Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
still running on Biden,Pelosi, Schumer,McCarthy, McConell budget. So thanks for pointing out the status quo of spending by the uniparty leadership of last 40 years is a failure. — donksuem (@donksuem) December 3, 2025 I’m just going to leave this here. Trump’s first budget began on October 1st. The receipts are in: * October ’25 …
Note: “Weak consumer spending” refers to store expectations before the season started. Consumer spending ended up being high which is why Black Friday set a new record No paywall: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/seasonal-hiring-offers-little-reprieve-for-labor-market-woes-110044972.html Plenty of Americans are expected to pour into stores and fill online carts this holiday shopping season. Fewer may be able to pick up seasonal work …
The system is quietly trapping everyone while pretending nothing’s wrong. According to the BLM's most recent numbers, private employers are reporting 13,500 job cuts a WEEK. These are PRIVATE EMPLOYERS. NOT GOVERNMENT JOBS. The BLM reports we are seeing the worst job numbers since 2008. If you can HONESTLY justify that, you're a lot of …
Kīlauea began the 37th episode in its series of eruptions this afternoon with bursts of lava reaching hundreds of feet out of the volcano’s north vent. The volcanic activity at the Halemaʻumaʻu crater resumed at 2:30 p.m. and the lava fountain heights are increasing rapidly. h/t b4its2l8
Gavin Newsom too— last month he said that National Guard troops in cities were "right out of the dictator's handbook." Today, two national Guard troops from West Virginia were killed in DC. pic.twitter.com/1wtgFVuvw7 — Steve Guest (@SteveGuest) November 26, 2025 😡 CNN guest just a few weeks ago compared the National Guard to nazis These …
Tether bought more gold last quarter than every central bank byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts Singapore, November 25, 2025 – Tether, the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin, USDT, has sent ripples through both the cryptocurrency and traditional financial markets with its aggressive gold acquisition strategy in Q3 2025. The company announced a substantial accumulation of approximately 26 …
Amazon joins Big Tech bond rush with $12bn debt sale Ecommerce group’s first US bond in three years comes as it cranks up spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure Amazon is seeking to raise $12bn in its first US bond sale in three years, becoming the latest big tech group to turn to debt markets to …
by Michael During the days of the Great Recession, rapidly falling home prices caused all sorts of havoc for our major financial institutions. Unfortunately, home prices are starting to plummet once again in many areas of the country. And just like during the last housing crash, we are also seeing a surge in foreclosure filings. That …
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent struck the final five pennies on Wednesday — each bearing a rare omega mark — ending U.S. penny production and creating collectors’ items that could fetch millions at auction. The penny, first authorized under the Coinage Act of 1792, was recently discontinued due to rising production costs over the last decade. …
The last time this happened was in February 2020, before the COVID crash. pic.twitter.com/yCQ5wo4LNe — Subu Trade (@SubuTrade) November 13, 2025 It’s over. Your kids will never retire. pic.twitter.com/yoI8QiZJgy — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) November 13, 2025
The House will vote on reopening the federal government Wednesday after lawmakers’ funding bill survived a key hurdle earlier in the morning. The bipartisan deal to end the 42-day government shutdown advanced through the House Rules Committee overnight, with all Republicans supporting the measure and all Democrats against. It now moves to the full House …
They’re not informing you, they’re programming you to react. 1. Left Outrage: “Elon Musk Gets a $1 Trillion Payday” Claim:“Elon just got a $1T compensation package at Tesla.” What’s missing:The package is performance-based.It only vests if Tesla hits revenue, EBITDA and market cap milestones.The top tier requires a valuation near ~$8.5T, far beyond today. Reality:If …
US Rents were down 0.9% over the last year, the 29th consecutive month with a YoY decline. Renting a home is cheaper than paying a mortgage in all 50 of the largest metros in the US. byu/Boo_Randy_II inHouseBuyers
by Michael It is starting to look a lot like the Great Recession again. I thought that the pace of layoffs in 2024 was bad, but it has just exploded here in 2025. Vast numbers of good paying jobs are being ruthlessly eliminated, and competition for any decent jobs that are still available has become …
Now that the elections are over Trump realizes he needs to get a shutdown deal done ASAP. It’s pressuring the market and hurting the economy. This is why futures are off the lows. https://t.co/1tUyPOVrUZ — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 5, 2025 Trump at his breakfast with Senate Republicans in the White House State Dining Room: …
All the signs are point that way. The fed is lowering interest even though we are still sitting at 3% inflation, there’s a massive AI bubble, the auto line bubble, people are financing groceries, job growth isn’t looking exactly great, trade is suffering because of the mind meltingly bad tariff policies, tourism is tanking, should …
WARNING 🚨 BANKS BORROW $50 BILLION IN EMERGENCY LIQUIDITY FROM FED REPO WINDOW TODAY ‼️ 🚩 $20 BILLION THIS MORNING AND $30 BILLION MORE IN THE AFTERNOON ⚠️ CRISIS INCOMING 🚩 https://t.co/lLWvoC191y pic.twitter.com/ekoTvK6ewz — The Butcher of Wall Street Marcel Kalinovic (@BossBlunts1) October 31, 2025 🚨BREAKING: FED PUMPS $29.4 BILLION INTO MARKETS OVERNIGHT! The Fed …
🚨 $20.35 BILLION Borrowed from the Federal Reserve Lender of Last Resort this morning! This is an All Time High since the $GME Sneeze! BOJ is helping out today with ~$1B too. pic.twitter.com/uILF9TbkNM — WhatCanIMakeToday (@WhatCanIMT) October 31, 2025 US BANK RESERVES FALL TO $2.8 TLN, LOWEST SINCE 2020 Liquitity is draining from the system …
It’s happening quietly. You have to watch the numbers more than the headlines. The liquidity that once made the system feel invincible is slipping away. The US banking system’s reserves, a key factor in the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep unwinding its balance sheet, tumbled for the third straight week dropping to the lowest level …
Normally, SOFR rates should be below the Lender of Last Resort borrowing rate (i.e., the Primary Credit Discount Rate which should be a last resort rate for borrowers); and nobody wants to be seen as a scrub going to the Fed Discount Window. If SOFR stays above this for a while, that can be a …
BREAKING: Bank reserves at the Fed dropped -$59 billion last week to $2.93 trillion, the 2nd-lowest since January 2023. This nearly matches the 2023 low of $2.93 trillion, just before the regional banking crisis. Reserves are now on track for their 3rd consecutive monthly… pic.twitter.com/oVF2Ug8Xij — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 25, 2025 My best …
Wall Street’s most powerful bank is walking a tightrope between innovation and instability.By the end of 2025, JPMorgan plans to let institutional clients use Bitcoin and Ethereum as collateral for loans—a radical integration of crypto assets into the traditional credit system that comes at a moment when the financial foundation beneath that system is starting …
The government could be shut down until Thanksgiving. Millions of federal workers aren’t getting paid. 2,000,000 directly affected. 4,000,000 to 5,000,000 more indirectly, including contractors and suppliers. Every day this continues, the economy loses $5 billion to $7 billion. That money just stops moving. Families can’t pay bills, small businesses can’t get contracts fulfilled, restaurants …
https://twitter.com/rev_cap/status/1980083491665543298 I’m saying this all honesty, but if the market doesn’t grind and hold any move higher tomorrow with all the stuff Trump is saying, it’s pretty telling of how much fuel this rally has left. Make sure you’re paying attention to the price action — j (@jtsla4) October 20, 2025 TRUMP SAYS “WE CAN …
🚨 ALERT 🚨 The Crypto Market JUST LOST $190 BILLION in the LAST 7 HOURS as PRICES continue to PLUMMET! 📉 $917M in LONGS LIQUIDATED in just ONE DAY! 💥#CryptoCrash #Bitcoin #Ethereum #MarketBloodbath #CryptoNews #CryptoMarket pic.twitter.com/7qyMxDzKH5 — Crypto News Hunters 🎯 (@CryptoNewsHntrs) October 17, 2025 🔴#BITCOIN JUST DROPPED BELOW $104,000! pic.twitter.com/A0xwrqZB83 — Daddy ZeeJay🥃 (@daddyzeejay) …
We are now into week three of the #governmentshutdown with no end in sight. The #WhiteHouse has already fired more than 4,000 federal workers since the shutdown began. https://abc7.com/post/democrats-say-intimidated-trumps-threats-shutdown-enters-third-week/18013375/ President Trump’s administration for now must stop firing workers during the government shutdown, a federal judge in San Francisco ordered on Wednesday. U.S. District Judge Susan …
It’s astonishing that the public believes a Japanese man in a basement created an algorithm that was accepted and listed for mass speculation. The elite devised a covert method to transfer substantial amounts of money unscrupulously, tainted amongst the chaos.. Consequently, the SEC was compelled to remain silent. S.A.T.O.S.H.I: Secure Autonomous Transaction-Oriented System Hyperledger Innovation. …
Students and parents staged a walkout at a high school in Oregon last week to protest a state policy that allows boys to be in the girls’ locker room and restrooms, according to a report. https://t.co/ALsPDAT3f2 — NEWSMAX (@NEWSMAX) October 14, 2025 Oregon students staged a walk-out protest on Wednesday over a staff member who …
BREAKING: 4,000 federal workers were just laid off. pic.twitter.com/6I7VE2XlQV — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) October 13, 2025 The Office of Management and Budget confirmed that more than 4,000 federal employees received Reduction in Force (RIF) notices beginning Friday, October 11, 2025. These layoffs are not furloughs. They are terminations. Unlike previous shutdowns where workers were temporarily …
HYG and JNK have been weak for the last 2 weeks. There is stress in credit and financials have been weak. — Will O'Hara, CMT (@WillOHara131) October 11, 2025 Foreigners have not even started dumping UST. Japan has not even started raising rate to lower 12% inflation. You have seen nothing yet folks. This is …