Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/seriesBeta/T10Y3M This has been right 100% of the time! For the first time in 2 years we have finally inversed meaning a market correction will be coming in the following months! Stay tuned 🙂 h/t stockmaste4r
The inverted cup and handle is considered a bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. Here’s an explanation: Structure: The “inverted cup” resembles an upside-down “U” shape, indicating a prior upward trend that has peaked and begun to decline. The “handle” forms as a temporary consolidation or slight upward retracement after the downward movement of the …
Ladies and gentlemen we just inverted. God bless and Godspeed. pic.twitter.com/4MTRL2L0qB — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 22, 2024 #recession … #GFC2 US edition https://t.co/mtfXMFo474 pic.twitter.com/kQjZrEqWB5 — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 Oh my … pic.twitter.com/qMXSXk9fak — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 22, 2024 Eyes on the US2yr pic.twitter.com/Wd0vn11GnU — The Great Martis (@great_martis) …
by confoundedinterest17 Shape of things. Thw Fed will likely cut rates shortly helping the flagging mortgage market The US Treasury yield curve, of Jay Powell and The Blackhearts, .js the least inverted in 2 years, signalling an impending Fed rate cut. The Fed loves manipulating interest rates!
This means that the yield on the 2-year Treasury note is higher than that on the 10-year Treasury bond, which is unusual and often seen as a predictor of economic recession. An extended yield curve inversion suggests that investors expect slower economic growth and potentially lower interest rates in the future, indicating a lack of …
The reversion will be interesting. Either the long-term bills rate increases sharply, or the short yields plunge. I wonder which will happen? h/t Ok_Significance_4008
by mrmrmrj This chart demonstrates the historical relationship between yield curve inversions and subsequent recessions. As you can see, there is a strong correlation between the two phenomena. In other words, when the yield curve inverted (i.e., when short-term interest rates rose above long-term interest rates), a recession soon followed. This suggests that an inverted …
https://twitter.com/crofin67/status/1732430822756508116
by confoundedinterest17 We are back in the USSR! And the economy taking commands from Washington DC! Introduction During the COVID-19 pandemic the occurrence of remote work jumped, out of sheer necessity. The technology was already available, but the pandemic accelerated its adoption and bypassed the hesitation of employers to allow people working from home. In many cases, …
An inverted yield curve systematically leads to a higher unemployment This time is not different pic.twitter.com/nynrlZ2eAZ — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 20, 2023 Charts picturing the blow through of pandemic consumer savings are a fun way to view data But this headline is more fun: pic.twitter.com/egOvK5W5Db — Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) July 20, 2023
by confoundedinterest17 The Federal Reserve is printin’ the night away! Yes, as The Fed printin’ the night away, the US Treasury yield curve (10Y-2Y) is still inverted, but at -86.616 basis points. The 2 year US Treasury yield is down -8.2 BPS, the largest decline in the world … after Greece! Greece? The fiscal wreck …
by confoundedinterest17 Its the 4th of July, American Independence Day from England, but under Biden and The Federal Reserve, Americans are DEPENDENT on debt and Federal spending. In other words, Americans are addicted to gov. First, Bankrate’s 30-year mortgage rate index is up 150% under Biden. You can see the rapid rise in mortgage rates started …
“The German Yield Curve is the mot inverted its been in over 31 years. This may signal an impending recession. Also the German economy: -6.1% Inflation -Contraction in PMI from May to June -GDP forecasted to fall in Q2” Source: https://t.co/kognkNxLL6 — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) June 27, 2023 “WSJ: Germany has become a drag …
by confoundedinterest17 The US economy was sitting high on the global mountain top before Covid. Then Covid struck, The Federal Reserve and Congress went wild with stimulus spending and inflation went wild. This is Biden Country, a feeble shell of this once great nation. As The Fed tries to counter the years of excess monetary stimulus pre …
