Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
This whole mess is spiraling. UAE is beyond fucked. They betrayed Iran, OPEC, BRICS and got the middle finger from other GCC nations when they asked for help. Once America leaves the region after suffering a horrible defeat, UAE is going to beg China for help and agree to an absolutely one sided deal. — …
by David Haggith Ninety percent of Americans feel the nation is in an affordability crisis—the new catch phrase for endless above-target inflation, which has become the new norm. The new norm, however, was just reported as getting wore, rising to 3.5% YoY inflation. The rise was due to the war and particularly fuel prices. A …
Not only that but shocked to see this on associated press of all places…. h/t bobbystills5
🚨 BREAKING: 🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN SAYS NO, state TV reports the 15-point plan was rejected via mediators to the U.S. I'm not surprised. Whether you like it or not, they have the upper hand right now with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz I have a bad feeling about these negotiations… https://t.co/9o734NkmF6 pic.twitter.com/3BZR5rkgvr — Mario …
Donald Trump sent a St. Patrick’s Day–themed fundraising email Monday invoking the U.S. military operation against Iran while asking supporters to join what it called a “MAGA Roster.” The message features a photo of Trump against a green background with the subject line “I’m feeling lucky!” The message thanks supporters for standing by him through …
Leavitt: The president had a feeling, again, based on fact, that Iran was going to strike the US. pic.twitter.com/PlBWhkehSX — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) March 8, 2026
Update: With all eyes on Iran, the US DOJ has released previously withheld Epstein files containing uncorroborated FBI interview memos alleging that Donald Trump sexually assaulted a minor in the 1980s. DOJ link: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2012/EFTA02858481.pdf h/t Particular-Fill-4256
Not what you want to see if you're a bull$SPY l $QQQ pic.twitter.com/7bsAVheUq0 — Tradable Astronaut (@TradableAstro) February 17, 2026 Wow. pic.twitter.com/Bw2KyivVlE — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) February 18, 2026 🚨 THE WORLD HAS NEVER BEEN THIS UNCERTAIN!!! Global uncertainty just reached the HIGHEST level in history. The World Uncertainty Index (WUI) has now surpassed …
BANNON: There’s a massive lack of enthusiasm among the base. People are saying, “I’m just not feeling it right now.” And our best pollsters, @Peoples_Pundit and @honestpollster, are consistent. pic.twitter.com/dkxhRM2v0q — Grace Chong, MBI (@gc22gc) February 7, 2026
🚨NEW: @ScottAdamsSays ends show early due to feeling unwell — but says he'll be okay🙏 "I need to take a nap. I had a really tough night and a tough morning. I thought I could get through it this morning, but I can't." "I'll be fine … I just need to rest. And I will …
Where’s the money going?! Personal Income: -0.4% vs 0.3% exp. Weakest in 4 years. pic.twitter.com/vajFt4oLJE — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) June 27, 2025 Not good https://t.co/KVlatfqiI9 — Merlin Capital 🧙♂️ (@merlinscapital) June 27, 2025 Breaking Core PCE +.2% vs +.1% exp Core PCE price index vs a year ago 2.7% vs 2.6% 🔥🔥. Or more importantly …
Chinese factories are getting wiped out in the trade war. Containers are down by half. Factories are laying off half their workers or shutting down. One local analyst calls it "way bigger” than Covid-19. China needs a deal. pic.twitter.com/C93kukiUmy — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) May 1, 2025 Layoffs at Chinese factories and trucking companies …
Layoffs are expected to start within the next month. Also, massive loss of state and local tax revenues derived from tourist spending. Foreign tourism has fallen off a cliff. This is a $100B domestic industry largely concentrated in NYC, southern Florida, southern California, and Las Vegas. Hotels, airlines, restaurants, and tour guides are already feeling …
by David Haggith One major index fully crashed into a bear market today; other indices are following hot on its heals. The Great Bull Run has begun! It seems like only yesterday that I wrote … Sad are the market maniacs and mavens who thought they’d take one last ride up the big hill. Sadder …
PLTR TOPPED Uncle K can see the future bc he understands the psychology of yolo-chasing fakebull-Mofoz pic.twitter.com/3wSorYttes — KAY KIM (@2kaykim) January 9, 2025 NVDA TOPPED These fakebullz been buying the highs not understanding the big picture These mofoz gonna panic sell and the entire thing collapse back down pic.twitter.com/9MhViNA29c — KAY KIM (@2kaykim) January …
Falling job postings, rising yields, and reverse repo decline signals a looming crisis. This is a chart of the 10yr yield since the Covid 2020 lows. From near 0% to over 5% and now looks primed to get back over 5%. Should mean something to somebody… pic.twitter.com/T2Dyckb74p — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) January 5, 2025 Hedge Funds …
The Federal Reserve trimmed interest rates by a quarter point, bringing the target rate range to 4.5% to 4.75%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he was “feeling good” about the economy. He also said he would not step down from his post if President-elect Donald Trump asked him to do so. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/07/fed-meeting-live-updates-traders-anticipate-november-rate-cut.html Federal Reserve Chairman …
Sell house now or hold and wait to see if market improves We bought our house 2 years ago and our monthly payment was 4,500 (3,600 mortgage 900 escrow) a year later our monthly payment is 5,200 (3,600 mortgage 1,600 escrow). We had no idea we would see that kind of increase so quickly. We …
American Ranchers Have Been Abandoned By US Government & Allowed To Be Invaded By Illegal Migrants “Everything down here is in disarray. Everything is it's horrible. It's horrible to have to live your life scared to death, wondering if this is the day that I'm gonna have to pull… pic.twitter.com/GaIruJev7G — Wall Street Apes (@WallStreetApes) …
BY DAVID HAGGITH For years, I’ve been saying it appears the BLS (Bureau of Lying Statistics) publishes fake labor statistics. The numbers always look like the seasonal adjustments are used by each administration to try to make the numbers look better, which means we are operating our country on delusions, not on facts. Ultimately that …
Complete RIPOFF! How the hell do people afford this shit!? Food prices are almost TRIPLED! How the hell can people afford to buy food these days! The entire economic system will collapse soon at these prices, no one can afford that crap! I also heard many people are turning to food banks to get food …
‘Prince William and Kate Middleton are feeling “intense anxiety” over the idea of taking the reins from King Charles III, according to a royal expert. Since announcing his cancer diagnosis publicly in February, the 75-year-old monarch was forced to hit the brakes on much of his royal agenda and has undertaken less public-facing duties. The …
CNN abruptly cut to commercial on Thursday after anchor Wolf Blitzer looked like he was about to vomit during an interview with House Oversight Committee Ranking Member Jamie Raskin (D-MD). As Blitzer listened to Raskin on The Situation Room, he could be seen exhibiting a number of pained expressions, seemingly struggling to stop himself from …
Reporter: “Where are you from?” Middle Eastern illegal migrant: “Soon you will know who I am. Believe me. You will see.” Reporter: "Where are you from?" Middle Eastern illegal migrant: "Soon you will know who I am. Believe me. You will see." pic.twitter.com/arTVxIGTgr — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) January 21, 2024
When banks and companies extend $1 trillion in credit card debt and struggle to collect, it has far-reaching consequences. It leads to substantial financial losses, impacting profitability and lending capacity. Shareholders and investors witness a decline in the value of their stocks or company shares, affecting market value as seen with $C, $GS, and $BAC. …
Russia… https://t.co/0yGdwuKw1l — EndGameWW3 🇺🇸 (@EndGameWW3) October 22, 2023
It's hard to see a case for interest rate cuts returning anytime soon. However, we continue to believe that rates will PAUSE for longer. Inflation to 2% remains the Fed's number one objective right now. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 2, 2023 As I've …
by Chris Black Part of this is obviously the remaining fallout from that lunatic coronavirus hoax. But a lot of it, particularly in Germany, has to do with the war and the fact that the Bidens blew up Germany’s pipes. The lack of international demand for German goods (which are mostly “luxury goods” or at …
by betsharks0 > In September 2022, adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) made up around 9% of all new home loan applications to lenders, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) So are these people basically f***ed? The median house payment in the US is now at $2,605/month. This is up 19% compared to 2022 and the most expense median …
So what is the agenda that the elites could be using this for, if they are at all? Honestly I don’t believe this is part of an agenda but I’ve noticed the theories people have surrounding the fires and I want to see what ideas there are. h/t A_Real_Patriot99