Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Been saying this for several months now. The Fed didn't finish the job. They got spooked in late October (along with Treasury) about the rise in yields and term premiums and thus orchestrated a significant loosening of financial conditions to help the US govt finance its… https://t.co/5lMScZGtDD — Craig Shapiro (@ces921) March 13, 2024 The …
Former President Trump is pulling more support than President Biden in at least seven swing states that are likely going to determine the election, a survey released this week found. The Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll found Biden trailing Trump in several critical states — Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada and Wisconsin — when voters were …
via Simon Watkins The ability of either the U.S. or China – or even both working together – to contain Iran’s response to the attacks on its military proxies may have disappeared with the latest U.S. attacks on them. The U.S.’s toleration of increased oil flows from Iran to China also meant that Beijing was …
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
In a significant trend, central banks worldwide acquired 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2023, marking the second-highest amount in data going back to 1950. Notably, China’s central bank, the People’s Bank of China, led the way with net purchases totaling 225 tonnes, the highest since 1977. The flight of gold from the West to the …
📊 2024 South Carolina GOP Primary • Trump — 66% (+35)• Haley — 31% • Commissioned by pro-Trump PAC• @TonyFabrizioGOP | 600 LV | 1/28-29https://t.co/6KZgxRDvjD pic.twitter.com/RRbS3Ocn15 — InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) January 30, 2024 The poll, first published by the Messenger on Tuesday, shows Trump garnering 66 percent of support among likely South Carolina Republican primary voters. …
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Donald Trump leads Democratic President Joe Biden by six percentage points in a Reuters/Ipsos poll that showed Americans are unhappy about an election rematch that came into sharper focus this week. The nationwide poll of 1,250 U.S. adults showed Trump leading Biden 40% to 34% with the rest unsure or planning to vote for …
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2024/president/us/general-election-trump-vs-biden-7383.html
Linda Sarsour is leading an Anti-Israel insurrection in the Capital pic.twitter.com/UldOsFgNSw — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) December 19, 2023 BREAKING: Linda Sarsour and another 80 people are now occupying the Capitol in Washington D.C. pic.twitter.com/r0Lq5bl9SV — Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) December 19, 2023
The urgent need to expose the corruption within the Biden family is undeniable; it’s a cover-up we all acknowledge. A call echoes for more Republicans to exhibit the same level of outrage and tenacity as demonstrated by Byron Donalds. The revelation of Hunter Biden receiving a staggering $4.9 million from Hollywood lawyer Kevin Morris over …
by confoundedinterest17 The US housing market is goin’ down! While the Case-Shiller National home price index is rising again, it has been slowing since March 2022. This is happening as “the honey pot” (aka, M2 Money printing) growth is now negative. While real hourly compensation growth is slightly, the average rate of growth since April …
“Former President Trump leads President Biden by 2 points in a hypothetical 2024 general election match-up and is improving his standing among young voters, according to a poll released Friday. The Emerson College poll showed Trump ahead with 47 percent support to Biden’s 45 percent, with 8 percent undecided. That’s up 2 points for Trump …
Arkansas is the first state in the United States that is taking a strong stance against ‘hostile foreign entities,’ particularly China, by banning them from owning agricultural land in the state. During a press conference on Tuesday, Gov. Sarah Sanders (R-AR) announced that the state has ordered the Chinese state-owned Agri Chemical Company, Syngenta, to …
https://twitter.com/MeanLILMeoW/status/1709067129314816086 h/t Flying Elvii
by confoundedinterest17 Thanks to rampant Federal spending and overstimulus by The Federal Reserve, US housing prices are simply unaffordable for many. Particularly since the Covid epidemic (Wuhan China Flu). The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported 1.0% annual change in July, up from a 0% change in …
by confoundedinterest17 Non-scientist, 100% politician John Kerry, Biden’s special climiate enjoy, jets around the world lecturing everyone on global warming. Sort of like Leonardo Di Caprio, but uglier. But the same false science in order to control the people. Kerry praised China for its progress in fighting climate change (which changes with the seasons and …
When asked to name the United States president who has done the best job over the past 40 years, a majority of Democrats name Barack Obama. Republicans, by contrast, are divided between a president who served in the 1980s – Ronald Reagan – and one who is currently running to return to office, Donald Trump. …
From Peter Reagan at Birch Gold Group We’ve spent some time discussing the “magic number,” the amount of savings required for a comfortable retirement. Inflation moves the goalpost – and if your retirement planning doesn’t take rising costs into account, you may be in for a shock. According to the annual Charles Schwab survey of Americans with a …
The new variant, dubbed BA.X, has allegedly been recorded in two countries so far. A new Covid variant has caused scientists to demand that Britons start wearing face masks again. Scientists have suggested that the UK may have to reintroduce lockdown rules, after a new variant has been recorded in multiple countries. The new variant, …
SAN ANTONIO (Gray News) – What started as a single flea bite has now left a Texas man without hands or toes. Michael Kohlhof, 35, believed he had flu-like symptoms until his feet went numb. According to a GoFundMe post from Kohlhof’s family, he went to the emergency room on June 19 and was admitted …
An inverted yield curve systematically leads to a higher unemployment This time is not different pic.twitter.com/nynrlZ2eAZ — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 20, 2023 Charts picturing the blow through of pandemic consumer savings are a fun way to view data But this headline is more fun: pic.twitter.com/egOvK5W5Db — Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) July 20, 2023
Philly Fed manufacturing index below -25 has a 100% hit rate in leading to recessions since the 1970s We’ve already hit levels as deep as -31.3 this cycle pic.twitter.com/b0oZkiqicM — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 20, 2023 BREAKING: Philly Fed Manufacturing Index comes in below expectations Expected = -10.1 Actual = -13.5 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) …
Stupid is as stupid does… TIK TOK. KILLING PEOPLE SINCE 2016 https://twitter.com/_/status/1678132176876105735 A dangerous TikTok challenge has gone viral as summer heats up in the Northern Hemisphere. The trend involves people jumping off the rear of a moving boat. Tragically, this viral challenge has already claimed the lives of four individuals in Alabama. “The four …
Something very strange is happening. Used car supply is at historic lows, yet we *just* experienced the largest monthly decline in used car prices on record. But that doesn’t make sense — If supply is so low, prices should stay high… right? Wrong. It seems like between the… — Car Dealership Guy (@GuyDealership) July 10, …
PANAMA CITY BEACH, Florida − Three more tourists died after swimming in the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend under dangerous surf conditions. The deaths occurred Saturday off of Panama City Beach, according to a release, which said police responded to “three separate fatal water incidents behind three different resorts.” The city lists them as …
“Car prices are about to drop, an oversupply of vehicles will lead to manufacturers slashing prices. There are too many cars and not enough buyers. UBS reports that the production of cars is outpacing sales by 6%, this leaves about 5 million cars just sitting around, unsold. To sell these cars, manufacturers might have to …
by confoundedinterest17 The Artificial intelligence (AI) boom is resulting in Nvidia’s stock soaring to 429.9. At the same time, Bitcoin (yellow), the US Dollar (blue) and Gold (gold) are declining. Of course, markets are dynamic and gold/silver are likely to start up again along with bitcoin and other cryptos.. The leading crypto today? Dogecoin! AI …
CBS News Poll: Trump Posts Biggest Lead Yet Over DeSantis Trump — 61% (+38)DeSantis — 23%T. Scott — 4%Pence — 4%Haley — 3%Ramaswamy — 1%Hutchinson — 1%Burgum — 1%Elder — 1%Christie — 1% CBS Poll (B+) | 06/07-10 | n=586https://t.co/V076JVS4Iw pic.twitter.com/pQjIqvYCV4 — InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 11, 2023 So much winning! pic.twitter.com/O44NYym6wR — MAGS (@TAftermath2020) June …
