Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
A complete writeup of our vacancy index methodology can be found here: https://t.co/IRWYcXCdQn And the complete dataset, including local estimates for hundreds of locations across the U.S., is available here:https://t.co/NpXMOeVbSD 10/ — Igor Popov (@IAPopov) August 30, 2023 We’ve also filtered out smaller props (<10 units), which need to have high vacancy rates to appear …
via Mike Shedlock: Hedge funds and asset managers are in opposite camps, with leverage, posing risk of an accident. Hedge Fund Basis Trade ‘Probably’ Back and Posing Risk Bloomberg reports Hedge Fund Basis Trade ‘Probably’ Back and Posing Risk, Fed Says Hedge funds have “probably” increased their positions in highly leveraged Treasury basis trades, posing a …
THE DARK NIGHT OF FASCISM IS ALWAYS DESCENDING IN THE REPUBLICAN PARTY AND YET LANDS ONLY ON THE LEFT: The government’s attack on Elon Musk is the latest regime experiment in repression. At nearly the same moment that the president was touting his administration’s supposed success in creating jobs for Americans, the Justice Department filed a …
They aren't saving the financial system. They're buying the banks time to unload their positions. https://t.co/VJwzpZ471r pic.twitter.com/M3nl4eQEuB — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) March 28, 2023 ‘Current unrealized losses in the US banking system is -$1.8 trillion out of only $2.2 trillion capital With corporate taxes due Sep 15 & possible gov shutdown Oct 2, the general public …
"This expansion raises not just economic and geopolitical issues but also institutional ones, including implications for a G20 that has been struggling in recent years," said Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser, Allianz. Winds are shifting. https://t.co/aHNhPt3YW4 — Joetorch (@Joetorch1) August 29, 2023
CREDIT 💳 CARDDELINQUENCY pic.twitter.com/RdciYYICEt — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) August 28, 2023 And WSJ reported millions of home owners are bailing on insurance! The broke US homeowner: *struggling with HOA fees*struggling with higher property taxes*struggling with higher insurance Unless you’re 60+ and own multiple paid off homes, odds are high this is YOU — Amy …
“We require a fundamental reform of the global financial institutions so that they can be more agile and responsive to the challenges facing developing economies…” -President of South Africa Fundamental reform are strong words. pic.twitter.com/n6DhHBxkRA — Gold Telegraph ⚡ (@GoldTelegraph_) August 22, 2023
China’s Housing Slump Far Worse Than Reported; Half Of State-Owned Builders Warn Of “Widespread” Losses Earlier today, Goldman’s head of hedge fund sales Tony Pasquariello observed that “to this point in the sequence, I’d argue the slowdown in China had been a net positive for US equities — with specific regard to the disinflationary impulse and the flow …
by bitkogan Today, major indices in both Hong Kong and mainland China plummeted to their 2023 lows, leaving many in China bewildered. Just a fortnight ago, state-run media outlets heralded a revival in the capital market and a surge in investment confidence. They underscored the significance of allowing the populace to earn from stock market …
by Ok_Significance_4008 I asked Bard and that’s what it said: A rising 10-year Treasury yield can have a number of implications for stocks. First, it can make it more expensive for companies to borrow money, which can weigh on their earnings. Second, it can make stocks less attractive to investors who are looking for income, …
We cannot live with a decade of more of the same. Britain is extremely vulnerable to any mishap – a crack in the housing market, a crisis in the financial markets, another energy crisis. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/aug/13/uk-stop-kidding-ourselves-rich-nation-gone-bust
Explainer-How much worse can China’s economic slowdown get? HONG KONG (Reuters) – China’s economic activity data for July, including retail sales, industrial output and investment failed to match expectations, fuelling concern over a deeper, longer-lasting slowdown in growth. THE DEMISE OF CHINA’S GROWTH HAS BEEN MISTAKENLY FORECAST BEFORE. IS THIS TIME DIFFERENT? Activity data has …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=POUseK_QYvw The retirement crisis can push half of all Americans to the brink of financial ruin, according to a new survey. In today’s video, we will present this and some of the most important statistics and insights that everyone should know about the state of retirement in the United States. Today, millions of individuals in …
Last week, an unknown number of Wells Fargo customers were suddenly unable to access deposits in their bank accounts. Even as it sought to address the issue, which customers first began noticing on Aug. 3, Wells Fargo acknowledged a “limited” number of customers were still having issues 24 hours later, leaving some of them unable …
https://twitter.com/theyhatemetoo/status/1690114764704481281 Homebuyers spend 40% of income on mortgage, exceeding 2008 high. Homeowners are now spending a record 40% of their gross income on their mortgage. This is ABOVE the 2008 high of 39% and up sharply over the last 2 years. After paying income taxes and mortgage costs, most homebuyers have less than 30% of …
Energy stocks are only 5% away from recent highs. If historical correlations matter, it is hard to believe oil won't follow the same path. That alone would imply a 48% return from its current levels. As a crucial contributor to inflation, rising energy costs could have a… pic.twitter.com/fBZ60dhWlO — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) August 11, …
Guest Post by Jonathan Newman via mises.org “Experts” at the Federal Reserve and other central banks proudly broadcast the potential “financial inclusion” that could be achieved with a central bank digital currency (CBDC). In the Fed’s main CBDC paper, “Money and Payments: The U.S. Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation,” they make it clear: “Promoting …
via JAMES RICKARDS: You’re probably aware that Fitch has downgraded the credit rating of the United States from AAA to AA+. It was big news last week. That’s nothing to cheer about, though it’s not likely to have much impact on the markets in the short run. It’s more of a long-term problem. But it’s …
History will say the mainstream financial media were highly complicit in ONCE AGAIN stoking the speculative frenzy preceding global system meltdown. Note Nasdaq down volume on the left shoulder when Meme frenzy 1.0 ended. pic.twitter.com/JEhQWbnSWU — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 6, 2023 In 2008 and 2000 no one expected a crash. Even weeks before it happened …
by mark000 The September/October window has high potential for the horror show to begin IMO. The global markets, financial system and economy will experience simultaneous heart attacks, leading to (or because of) super negative geopolitical developments. US Treasury Market Hits All-Time High of $25 Trillion in July This is a great example of how the …
Assets in money market funds have hit a record $5.5 trillion. With yields above 5%, this trend should continue. pic.twitter.com/gpRrtgBjoL — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) August 3, 2023 Bear Stearns Collapse March 16, 2008Lehman Brothers Collapse September 15, 2008 Silicon Valley Bank Collapse March 10, 2023******************* Collapse September 15, 2023 🤫pic.twitter.com/kfdPWKxt1dhttps://t.co/qBMYgTkITR https://t.co/VqtC8XyGSu — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) August …
BREAKING: Usage of the Fed's emergency bank bailout facility is now at a new record high at $106 billion, per Bloomberg. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) August 3, 2023 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1687201706369785856 h/t Simian_Stacker
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-summary-and-minutes/2023/august-2023 Highlights: The BoE decided to raise the Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points to 5.25% with a 6-3 vote. New projections assume the Bank Rate will peak at just over 6% and average just under 5.5% over the next three years. Economic growth has been steady, but recent indicators show possible weakening. …
Alarming Financial Stats of 2023: – U.S debt at record high – Interest expense on U.S debt to reach a record $1 trillion annually– Credit card debt at record high – Average credit card interest rate at a record 20.69% These are records we don’t want to be setting 🙈 pic.twitter.com/B5Aoaj4FFV — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) August 2, …
On the evening of July 17th, 2023, Evergrande’s official website released 3 financial reports, including the 2021 financial report, the 2022 mid-year report, and the annual report. Everyone already knows that Evergrande is a mess, but no one expected it to be so bad: a net loss of US$120 billion in two years! Its liabilities …
