Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Now show the REAL ending 😂😂 pic.twitter.com/MrwXPWcAh6 — Ben Peck 🤠🍊 (@TheBenPeck) April 19, 2026
Sellers are moving toward buyers but not fast enough to restore volume the $40k average cut on a median priced home still doesn't close the affordability gap at 7% mortgage rates — Alan Stalcup | CRE Investor (@alan_stalcup) April 9, 2026 Buyers: wait. Rent. Watch. Renegotiate your lease. Sellers: sell sooner rather than later. Every …
Every major correction on this chart started the same way. The Weekly 9 EMA crossed below the 21 EMA. 2022 Bear Market • Drop: -27% Market rallied… Then another correction • -10% Market rallied harder… Fast forward to now: Tariff Panic • Drop: -21% We rallied again… And the same weekly bearish cross just printed. …
Spending time with a difficult person can impact your mood in the moment. But over time, these challenging social interactions might also have a detrimental effect on your physical health, possibly making you age faster, new research suggests. The study, which was funded by the National Institute on Aging and published in Proceedings of the …
Trump: Stock market should be going up way faster than it is, Powell is trying to kill my market#MacroEdge — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) January 13, 2026 Trump says pumping 401k is important to him and wants a Fed chair that also pumps stocks. 😳😳😳 — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) January 13, 2026 U.S. stocks remain heavily detached from …
I have another chart that shows the US labor market improving. The NFIB Small Business Optimism survey saw a rise in the number of firms who plan to increase employment versus decrease employment. Over the last 6 months, the rate-of-change exceeds 96% of all periods since 1985. pic.twitter.com/i492W5C7wG — Jeff Weniger (@JeffWeniger) December 9, 2025 …
Credit card companies just handed out $1.5 trillion in new credit limits since 2020 but Americans only actually borrowed an extra $430 billion. That gap $4.1 trillion in unused credit tells you everything you need to know about what banks are doing right now. Imagine your bank raises your credit limit from $5,000 to $8,000 …
US rent prices are declining at a historic pace: National apartment rents fell -0.31% MoM in October, marking the steepest October decrease in over 15 years. This also marks the 3rd consecutive monthly decline, as elevated supply continues to weigh on prices nationwide. 3 of the 5 largest monthly rent declines over the last 15 …
Rate of decline over last 6 months: 0.96 per day Rate of decline over last 1 month: 1.4 per day Rate of decline over last week: 3.7 per day Excited to see where this is going! https://www.reddit.com/r/Buttcoin/comments/1ouppkg/mstr_is_declining_faster_and_faster/ This day had to come eventually. MSTR basically makes no money from its software business, so its value …
The stock market is being pushed up by the same small group every single day and you can tell they’re running out of room. It’s getting harder for them to keep the illusion going. The tape looks forced. Every rally looks like someone holding a beach ball underwater and their hands are slipping. Meanwhile regular …
Gold has a clear message for global governments: you are spending far too much money that you do not have. — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) October 16, 2025 Piepenburg argues this leads to a liquidity crisis as debt obligations outstrip real productive capacity. Jamie Dimon Says Gold Can “Easily Go to $5,000 or $10,000” …
The FOMO lemmings drove up prices for everyone, pricing out the prudent & financially responsible from decent housing. Let them be a cautionary tale for a generation as far as I’m concerned. h/t Boo_Randy_II
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, Is the market right or the Fed? I created the above chart from CME Fedwatch projections on September 20. The Fed and the market project roughly the same path through December of 2025. However, the Fed “dot plot” of economic projections has the Fed Funds rate for December of 2026 at …
VIX +10%, QQQ +4%, market bubble like nothing seen before. Never seen $VIX climb +10% over a 10-day stretch while $QQQ climbed 4% at the same time. Divergences like this might pop up for a day or two, but not for this long and not into new ATHs. Today feels like the biggest bubble I’ve …
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2025-09-sweet-sugar-substitutes-linked-faster.html Some sugar substitutes may come with unexpected consequences for long-term brain health, according to a study published in Neurology. The study examined seven low- and no-calorie sweeteners and found that people who consumed the highest amounts experienced faster declines in thinking and memory skills compared to those who consumed the lowest amounts. The link …
The debt pressure in the system is reaching a tipping point that could trigger cascading failures across households and corporations. With high leverage and stagnant wages, even a minor shock in energy, rent, or credit markets could force millions into defaults within months. Corporate restructuring and AI adoption are quietly hollowing out sectors that appear …
Chinese scientists claimed to have developed the world’s first “brain-like” artificial intelligence large language model similar to ChatGPT, designed to consume less power and work without Nvidia chips. The AI model, named SpikingBrain1.0, mimics the way the human brain fires only the nerve cells it needs, according to researchers from the Chinese Academy of Sciences. …
🚨 BIGGEST OUTFLOW IN HISTORY 🚨 Capital is leaving Canada faster than ever—like it just got a hard elbow to the head. 🏃💨💸” pic.twitter.com/eoS6LmpRzR — Market Mania 🏴☠️ (@MarketManiaCa) August 28, 2025 Canada printes two consecutive quarters of negative annualized GDP growth pic.twitter.com/cxRUGbVJ3r — Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) August 29, 2025 Foreign investors …
(Bloomberg) — Africa has become a new hotspot for Chinese exports as Donald Trump’s tariffs redraw trade for the world’s biggest manufacturing nation. With a 25% on-year jump to $122 billion, growth in sales to the continent of 1.5 billion people has far outpaced other major markets this year while orders from the US slumped. …
A SINGLE TRANSISTOR UNDER THE MICROSCOPE That insane zoomed-in video? It reveals one lonely CPU transistor, the building block of every chip. Transistors are crafted using photolithography, where ultraviolet light etches microscopic patterns into silicon, repeated hundreds to thousands of times to build a full CPU. Only one company on Earth makes these machines: ASML, …
If meat prices go up any faster.. theyll be going back in time#cattle pic.twitter.com/7ANY4XM9Pb — AGTrader (@agtrader) August 20, 2025 The Fed can only justify rate cuts with one datapoint: The labor market. But, the Fed just said they see inflation risks outweighing employment risks in the Fed Minutes. As we saw in September 2024, …
Migration masks demographic collapse across Europe. Meanwhile, net migration into the EU last year was 2.3m. Without considering any other effects, this is not a long-term solution because migrants age and many are coming from countries where birth rates have also gone low. — David Quinn (@DavQuinn) August 19, 2025
BREAKING 🚨: U.S. Housing Market Homeowner Households declined for the first time in 9 years 👀📉 pic.twitter.com/8lUGHnHx93 — Barchart (@Barchart) August 14, 2025 Las Vegas has the 3rd highest home foreclosure rate among major US metro areas as of July pic.twitter.com/0iYxb3C9cx — Las Vegas Locally 🌴 (@LasVegasLocally) August 14, 2025 Cheap REITs aren't bargains – …
Texas metros see massive home inventory surge while southeast FHA mortgages flash warning signs. Housing foreclosures and housing distress remain low—but FHA mortgages in the Southeast are flashing a little yellow ResiClub PRO members can read my report here: https://t.co/OclST19mue pic.twitter.com/Nq4xEj1ZNM — Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) August 10, 2025 Inventory of Homes for Sale Balloons in …
Never forget how often Bitcoin pukes all over itself, Don’t Chase! Patience. Never forget how often Bitcoin pukes all over itself, Don’t Chase! Patience. https://t.co/eBDDK4FQz5 — Lawrence McDonald (@Convertbond) July 13, 2025 The cattle believe Bitcoin is the future but fail to see it's a Nasdaq ETF pumped by elites in this orchestrated bull market. …
New home prices are fairing much worse when measured by Fed rate cycles than they were during the 2004-2009 Fed rate timeline. New Memo in comments. pic.twitter.com/Za3K6Q7dys — Mr.Awsumb (@MrAwsumb) June 7, 2025 “Housing IS the business cycle” – Edward E. Leamer pic.twitter.com/ADAw5zYC5S — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) June 7, 2025
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, The real world isn’t digital, and it’s unforgiving. Since generative AI is adept at manipulating digital text, voice and images, many assume this automatically infers it will be adept at the entirety of human endeavor and work. But this is false logic. The same false logic leads many to assume …
-Building Permits Dropped 4.7% (April to May)Building permits are a leading indicator of future construction. A 4.7% decline suggests homebuilders are pulling back due to weak demand, rising financing costs, or economic uncertainty. This is the sharpest drop in months and hints that builders are less confident about near-term sales. -Single-Family Housing Starts Fell 2.1%This …
SAM ALTMAN PROMISED TO SHARE AGI WITH THE WORLD—NOW HE’S CASHING IN 5 years ago, Sam Altman told investors OpenAI wouldn’t chase profit. No business model. Just build AGI, ask it how to make money, and take 0.001% of the value while sharing the rest with humanity. Now? OpenAI is a for-profit powerhouse, with closed …
NEW: Purdue students demolish the Guinness World Record for fastest Rubik’s cube-solving robot, solving the puzzle cube in just 0.103 seconds, faster than the blink of an eye. Insane. The previous record was set by Mitsubishi Electric engineers in 2024 in Japan with a speed of 0.305 seconds. The team says they can probably go …