fallen. The mother of a young girl in British Columbia, Canada, is speaking out after a man in a pink, sparkly bikini — adorned with sparkles, frills and princess tiaras — was …
Several critical financial measures continue to drop, reaching rather obscene comparisons. At first, that doesn’t seem to make any sense; how would today be seen as similar to February 2009, for example. However difficult the economy is now, it certainly isn’t that bad. What these measures are indicating go beyond specific moments, instead providing clues …
#recession … #StockMarket Bubble edition https://t.co/vl8Sc7lSwq — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 #recession … #GFC2 US edition https://t.co/5LZ6pkEmk0 — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 There is also a divergence between the SP500 and the HY Bond A-D Line. Read more about this topic from 2022 at https://t.co/x35ebJJ6Od. https://t.co/qmvpv2h4eH pic.twitter.com/EOTvWebFAU — Tom McClellan (@McClellanOsc) …
by confoundedinterest17 Its a slow down in the housing market. Existing Home Sales were expected to rebound modestly in October (+2.9% MoM) after dropping for 6 of the last 7 months to the lowest levels since 2010, and they did. Sales rose 3.4% MoM (a beat) but thanks to a downward revision for September from -1.0% …
Anyone who thinks this continues until the end of the year is smoking crack and/or your typical investment advisor. pic.twitter.com/QLqcgJr0tD — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) November 20, 2024 Flight to safety intensifies. https://t.co/VKUtt0tWsh pic.twitter.com/Yp57HNCMQg — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 20, 2024 U.S. momentum peaks; billionaires and banks hoard cash. Bubble burst incoming. 🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨 THE U.S …
Commodities are not feeling very inflationary right now. https://t.co/cS1Yveed7h pic.twitter.com/LbdPayQmSx — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) November 11, 2024 I'm keeping a close eye on 5 year and 10 year breakeven inflation. We saw a similar breakout in 2008 when inflation expectations were the complete opposite of the real economy. https://t.co/8T6u9d8NV4 pic.twitter.com/7RTwh6ApRm — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) November 10, 2024 …
“Credit card debt is exploding way beyond 2008 and 2020 levels. If history’s taught us anything, it’s that this kind of spike usually screams incoming economic crash. Time will tell.” Credit card debt is exploding way beyond 2008 and 2020 levels. If history’s taught us anything, it’s that this kind of spike usually screams incoming …
By Matthew Piepenburg VON GREYERZ Partner, Matthew Piepenburg, joins Jesse Day of Commodity Culture, rolling up his sleeves in a candid conversation on the myriad financial, geopolitical and social forces shaping the current and future global landscape. As always, the foundation of this openly distorted setting is historically unprecedented (and unsustainable) debt levels. The ripple …
“For the first time since the 2020 pandemic buying a home has become more affordable: US homebuyers now need to earn $115,454 annually to afford the median-priced home with a 15% down payment. This is down 1.4% year-over-year, marking the first annual decrease since June 2020, when mortgage rates were below 3%. The drop came …
Nvidia stock (NVDA) rose more than 2% on Wednesday after an industry report projected “unprecedented” levels of investments in artificial intelligence, a bullish sign for the AI chipmaker. Consulting firm Bain’s annual technology report published on Wednesday projects that companies will need to make “unprecedented levels of investment” in technology infrastructure to stay on top …
‼️S&P 500 IS AS EXPENSIVE AS DURING THE DOT-COM BUBBLE‼️ 90% of the market sectors have their P/E ratios in the top 25% historically. This is in line with levels seen during the Dot-Com Bubble and before the 2022 bear market. Long-term expected returns are not promising now. pic.twitter.com/8ECIeiuVR4 — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September …
4/ The financial pressure on consumers is evident in the increasing number of defaults Consumer defaults is now climbing at the fastest pace since 2007 While still below 2007 peaks, if current trends persist, we could hit 2008 levels H1 2025 pic.twitter.com/K1j77j1n8L — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) September 24, 2024 ShopperTrak same-store retail traffic is a …
You’ve likely heard that high cholesterol is bad for your health, however cholesterol is found in nearly every cell of your body and is vital for optimal functioning. If you have too little, your risk of health problems increases, including all-cause mortality. Research published in Frontiers in Endocrinology found a revealing link between low total …
NEW YORK — In a year marked by financial worries and political tension, a new survey has uncovered the staggering impact of stress on everyday Americans. The average person feels their head “spinning” from stress a whopping 156 times per year, translating to about three times a week. This alarming statistic is just one of …
Layoffs continue to grow in the tech industry Tech companies continued to cut jobs at a rapid pace in August 2024. More than 27,000 workers in the industry lost their jobs as over 40 companies, including big names like Intel, IBM, and Cisco, as well as numerous smaller startups, announced layoffs. To date, more than …
$GS Goldman to layoff almost 5% of its workforce, the people said. That would affect between up to 1,800 New Yorkers 🫡 https://t.co/KOkQC7YjXy — The Punisher (of Wall ST) (@GregCrennan) August 30, 2024 "We have officially abolished all recessions except in China where easing didn't work for some reason" pic.twitter.com/n7BvtaMvNc — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 30, …
A chemical used in rocket fuel, fireworks, and airbags has been detected in various supermarket and fast food items, according to a recent study. But how worried should you be? Researchers with Consumer Reports tested 196 food samples and discovered that about 67% contained varying levels of the chemical perchlorate. The findings, published on August …
TL;DR: Derivatives Danger: Four major U.S. banks hold 87% of all derivatives, totaling $168.26 trillion. Dodd-Frank Failure: The 2010 law failed to prevent the return of risky derivatives practices. Leverage and Off-Balance Sheet Debt: Megabanks have excessive leverage and hide debt off their balance sheets. Financial Crisis Repeat: The current situation resembles the 2008 crisis, with risks like those …
Chapter 11 bankruptcy filings have seen an upward trend. In the twelve-month period ending June 30, 2024, personal and business bankruptcy filings in the United States rose 16.2 percent compared to the previous year. Annual bankruptcy filings totaled 486,613, up from 418,724 cases in the prior year. Business filings surged by 40.3 percent, reaching 22,060, while non-business filings increased by 15.3 percent to 464,553. BREAKING: The number of …
