Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by confoundedinterest17 The Trump economy continues to boom. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast model shows real GDP growing at 2.5%. The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 2.5 percent on August 7, unchanged from August 5 after rounding. After this morning’s wholesale trade report …
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2025 is 1.1 percent on May 1, down from 2.4 percent on April 30. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of second-quarter real personal consumption expenditures …
On April 29, the GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -2.7%. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/VLdYkdKqYr — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 29, 2025 "S&P500 still has plenty of room to fall if a recession is inevitable," per Bloomberg — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April 29, 2025 Dallas Fed logistics respondent: “Ocean container bookings have …
On April 24, the GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -2.5%. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/EHDZPwdxiP — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 24, 2025 Feels like 2008 all over again, according to this price analogy. pic.twitter.com/28V5dOW5hL — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 24, 2025 2/ US government bonds have broken below a 40-year uptrend …
The Atlanta Fed's 🇺🇸 Q1 GDPNow forecast just dropped to -2.8% down from -1.5% pic.twitter.com/aA87kp6f5w — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) March 3, 2025 The Atlanta Fed’s latest revision of the Q1 GDPNow forecast—dropping from -1.5% to -2.8%—is a serious red flag. It paints a picture of an economy struggling to keep its footing. The fact that the …
Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate moves lower, real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 1.3 percent to -0.7 percent, while the nowcast of fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth increased from 2.6 percent to 2.9 percent. #math pic.twitter.com/3xqmr0b3YB — Market Rebellion (@MarketRebels) January 2, 2025 Interesting We’ve almost given back the whole bounce since Trump was …
by Mike Shedlock The GDPNow nowcast fell 0.6 percentage points to 2.5 percent on weaker than expected economic reports. GDPNow data from the Atlanta Fed, chart by Mish The Atlanta Fed updated its GDPNow Nowcast on October 1. Here is a recxap. The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third …
by Mike Shedlock The third quarter is nearly over, but there is still a month of data before the next GDP report. GDPNow data from the Atlanta Fed, chart by Mish The GDPNow Latest Estimate is 3.1 percent as of September 27, 2024 The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the …
by Mike Shedlock A slew of economic reports on Thursday plus a residential construction disaster on Friday caused a huge decline in the GDPNow estimate. Details below. GDPNow data from the Atlanta Fed, chart by Mish Two-Day Summation The base GDP nowcast fell from 2.9 percent on Wednesday to 2.4 percent on Thursday based on …
by confoundedinterest17 Slippin’ into darkness! Bidenomics, that is! Joe Biden is not a friend of the US middle class. The St Louis Fed’s real time GDP tracker known as Nowcast has Q3 GDP at -0.07%. This happening at M2 Money growth collapses. If you want to feel good, check out Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate (housing economist Raphael …