Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
This is why I don't just watch the index.$XLE Energy has been grinding higher all year. A big part of that? Oil spiking on geopolitical risk. That's been the fuel.$XLF Financials, the opposite. Broke its trendline, selling off hard, sitting near the lows. The question worth… pic.twitter.com/WqwP0g9dus — Mike (@MarketMike) March 19, 2026
treasury notes performed very well in both instances pic.twitter.com/maLk8R0oMv — Matthew (@GoodTexture) February 23, 2026 Seasoned traders know what this means. The generals are starting to crumble. These aren’t high beta stocks. I’ve seen this movie a few times. It always plays out the same. 1Q 2000, 3Q 2007, 3Q 2015, & 4Q 2021 the …
Are office buildings the last prop holding banks from imploding? Small banks are hiding massive losses in CRE. Massive, like going out of business levels of losses. That's why they're kicking the can hoping they don't have to foreclose. There's nothing to foreclose on. This shit would make Lehman look like a walk in the …
Financials Bullishness pic.twitter.com/6tEnWECJJ6 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 25, 2024 S&P 500's earnings beat rate is still healthy at nearly 79%, but the revenue beat rate is currently at its lowest since the fourth quarter of 2016 pic.twitter.com/7QmvLufdG1 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 25, 2024 https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1816441931850797083 The streak of days without a 2% …