Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Robinhood Markets has announced a new plan aimed at giving everyday investors access to private companies before they go public, an area that has usually been limited to venture capital firms and large institutions. The company has launched Robinhood Ventures Fund I (RVI) and started its IPO roadshow for a public offering of about $1 …
Not what you want to see if you're a bull$SPY l $QQQ pic.twitter.com/7bsAVheUq0 — Tradable Astronaut (@TradableAstro) February 17, 2026 Wow. pic.twitter.com/Bw2KyivVlE — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) February 18, 2026 🚨 THE WORLD HAS NEVER BEEN THIS UNCERTAIN!!! Global uncertainty just reached the HIGHEST level in history. The World Uncertainty Index (WUI) has now surpassed …
Hundreds of private equity firms are sitting on portfolios that nobody wants to buy and the flood of competition is making it worse. Their investors are fed up. This isn’t speculation. The capital is out there, but it’s not going into overpriced, illiquid assets. PE firms thought they could paper over risk forever. They can’t. …
🚨 ALERT: A Chinese gold trading platform has just frozen 19 BILLION $ in assets. Thousands of investors can no longer withdraw their funds. The platform is offering 20% compensation of the initial capital. The owner is asking for time and claims he has "been set up /… pic.twitter.com/IZAtV4POBY — The Unknown Millionaire (@theUMreal) January …
A sustained commodities rally would likely snap the dollar’s trend line and push de-dollarization into overdrive. The dollar is no longer a safe haven. Treasury bonds are no longer a safe haven. Bitcoin was never a safe haven. Gold and silver have reclaimed their historical role as the safe havens of choice. — Markets & …
“Global money is moving back toward safety and stability, and Switzerland is one of the cleanest places for that to show up. When investors start worrying about growth holding up, inflation staying weak, or political risk rising elsewhere, they’re willing to accept very low or even negative yields in exchange for certainty. In that sense, …
Kirkland & Ellis has withdrawn from representing Optimum after the company used a separate law firm to launch a lawsuit against creditors. The antitrust complaint alleged that investors, including Apollo, Ares, and Oaktree, conspired via cooperation agreement to raise debt prices and make it more expensive to refinance. These types of creditor protections have made …
“Every time the Unemployment Rate crosses its 36-month moving average from BELOW, a recession sets in.” https://t.co/3rknCG3YUH — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) January 18, 2026 “Private credit investors pull $7bn from Wall Street’s biggest funds” Fewer eyes on this story if it drops on the Saturday of a long holiday weekend??? “Private credit investors pulled …
The latest report from Rentals.ca and Urbanation said December 2025 was the 15th consecutive month that average asking rents across the former’s listings network moved lower. When measured across the full year, average asking rents in Canada declined 3.1% in 2025, which was a larger annual drop than during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, while rents …
With bond yields spiking and crude pessimism at extremes, the market is quietly flashing a warning. SPX:TLT Buy/Sell Indicator: While not as reliable as other indicators, this chart is nonetheless flashing an SPX sell warning right now. The last time the $SPX: $TLT ratio tagged the upper channel resistance rail in April of last year, …
JUST IN: Jim Cramer says investors should "avoid" buying stocks right now — Kalshi (@Kalshi) January 8, 2026 Wow https://t.co/iw49zc5tqQ — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) January 8, 2026 The U.S. Congress just sold their entire stock holdings so… we're on our own 😏 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 8, 2026 tomorrow could be a massive black swan …
When that many people are leaning the same way, any hint of disappointment could blow up the trade and send yields swinging hard. Investors are betting Treasury yields will fall: Open interest in the US 10-year note March call options is up to a record ~171,150 contracts. These contracts pay off if 10-year Treasury prices …
Active fund managers are struggling: Investors are on track to withdraw a record -$605 billion from global active equity funds this year. This surpasses the previous record of -$450 billion. It also marks the 10th annual outflow over the last 11 years. Over this period,… pic.twitter.com/JAl5INZSPy — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) December 21, 2025
$208 million wiped out: Yieldstreet investors rack up more losses as firm rebrands to Willow Wealth As Yieldstreet tries to distance itself from a rocky past with a new name and ad campaign, its customers are dealing with a present reality that is increasingly dire. The private markets investing startup, freshly rebranded as Willow Wealth, …
AI Data Centers are becoming the new Subprime Housing market. Banks are packaging up risky loans and selling them off to other investors. byu/TonyLiberty inFluentInFinance Data center debt has exploded due to the AI boom, with $25.4 billion in US secured debt issued in 2025 alone, marking a 112% increase from 2024’s $12 billion. Since …
Bond investors have told the US Treasury they are concerned about Kevin Hassett’s potential appointment as Federal Reserve chair, worrying he will cut interest rates aggressively to please President Donald Trump. The Treasury department solicited feedback on Hassett and other candidates in one-on-one conversations with executives at major Wall Street banks, asset management giants and …
*USPS SUSPENDS RECEIVING MAIL FROM SOME COUNTRIES *USPS POSTS NOTICE SUSPENDING SERVICE FROM RUSSIA, VENEZUELA *USPS SUSPENSION ALSO INCLUDES AFGHANISTAN, HAITI AMONG OTHERS pic.twitter.com/qaKAV07YJf — Investing.com (@Investingcom) December 3, 2025 International Mail Service Suspensions Updated: Nov. 28, 2025 The Postal Service™ is temporarily suspending international mail acceptance for certain destinations due to inadequate transportation options …
So you’re saying there are now thousands of them and cost almost nothing. How are the big guys gonna pay back those $500 billion in debt with $10 month subs? — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) December 2, 2025 I'm not bearish on AI as a whole, but I am increasingly skeptical about the potential of …
by Michael It’s a bloodbath out there right now. On Monday alone, crypto investors lost about $200,000,000,000 in just 24 hours. Overall, crypto investors have lost about $800,000,000,000 over the last month. In this article, I want to try to explain why this is happening and what is coming next. You see, the truth is that the era of …
Appetite for risk is incredibly strong: Options trading volumes in loss-making Russell 2000 stocks have risen to ~6 million contracts per day, an all-time high. Volumes have more than doubled since April and surpassed the previous record set during the 2021 meme-stock mania. By comparison, options activity in profitable stocks is only 33% as large. …
A.I DEBT BUBBLE Amazon (AMZN): The highest total debt at $160.4 billion. Microsoft (MSFT): Total debt stands at $120.4 billion, Meta Platforms (META): $51.1 billion in total debt Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL): $44.2 billion total debt, CoreWeave (CRWV): Total debt at approximately $14 billion (extreme leverage- Insurance spreads have skyrocketed and default bets sit at 40% next …
via Jesse Felder Eric Cinnamond writes, “Whether it’s extrapolating unsustainable earnings growth, trusting the Fed will always come to the rescue, or refusing to mark asset prices to market, investors in late-cycle booms have a tendency to believe the unbelievable. In our view, we are in another such period, with participants eagerly riding the wave of …
Japan's government says it may "intervene" before the Japanese Yen to US Dollar ratio reaches 160. Over the last 2 months, the Yen has gone from 145 to 157 as a $110B+ stimulus package is coming byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts I agree, but does it really solve anything for Japan? With all the helicopter money, a demographic …
View post on imgur.com Ooof Bitcoin 82k ☠️💀 Saylor liquidation getting closer 🤦♂️ pic.twitter.com/if7OKR4ktE — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 21, 2025 Investors are selling crypto funds at a record pace: Crypto funds saw -$2.0 billion in outflows last week, the largest since February. This also marks the 3rd consecutive weekly sale, bringing the total to …
Kimberly-Clark is buying Tylenol maker Kenvue in a cash and stock deal worth about $48.7 billion, creating a massive consumer health goods company. Shareholders of Kimberly-Clark will own about 54% of the combined company. Kenvue shareholders will own about 46% in what is one of the largest corporate takeovers this year. The deal must still …
The entire economy runs on credit, and when it seizes up, this whole economy goes caput. Banks warning about private credit quality while funding its growth: Wells Fargo: $60B lent to private creditBofA: $33BPNC: $30BJPM: $22BTotal: Nearly $300B Can’t raise alarms about cockroaches when you’re the one feeding them pic.twitter.com/avZSHXZkR4 — junkbondinvestor (@junkbondinvest) October 22, …
Guys it’s official After this recent issue from AWS… And the two previous times that $HOOD disabled buying and selling I will be transferring all my assets into $SOFI as well as cutting up my $HOOD Gold card and throwing it away pic.twitter.com/9KrJDHKkyA — The Wheelie Investor (@WheelieInvestor) October 20, 2025
Can’t even look at the news anymore without the blood boiling. All this talk of the economy teetering like it’s ’07 all over again, big bank bosses like Dimon muttering about crashes coming any day now, and there folks sit, staring at paychecks that barely cover rent and groceries. Gas is dirt cheap for once, …
The elephant in the room isn’t hiding. Nobody trusts fiat money anymore. You can see it everywhere if you stop listening to the TV. Cash allocations for institutional investors are down to 3.8 percent, the lowest in 12 years. That is not random. That is a signal. Everyone is moving, shifting. Stocks at record highs, …
by Michael Consequences often do not show up for an extended period of time, but when they finally arrive they can be exceedingly painful. For decades, our leaders have been making incredibly foolish decisions, and for decades people like me have been ranting about it. But most people thought that everything must be okay because …