Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
BREAKING – 24 Republican senators want to keep the filibuster in place, with only nine senators confirming they want it removed, while the rest remain “undecided.” These are who to blame when President Trump gets impeached in 2026. pic.twitter.com/i4MQQMr3qi — Right Angle News Network (@Rightanglenews) November 7, 2025 President Donald Trump’s crusade to end the …
The system’s crumbling, gold’s at $3500, a dead canary in a coal mine. Central banks cut rates as inflation hits 3%, pure sabotage dressed up as policy. Yields at 30-year peaks shout panic, not control. They’re pumping a bubble to dodge the collapse. This isn’t economics, it’s a knife in your back. Your money’s burning …
red line is where you sell https://t.co/qRXLIj6z87 pic.twitter.com/M64CecWEJO — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) July 14, 2025 S&P 500 – Time to make your move 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/pHPDwaSURr — Barchart (@Barchart) July 15, 2025 If you're not hedging or shorting here, good luck. — VolSignals (@VolSignals) July 15, 2025 Fund manager cash levels drop, triggering sell signal in latest …
Trigger Warning: Chart of the Day: Citi Surprise Index vs SFR9 My hypothesis is that the US economy has begun to slow due to the long and variable lags of monetary policy finally starting to offset the positive benefits that have come from higher government deficits putting… pic.twitter.com/KP9FXPKLqH — Craig Shapiro (@ces921) May 16, 2024 …
Chart: JP Morgan — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) April 28, 2024 For those that do not yet fully appreciate this concept, it's a simple business strategy. Market makers are not in the market to lose money. They have to hedge their delta exposure, so when they sell a put contract, they sell the underlying to …
$MSFT costume IV indicator Hedging activity has risen as yields continue to climb.. all big tech look the same. Also Netflix before earnings and then popped higher +15%. 🧐 Microsoft on Tuesday after the close with google. If earnings are good many will get fucked. Few. pic.twitter.com/vjTJpG9rTf — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) October 22, 2023 BofA turns …
https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1712426706743542265 US corporate bond spreads widen as hopes dim for soft landing Oct 4 (Reuters) – U.S. corporate bond spreads widened on Tuesday and are expected to widen further after the latest jobs data helped confirm many investors’ expectations of higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates and an upcoming economic downturn. High-grade bond spreads jumped two basis …
This does not sound bullish to me. h/t colzdude
via WSB trader: esterday was the final Friday before NVDA’s earnings report. Honestly, I don’t even want to speculate about how it’ll turn out. What I do know is that, regardless of the outcome, I’ll have an edge against both those betting on the continuation of the AI rally and those anticipating a bubble burst. I’ve …
by Chris Black Japanese investors have already begun adjusting investment portfolios away from U.S. bonds in light of rising FX hedging costs (https://archive.is/BGtTQ) and in anticipation of higher JGB yields (https://archive.is/8MWKR). Official sector data (https://ticdata.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/slt_table5.html) show a notable decline in Japanese holdings of Treasuries, a slight decline in Agency MBS, and a modest increase in …
by bitkogan While White House economic advisor Jared Bernstein suggests that Yellow’s bankruptcy was the result of excess debt following multiple mergers, labeling it as more of a ‘Yellow-specific story’ than as a broader economic concern, I see the situation somewhat differently. To me, this pattern of debt accumulation for acquisitions is rather indicative of …
Bond Investors Say a “Nasty” Recession in the U.S. Is Inevitable According to some of the world’s biggest bond managers from Fidelity International to Allianz Global Investors, the United States is heading for a recession. They’re sticking to their forecasts for a downturn that is “inevitable” and advise hedging any bets on risk assets. “Something …