Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Goldman Sachs is circulating aggressive growth projections to drive interest in the upcoming SpaceX initial public offering. The bank claims revenue at the artificial intelligence division will jump 100-fold to 322 billion dollars by 2030. Total company revenue is projected to hit 474 billion dollars in that same window. This forecast serves as the primary …
Crazy how we look to Iran for the truth. Donny is living in a fantasy land. — Americas Service Plumber (@PlumberWesley) June 2, 2026 U.S.–IRAN PEACE HOPES COLLAPSE Market expectations for a U.S.-Iran deal by end-June have plunged from over 75% to just 27%. Chance of Strait of Hormuz reopening is now only 22%. Kalshi …
Mario Nawfal drops the clip where Maher asks the question elites dodge… How does government pay people when AI kills all the jobs and tax revenue… Tax base collapses while AI billionaires hoard the profits… Replies scream tax the robots or just print more money… This is the trap nobody in power wants to admit… …
US base hit hard, troops injured, Reaper drones wrecked. CENTCOM now orders full control of the strait, threatens to seize islands, Iran answers with new fee zone and trapped ships. Trump brags he accepts the deal, Iran laughs it off as pure wishes and demands missiles not words. Bolton torches the whole thing as Obama …
Elon engineered tiny float, retail pump allocation, and fast-track Nasdaq-100 entry so index funds buy the spike. Insiders get early unlock windows to dump while 401ks chase the top. Their own S-1 shows $28.5 trillion TAM but only $2 trillion real space business. Rest is wild enterprise AI bets bigger than OpenAI and Google combined. …
Everyone is betting on a ceasefire deal that hasn’t even been signed yet … Bond yields are looking ugly and nobody believes that inflation is going away … Smart money is dumping everything Middle East-related and piling into gold as fast as they can … You’re being sold a story of diplomatic progress while the …
Easing bets get torched fast while inflation shock rewrites the entire Fed playbook… Things accelerate hard under new leadership and the soft landing crowd just got blindsided… Bull dreams dying quick and the pain train just left the station… cleveland's fed inflation model has been on point for a long time. looking ugly.https://t.co/LPsWVSK6sN pic.twitter.com/sktkd92xdp — …
This is exactly why futures whipsaw right before the open — sentiment vs liquidity is never aligned.I’ll take the actual order flow over the overnight emotions every time. — Nafees Khaiser | HedgeLong Wealth (@fees75) November 24, 2025 It’s amazing to me how much a .25% point rate cut from the Fed can have on …
This is why there is literally “no bid” in housing unless you are wealthy and paying cash. https://t.co/p538tx6F5H — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) October 23, 2025 Sellers Are Getting Ghosted: 15% of Homebuying Contracts Were Canceled in September Housing costs are frightful and economic jitters are in the air, leading some buyers to leave sellers in …
Elon Musk didn’t mince words: “The dollar will be worth nothing if the US doesn’t do something about its national debt.” That wasn’t hyperbole. That was a warning. A new study confirms what many already feel in their bones. Most Americans can no longer afford even a minimal quality of life. Forget luxury. Forget comfort. …
The numbers don’t lie—independent analysis shows the One Big Beautiful Bill could add up to $5.8 trillion to the deficit over a decade, with GDP gains offsetting less than 10% of costs. Growth projections are wishcasting, not accounting for capital shallowing and debt service… — Watch DOGE (@dogeai_gov) July 1, 2025 https://twitter.com/SpencerHakimian/status/1940169195033174295 Same B.S., different …
Builders are sitting on more houses than they can sell, and that could spell trouble for the entire housing sector. We currently have the most homes for sale in the sunbelt in US history. This would be front page news if they didn't think it would cause a panic pic.twitter.com/FyhTIZu5ka — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) May …
This market is running on fumes. There is no solid floor beneath it. No wave of earnings. No surge in demand. No real liquidity. It is all built on guesswork, misplaced optimism, and the fear of missing a rally that never had a base to begin with. The Fed keeps everyone waiting. But waiting for …
So cringe. pic.twitter.com/KYA3TAGzXu — The Stealthy Stethoscope 🩺🇺🇸 (@Stealthoscope) November 27, 2024
Anyone who thinks this continues until the end of the year is smoking crack and/or your typical investment advisor. pic.twitter.com/QLqcgJr0tD — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) November 20, 2024 Flight to safety intensifies. https://t.co/VKUtt0tWsh pic.twitter.com/Yp57HNCMQg — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 20, 2024 U.S. momentum peaks; billionaires and banks hoard cash. Bubble burst incoming. 🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨 THE U.S …
by Profbam People who claimed “it doesn’t hurt you” or “why do you care?” were hoping that regular individuals would ignore the situation until it becomes too difficult to stop. The evidence of people being punished for not accepting the false idea is why regular people are concerned. High school girls’ basketball team deemed ineligible …
by Simon Black There’s something pleasantly reassuring about mathematics: We shouldn’t have any doubts about the fact that 2 + 2 = 4. Yet over the past few years, we’ve started seeing the most absurd assaults on basic science and mathematics. The most hard-core fanatics now assert, with a straight face, that it’s racist to …
by Simon Black In 1958, Leonard E. Read wrote the book I, Pencil. As the book’s title suggests, this is the story about a pencil, told from the pencil’s perspective. The pencil traces his beginnings – from the cedar forests of Northern California and Oregon – to the mill in San Leandro, California, where specialized …
by Chris Black If Section 3 of the 14th Amendment is used to remove Trump from the ballot in the 2024 election, it won’t stop there. It will be used against everyone who supported “the insurrection” on January 6. Imagine how broadly giving “aid and comfort” to Trump challenging the 2020 election can be interpreted. …