Will a housing crisis occur before the recession?

Multi-family delinquency rate pic.twitter.com/Ygj4URgZVt — Will DeCotiis (@Will_DeCotiis) September 19, 2024 2/ The recent unemployment rate came in at 4.2% Showing signs of a weakening labor market This has begun to spark recessionary concerns pic.twitter.com/Ig9umKI2aH — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) September 19, 2024 4/ The Sahm Rule is a recession indicator …

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Shelter CPI increased 5.2%. That’s the 29th consecutive month above 5%, the longest period of elevated housing inflation since the early 1980s.

The Shelter Consumer Price Index (CPI) has indeed increased by 5.2%, marking the 29th consecutive month of housing inflation above 5%. This is the longest period of elevated housing inflation since the early 1980s. Rising shelter costs continue to be a significant factor in overall inflation, impacting affordability for many …

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China’s bond rally signals economic weakness, with yields dropping to record lows. Unworkable housing rescue math is prolonging crisis

Money is pouring into Chinese government bonds. The buying has bid up prices and forced yields down to near record lows. The move has upset the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC), which has expressed considerable concern over what will happen to China’s financial stability when the rally reverses and people, …

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Home Prices FALLING FAST! Housing Market 2024

According to the latest housing market data from realtor.com home prices are now falling at the fastest rate in five years. Simultaneously new listings are up 36% year over year. This is great for any would be buyers, but the situation will only get better the more buyers hold out …

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The US housing market is gradually thawing, yet 91% of homes remain overvalued, according to Fitch. Meanwhile, JPMorgan faces an eight-figure loss after offloading real estate.

Homes in 91% of US metro areas were overvalued in the third quarter, Fitch Ratings reported. Home prices are overvalued by 11.1%, an uptick from prior quarters, as wage growth lagged. December notched the highest annual price gain since 2022, S&P Global found. The US housing market is seeing some …

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Housing Costs should be in official inflation measures

by notayesmanseconomics To the casual reader the headline for this piece may be something of a surprise. After all they would reasonably expect that what is usually the largest component of people’s spending to also be a major component of inflation measures. But the reality is that some measures ignore …

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The collapse in the housing market has begun.

And they now have reduced commission laws that passed The National Association of Realtors (NAR) agreed to a settlement in July 2024 to reduce real estate commissions and change how commissions are paid: Reduced commissions: The settlement is expected to reduce real estate… — floridanow1 (@floridanow1) August 30, 2024 The …

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Housing as % of GDP

by pissboner77 Doug Casey’s daily email today contained some interesting and alarming data: “America’s bubblicious economy will soon hit another milestone of sorts—-the $50 trillion mark with respect to the market value of owner-occupied residential real estate. At the present moment, this figure (purple line) stands at $46 trillion (Q1 …

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The Mother of All Housing Bubbles

via International Man: America’s bubblicious economy will soon hit another milestone of sorts—-the $50 trillion mark with respect to the market value of owner-occupied residential real estate. At the present moment, this figure (purple line) stands at $46 trillion (Q1 2024), which is nearly 2X its pre-crisis level of $24 trillion in …

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Real estate agents push for housing investments despite clear market warning signs, echoing 2007’s risks. Never forget, this time it’s different.

https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1828291677036896483 Let's all take note, even when the wtiting is on the wall (like back in 2007) Real estate agents and mortgage brokers/bankers are still trying to con you into going all in on housing. I'm arguing simply to watch and wait, these housing goons just want your transactions. https://t.co/YAY99XPBOy …

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Housing Market in EMERGENCY MODE AS SALES PLUMMET..

Despite interest rates coming down, buyers are not returning to the housing market and inventory continues to build across the country. In some parts of the U.S. we are seeing inventory levels jump beyond pre-pandemic levels and nationwide inventory levels are nearly back to pandemic as well. How low interest …

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5 Billion For a Wall is Too Much: “United States taxpayers pay $451 billion per year for housing and care of illegal migrants.”

View post on imgur.com NEW – United States taxpayers pay $451 billion per year for housing and care of illegal migrants.pic.twitter.com/ebzPmY8KFV — Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) November 28, 2023 Republicans are once again lying about the border to bring us to the brink of a shutdown. Here are five of their biggest …

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Buying Conditions For Housing Drops To 21, All-time Low

by confoundedinterest17 Harris has released her “vision” for the US economy, but it is what you would expect. $25k subsidy for first-time homebuyers which will make housing even MORE expensive. According the University of Michigan consumer survey, buying conditions for housing has already plummeted to 21, the lowest in history. …

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Lumber prices plunge, signaling sharp slowdown in US housing and economic conditions… Housing Permits plunge 4.0% to 1.396, lowest since June 2020

BREAKING: Lumber prices have declined to their lowest level since the 2020 pandemic, down 80% in 2 years. Lumber is a leading indicator for the US housing market, global economic conditions, and inflation. The rapid drop in lumber prices suggests that the US residential… pic.twitter.com/Ksc6aqczI0 — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) …

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Housing Sales Crashing in Florida

by Odd_Personality_1514 We’re in the middle of trying to sell our home here in southern Miami – Kendall. Just one year ago you couldn’t find a home to buy. Whenever a home went up, it’d sell in days, after bidding wars. Today, there still aren’t that many homes for sale, …

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The Fed is in a tough spot on housing

🚩Cutting rates is not what saved housing during the last 3 recessions 🚩 It was cutting rates TO NEW LOWS for mortgages Mortgage rates at 5% aren’t going to be very stimulatory at all in a weakening economy The Fed is in a tough spot on housing pic.twitter.com/gfrAAZ60Xm — Amy …

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Are we at the end of the housing game?

by MouseManManny For almost a century now the key to having equity growth was housing. It’s how previous generations of Americans got their tickets to the middle class. They bought a house in the 50s-70s and it grew in value into the current year, growing their net worth and their …

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