Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by Virtual_Crow So a few months back, this was causing bond yields to rise high enough that the market started a downtrend again from the summer until October. Too many bonds being sold. Then the Treasury did Yellen’s Yolo, selling more bills instead of bonds, driving yields down. This contributed greatly to the November rally …
by ChampionshipUsed9855 Salesforce is a great company, but their stock price isn’t anything to get excited about. Insiders have been selling and the trend looks like it will continue. I wouldn’t recommend buying this stock right now. Here is monthly breakdown for last 18 months Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do …
Pride Month/Canada/Date (2023) Thu, 1 Jun 2023 – Fri, 30 Jun 2023 Turned into …. ‘June to September is Pride Season in Canada, a time to celebrate 2SLGBTQI+ people (that is, people who are Two-Spirit, lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer, or intersex, or who use other terms related to sexual or gender diversity) and honour …
by confoundedinterest17 Thanks to rampant Federal spending and overstimulus by The Federal Reserve, US housing prices are simply unaffordable for many. Particularly since the Covid epidemic (Wuhan China Flu). The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported 1.0% annual change in July, up from a 0% change in …
The impact of spiking interest rates after more than 10 years of 0% is hitting. More here: Onset of the Economic Avalanche Becomes Clear Recession Warning: Employers Slash Staff at Record Pace Since 2009 The global business landscape is under strain, with the UK signaling a potential worldwide recession. A new survey reveals the …
Why is this not getting more attention? h/t WarrenBuffetsIntern
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g20/current/g20.pdf In June 2023, the total outstanding amount owed was approximately $1,850.9 billion dollars–up 14.7% from May! In the first quarter, the interest rate for new car loans was 6.4% with a maturity of 66 months financing $39,066. For used cars, 15.7% with 66 months financing at $23,537. Wut Mean?: Folks and businesses are …
by confoundedinterest17 The US housing market is truly bizarro world! San Francisco and Seattle are down near 10% year-over-year (YoY) while Chicago and Cleveland lead in price gains. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported 0.0% annual change in June, up from a loss of …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0000SA0R#0 Zooming in: CPI tracks the loss of the purchasing power of your dollars, and thereby the purchasing power of your hard earned labor: July 2022 purchasing power of $100 in January 2000: 57.1 (down -3.33% in purchasing power in the last year!) July 2021 purchasing power of $100 in January 2000: …
View post on imgur.com Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump The price of BACON has TRIPLED since June. Bidenomics! Bidenomics is just another way of saying restoring the American Dream. Forty years of trickle-down economics limited that dream to the very top. We’re turning it around. — Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) August 6, 2023
by confoundedinterest17 The Federal Reserve is watching July’s jobs report carefully. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the US economy added 187k jobs in July, less than the expected 200k. US average hourly earnings continued at 4.4% year-over-year (YoY). However, the last core inflation reading was 4.8% YoY, so real wages continue to decline. Rent …
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/personal-income-and-outlays-june-2023 Wut mean?: In June, people earned $69.5 billion more, which is a 0.3% monthly rise–more money earned more money to spend, adding to inflation… Prices of things people bought (PCE price index) went up slightly by 0.2%. Even if we leave out the usually volatile food and energy prices (like the Fed does …
by confoundedinterest17 Wasting away again with Bidenomics. US existing home sales crashed by -19% in June, the 23rd consecutive month of declines. At least the median price of existing home sales is decreasing as Fed stimultypto vanishes. Just like inventory for sale has vanished. The face of Bidenomics, code for Federal government reckless green spending. …
Americans are having a much harder time accessing credit. The rejection rate for loan applicants jumped to 21.8% in the 12 months through June, the highest level in 5 years: Fed data. The rejection rate for auto loans exceeded the application rate. https://t.co/Ag5BnmDKlP pic.twitter.com/w6iSrPAqoj — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) July 17, 2023 https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce/credit-access#/ Wut mean? …
In the same year the US is on track for ~$1 trillion in interest expense, tax receipts hit a 3Y low. Meanwhile, spending is rising at one of the fastest paces in history. In 10 years, the US will have $50 trillion of debt. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for more as this develops. — The Kobeissi …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Remember, CPI tracks the loss of the purchasing power of your dollars, & thereby the purchasing power of your hard earned labor. Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0000SA0R#0 Let’s zoom in on this since 2020: CPI tracks the loss of the purchasing power of your dollars, and thereby the purchasing power of your hard earned labor: June …
by confoundedinterest17 After yesterday’s surprise ADP jobs report, I was expecting a better June jobs report. But alas, today’s job report was a disappointment. Only 209k jobs were added in June. On the other hand, average hourly earnings YoY rose slightly to 4.4%. Too bad core inflation at the last reading was 5.3% YoY. Here is …
by confoundedinterest17 The good news (if true)? ADP announced that 497k jobs were added in June. The bad news? A 497k print on jobs (many seasonal, it is summer!) almost guarantees that The FOMC (Fed Open Market Committe) will raises rates again at at the July meeting. The 2-year Treasury yield is up over 10 …
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.sec.gov/litigation/admin/2023/34-97632.pdf Source: https://www.sec.gov/litigation/admin/2023/34-97632.pdf In the Order, the Commission found that BBPLC failed to put into place any internal control around the real-time tracking of securities being offered or sold off of its Commission-registered shelf registration statements. As a result of this failure, between June 26, 2019 and March 9, 2022, BBPLC offered and sold an …
by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME I’m sick of this shit If the goal is 2% inflation and we are at 5% per the imaginary numbers they report you don’t just skip a rate hike Especially when true inflation is 20%+ Just look at the price increase of a Big Mac pre-pandemic and today I trust that more as …