Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by confoundedinterest17 Mortgage demand is beginning to look a lot like Christmas. That is, mortgage demand will be listless in December (like the infamous Lake Erie snow effect), but leap upwards in January 202. Mortgage applications decreased 1.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications …
Germany will require all men to register for potential military service from 1 January 2026, with compulsory service to be reintroduced if volunteer numbers fall short of targets set to meet NATO commitments. “Modern military service is coming,” said Jens Spahn, Chairman of the ruling CDU/CSU parliamentary group, in a press statement. “We will have …
The Final Countdown: 417 Days Until Financial Freedom Is Systematically Dismantled. On January 1, 2027, the European Union enacts its financial endgame. The new AML Regulation imposes a €10,000 cash payment limit and annihilates anonymous cryptocurrency accounts. This is the… pic.twitter.com/CgQp8BIpoa — Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) November 10, 2025 This is not about safety. …
BREAKING: Bank reserves at the Fed dropped -$59 billion last week to $2.93 trillion, the 2nd-lowest since January 2023. This nearly matches the 2023 low of $2.93 trillion, just before the regional banking crisis. Reserves are now on track for their 3rd consecutive monthly… pic.twitter.com/oVF2Ug8Xij — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 25, 2025 My best …
by Michael An absolutely gigantic space rock that has a mass larger than 33 billion tons will be making its closest approach to Earth on December 19th. We are being told that this gigantic space rock does not pose a threat, but all of a sudden a “special training exercise” that is exclusively focused on …
President Trump will continue making peace deals, ending wars, and saving lives. He has the heart of a humanitarian, and there will never be anyone like him who can move mountains with the sheer force of his will. The Nobel Committee proved they place politics over peace. https://t.co/dwCEWjE0GE — Steven Cheung (@StevenCheung47) October 10, 2025 …
A Popular Market Misconception “Not a bubble if everyone knows it’s a bubble.” In early January 2000, during the dot-com bubble, everyone called it a bubble before it burst in March 2000. Hope this helps. — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 7, 2025 "Why buy stocks when we’re in a bubble?" Because I only want …
https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/10/supreme-court-declines-to-take-action-on-trumps-request-to-fire-fed-governor-for-now/ The Supreme Court on Wednesday announced that it will hear oral arguments in January on a request from the Trump administration to allow the president to fire Lisa Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. In a brief, unsigned order, the justices delayed their decision on the administration’s plea to pause a ruling by …
Chinese Stock Market closes at highest level since January 2022 📈 pic.twitter.com/2stRIJEMmx — Barchart (@Barchart) October 1, 2025
They were already inside. Hundreds of FBI agents moved through the January 6 crowd. They mingled with protesters, watched from behind barricades and even entered the Capitol. They did it without uniforms, without disclosure, and without public accountability. For years the number was hidden under vague testimony and redacted memos. Now it has surfaced. Congressional …
Look, I’m not left or right, okay? But let’s be honest. The right usually trusts cops. The left usually doesn’t. That’s just how it shows up. Watch a protest. Right-leaning rallies? Flags, chants, speeches, maybe a little shouting, then done. Left-leaning protests? Sometimes a loud few block streets, clash with police, break stuff. Not everyone, …
The ongoing purge of Justice Department officials who investigated President Trump and his allies continued this week, with the Justice Department firing more than 20 employees who worked on the investigations, sources told CBS News. The firings, one source familiar with the terminations said, included more than 20 people who worked on former Special Counsel …
Something remarkable is unfolding in America’s political theater exposing a deep well of hypocrisy that rarely makes the evening news. Democrats who just months ago criticized President Trump for not sending the National Guard to Capitol Hill on J6 have now turned on him for deploying the Guard in Los Angeles. The issue is the …
OMFG!!! 🤯 This hag has the nerve to flat out lie! Pelosi is the one who denied NG along w Mayor Bowser! “On January 6th…we begged the president of the United States to send in the National Guard. He would not do it…” pic.twitter.com/kQLGI4CRoD — Spitfire (@RealSpitfire) June 10, 2025 More proof Pelosi is a …
BREAKING: Crypto funds posted $882 million in net inflows last week, marking the 4th consecutive weekly inflow. Bitcoin funds accounted for the majority of inflows, at $867 million. Year-to-date, investors have poured a whopping $6.7 billion into crypto funds. As a result, US-listed ETFs have recorded cumulative net inflows of $62.9 billion since their launch …
60 of the nation’s 300 largest metro area housing markets had falling year-over-year home prices between March 2024 to March 2025 Last month, that count was 42 markets Two months ago, that count was 31 markets Analysis via @ResidentialClub pic.twitter.com/vADre6uTh4 — Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) April 18, 2025
WOW 🚨 The FBI started a national indoctrination campaign for a January 6th narrative ONLY 2 DAYS after J6 “I had no idea that there was a TWICE DAILY phone call that began only two days after January 6th in which the FBI was inviting in through one of their special resources… pic.twitter.com/qLKLMdiIPz — Wall …
30-year mortgage rates just hit 7.50%, the highest since January. Buying or refinancing a home just got even harder. pic.twitter.com/2lCnjDCwmA — Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ (@burrytracker) April 15, 2025
Revolving debt, which mostly includes credit card balances, jumped 8.2% in January, according to the Federal Reserve’s latest consumer credit report. Altogether, consumer debt, including student loans, auto loans and credit card debt, now stands at $5 trillion. Higher prices driven by tariffs could stretch household budgets even more in the months ahead, experts say. …
January saw a sharp pullback in consumer spending, suggesting a potential slowdown in economic growth, according to a Commerce Department report released Friday. Retail sales dropped 0.9% for the month, following an upwardly revised 0.7% gain in December.. Much worse than the expected 0.2% dip. These figures are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, which …
by confoundedinterest17 Biden is out and so are the crazy job preferences of his administration (e.g., green energy). There is a new sheriff in town (Donald Trump). Here’s what the BLS reported in Trump’s first official jobs report since he returned to the White House: total payrolls printed at 143K. down sharply from an upward revised …
It's called targeting of the opposition party. How is this legal? When do they go in front of the Senate Oversight committee or other to explain all this? — floridanow1 (@floridanow1) February 4, 2025
by PrestigiousCat969 The Stoxx Europe 600 Index is up 6.6% in January, its biggest monthly gain in two years, vs the S&P 500 at 3.2%. Stoxx 600 at 14 times estimated earnings compared to the 22 multiple for the S&P 500.
🚨🚨Gold deliveries on the COMEX exploded in January in uncharacteristic fashion for the month. Who's gobbling all of this metal up so early in 2025? 🤔 👇❗️ 👇❗️ pic.twitter.com/4blGfihSeA — Rob Kientz | The Freedom Report (@freedom_rpt) January 29, 2025 Silver is unleashed. Full breakout mode. Next stop: $40+ 🚀🔥$SLV $PSLV $SIL $SILJ #SILVERSQUEEZE pic.twitter.com/kmcYkd0Nt7 …
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer lashed out at Trump for considering January 6 pardons while staying silent after Biden released 11 dangerous Islamic terrorists from Guantanamo Bay prison. “It is utterly shameful that the president-elect is considering pardons for January 6 rioters,” Schumer said. “Pardoning criminals who waved Confederate flags, donned Nazi symbols, assaulted police …
🚨🇺🇸BREAKING: TRUMP TO BE SENTENCED IN HUSH MONEY CASE ON JANUARY 10, DAYS BEFORE INAUGURATION Justice Merchan sets sentencing for January 10 after Trump's conviction on 34 felony counts in Manhattan's hush money case. This unprecedented decision comes as Trump prepares to… pic.twitter.com/iiedkJlNlQ — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) January 3, 2025 The judge indicated he wouldn’t …
Job cuts remain elevated to end the year at 71,894 – up year/year and highlighting firms desire to continue shedding jobs into 2025. Expect job cuts to surge in January as firms rightsize & continue outsourcing – especially in white collar areas. Final # avail 1/5.… pic.twitter.com/skKNRNj0gX — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) December 30, 2024 Las Vegas’ …
The federal debt has fallen $77 billion over the last 2 days, but only b/c Treasury has simultaneously drained $104 billion from its cash account; sure seems like Yellen is trying to set up her replacement at Treasury for failure – a short 🧵 pic.twitter.com/NF7hbz35zj — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) December 30, 2024 Leaving a …
Economic data keeps surprising to the downside!! Citi Surprise Index 👇 pic.twitter.com/DPdKUV0ji2 — James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) December 29, 2024 They are currently 10 million Americans who are delinquent on their student loans. On January 1, they are going to start seeing their credit scores deteriorate. Not a good outcome for consumer credit growth! pic.twitter.com/IjOZy4tos1 …
China’s $11 trillion government bond market has moved into uncharted territory. As their government rolls out widespread stimulus, yields are hitting record lows. The gap between yields in Japan and China are now at a record low of just ~70 basis points. China is in trouble. pic.twitter.com/j1vrmW6Hxe — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) December 28, 2024 …